Moist-Order — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$773

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

350

19,700 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$83.6K

$3.04M lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$8.70K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

74% 92% +$8,091

Politics

23% 93% +$561

Sports

2% 89% +$63

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 198 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+3,852	$3,496	96¢	$3.7K	+$200	10-27 04:33
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	+1,503	$1,441	96¢	$1.4K	-$1	10-27 03:20
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+1,186	$1,027	96¢	$1.1K	+$109	10-27 04:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-1,016	-$1,323	98¢	$-995	+$328	10-24 20:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	+500	$453	100¢	$499	+$46	10-25 03:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+500	$452	94¢	$468	+$15	10-25 15:44
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	+268	$232	83¢	$222	-$10	10-24 17:25
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	-204	-$196	94¢	$-193	+$3	08-14 10:23
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+45	$39	99¢	$44	+$5	07-11 04:04
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	-10	-$13	98¢	$-10	+$3	05-14 03:40
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+1	-$12	98¢	$1	+$13	10-18 15:41
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+45	$0	1¢	$0	$0	07-04 17:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+0	-$16	99¢	$0	+$16	09-22 00:32
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-0	-$44	97¢	$-0	+$44	10-26 01:44
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	08-20 18:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3,469	$345.7K	185,433	186,448	-1,016	open	—	10-24 20:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1,297	$253.4K	135,703	131,851	+3,852	open	—	10-27 04:33
Trump out as President by July 31?	1,444	$195.3K	98,265	98,265	+0	No	+$167	07-26 15:45
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	2,432	$151.3K	79,001	75,078	+3,923	No	+$165	06-25 05:13
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	817	$134.6K	87,451	60,473	+26,979	Yes	+$2,461	01-23 07:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	474	$105.6K	54,116	54,116	+0	No	+$163	09-13 18:55
trump out as president by march 31	611	$96.6K	45,297	52,338	-7,041	No	+$47	03-25 12:26
Trump out as President by August 31?	377	$88.6K	44,480	44,480	+0	No	+$53	08-27 06:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	491	$83.4K	44,851	40,257	+4,593	No	+$157	06-22 14:31
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	556	$78.5K	39,095	40,914	-1,819	No	+$24	03-22 09:11
Trump out as President before 2027?	308	$70.1K	37,281	36,095	+1,186	open	—	10-27 04:07
Trump out as President by April 30?	429	$69.7K	36,221	34,641	+1,579	No	+$95	04-24 06:43
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	536	$60.5K	30,868	31,071	-202	No	+$98	09-24 23:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	337	$49.8K	26,745	24,540	+2,205	Yes	-$10	02-08 13:26
Trump out as President by September 30?	116	$45.1K	22,781	22,781	+0	No	+$43	09-20 08:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	115	$38.9K	19,848	19,348	+500	open	—	10-25 03:10
Trump out as President by June 30?	175	$33.9K	18,946	15,309	+3,637	No	+$72	06-24 11:13
will israel nuke iran by january 31	166	$29.7K	14,513	15,356	-843	No	+$15	01-24 16:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	130	$29.6K	15,933	15,933	+0	No	+$59	06-11 17:48
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	252	$22.0K	11,227	11,227	+0	open	—	09-22 00:32
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	15	$20.8K	30,056	0	+30,056	Yes	+$19	02-02 01:58
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	54	$20.3K	14,258	6,132	+8,125	Up	+$68	03-10 16:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	226	$19.5K	10,400	10,400	-0	open	—	10-26 01:44
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	68	$18.3K	10,643	10,643	+0	open	—	08-22 16:15
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	449	$16.9K	54,195	28,861	+25,334	No	+$20	01-20 16:00
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	49	$15.3K	21,046	1,224	+19,821	Down	+$2,656	01-29 14:44
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	25	$14.9K	7,498	7,498	+0	Yes	+$50	07-13 18:42
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	79	$14.3K	7,063	7,535	-473	No	+$30	01-10 05:04
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	52	$14.0K	11,103	2,967	+8,136	No	+$42	01-31 16:03
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	58	$13.9K	8,337	5,653	+2,684	Yes	+$17	02-01 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:48:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	94	81¢	$77	0x53651d…
10-27 04:33:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	253	96¢	$244	0xbfb7e3…
10-27 04:07:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	186	95¢	$177	0x7c9734…
10-27 04:05:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$479	0x67f590…
10-27 03:21:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc92a0…
10-27 03:21:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	495	96¢	$474	0xaba004…
10-27 03:20:17	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xf3d70d…
10-27 02:52:44	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$385	0x3afb09…
10-27 02:35:18	Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb9d4ea…
10-27 02:35:17	Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xee7a2f…
10-27 02:35:17	Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$28	0x91a403…
10-27 02:02:42	Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x8153b0…
10-27 01:27:15	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x01e097…
10-26 23:09:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	2,500	96¢	$2,400	0xfb0365…
10-26 22:58:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	468	95¢	$447	0xbce560…
10-26 22:58:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x44c877…
10-26 22:22:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xd5ed7a…
10-26 22:22:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x1385a5…
10-26 22:04:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	357	95¢	$340	0x1d2d9f…
