Definitive-Resume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

152

Trades

2,772

lifetime

Volume

$1.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$373

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

84% 56% +$10,406

Politics

16% 60% -$12,850

Sports

0% 91% +$312

Crypto

0% 0% -$156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	78	$213.3K	131,299	131,299	+0	Yes	+$3,702	07-29 18:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	101	$180.2K	165,151	165,151	+0	No	-$5,012	09-11 19:09
Fed rate hike in 2026?	94	$60.5K	60,438	60,438	+0	Yes	+$293	08-21 19:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	41	$48.5K	58,121	58,121	-0	Yes	+$1,339	10-26 01:46
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	89	$41.7K	25,534	25,534	+0	No	-$419	06-17 13:08
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	362	$40.9K	22,729	22,752	-23	Yes	+$2,104	03-18 21:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$31.7K	19,587	19,587	+0	No	+$3,088	07-14 13:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$31.1K	23,040	23,040	+0	Yes	+$895	09-16 18:02
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	68	$26.9K	16,398	17,008	-610	Yes	+$504	02-27 13:04
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	210	$26.2K	20,320	20,196	+124	Yes	-$581	03-26 19:06
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	182	$24.2K	19,105	12,579	+6,526	Yes	+$700	06-17 21:29
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	158	$22.6K	13,016	13,033	-17	Yes	+$419	04-29 21:45
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	101	$18.0K	10,034	10,642	-608	Yes	-$281	01-28 20:42
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	16	$17.1K	9,879	8,218	+1,661	Yes	+$264	01-20 13:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	43	$15.6K	78,198	0	+78,198	No	-$15,649	10-04 21:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$14.3K	9,735	9,735	+0	open	—	10-04 19:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	15	$13.9K	8,420	8,420	+0	Yes	+$383	06-22 14:24
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	38	$13.5K	7,459	7,459	+0	Yes	+$318	02-27 13:32
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	52	$12.8K	11,264	4,730	+6,534	Yes	+$945	07-31 20:59
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	76	$12.5K	11,354	4,571	+6,783	Yes	+$1,822	09-16 17:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$11.9K	13,700	13,700	+0	open	—	09-29 18:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	44	$11.1K	6,482	8,310	-1,828	Yes	-$268	02-26 14:30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	26	$9.4K	12,061	12,061	+0	No	-$64	08-25 12:36
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	10	$9.3K	5,847	5,847	+0	No	+$651	06-22 14:23
will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	51	$8.1K	6,267	6,259	+8	No	+$46	03-26 19:07
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	28	$7.8K	4,606	4,415	+191	No	+$405	03-18 22:07
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	84	$7.6K	19,571	8,175	+11,397	No	-$489	06-17 22:32
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	60	$7.4K	5,369	5,369	+0	Yes	+$975	05-07 19:01
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?	24	$6.6K	3,927	3,927	-0	No	+$396	08-28 14:17
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$4.5K	9,333	9,333	+0	open	—	10-04 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:56:05	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	556	53¢	$296	0x0143ee…
10-26 13:34:24	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x5dc6bf…
10-26 13:34:17	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0xed91cf…
10-26 12:22:29	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	144	79¢	$114	0x9bdeab…
10-26 12:22:29	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x7a8a27…
10-26 12:22:27	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x59cc3e…
10-26 12:22:06	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	186	68¢	$127	0x5583c8…
10-26