10-26 22:03:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xb22994…
10-26 21:52:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x0e3dc4…
10-26 21:29:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x311d34…
10-26 21:28:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	342	94¢	$323	0x8225df…
10-26 21:27:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	158	94¢	$149	0xffecf6…
10-26 21:27:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x5a536c…
10-26 21:27:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x049fad…
10-26 21:09:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	561	96¢	$541	0x5b301a…
10-26 21:01:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0x29b4b5…
10-26 20:55:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0xa01a1f…
10-26 20:43:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	444	96¢	$426	0x9ee09f…
10-26 20:42:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	139	97¢	$134	0x1a31ea…
10-26 19:45:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc1213b…
10-26 19:44:15	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x094cb9…
10-26 19:24:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0x2d4131…
10-26 18:32:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0xa45f22…
10-26 18:23:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xe0d3f9…
10-26 18:13:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x664088…
10-26 16:10:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x35181e…
10-26 15:27:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0xd23c0a…
10-26 15:27:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$193	0x9eb0f9…
10-26 15:06:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x264e89…
10-26 14:55:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0x24c2fb…
10-26 14:53:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$483	0x5371f2…
10-26 14:53:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$482	0x37247b…
10-26 14:05:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	281	96¢	$270	0x9043ba…
10-26 13:47:18	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x7c4c4f…
10-26 13:37:17	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x8d19f6…
10-26 13:35:26	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x2067a8…
10-26 13:27:15	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x37ae71…
10-26 13:27:12	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x6687d7…
10-26 13:27:08	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0418d2…
10-26 13:02:20	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	701	96¢	$669	0x739a16…
10-26 12:44:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	73	95¢	$69	0xa919be…
10-26 12:30:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0xb0f83d…
10-26 12:08:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x943096…
10-26 12:03:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x321076…
10-26 11:50:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0xa214b0…
10-26 11:08:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0x817446…
10-26 11:05:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	273	96¢	$261	0x583f4b…
10-26 10:29:30	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x5064f1…
10-26 09:46:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x6f1ef6…
10-26 02:54:35	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0x028ab4…
10-26 02:35:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$474	0xdb53b2…
10-26 01:44:17	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x79c108…
10-25 23:47:14	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xfb5be5…
10-25 23:35:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$476	0x650880…
10-25 22:44:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0x10a469…
10-25 22:40:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xb71c5b…
10-25 22:31:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0xbf84b4…
10-25 19:20:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	448	97¢	$433	0x196941…
10-25 18:26:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	2,500	96¢	$2,412	0xdfba06…
10-25 18:26:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x032900…
10-25 15:44:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xd87e2c…
10-25 14:15:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$476	0x3414bb…
10-25 13:24:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x410242…
10-25 12:58:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x629a71…
10-25 12:58:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	622	95¢	$591	0xb5642a…
10-25 09:05:59	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0xd17242…
10-25 06:44:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	176	96¢	$168	0xa4713a…
10-25 05:49:44	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x30c8a4…
10-25 03:57:24	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x9a723c…
10-25 03:43:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xec27b2…
10-25 03:43:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xaa6b94…
10-25 03:43:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0xab524e…
10-25 03:43:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	106	97¢	$102	0x50de57…
10-25 03:19:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	237	97¢	$229	0xb6003f…
10-25 03:10:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$343	0xf46dd7…
10-25 02:40:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0xb38fa7…
10-25 02:27:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x962862…
10-25 00:47:24	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x13a8db…
10-25 00:47:23	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8e91c5…
10-25 00:37:21	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x968830…
10-25 00:13:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x0ccb95…
10-24 23:40:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x7172a3…
10-24 23:10:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$363	0xb4aae8…
10-24 23:09:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x5464bc…
10-24 22:40:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0x556272…
10-24 21:45:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	237	97¢	$229	0x6887d3…
10-24 21:40:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xa66171…
10-24 21:10:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0x255986…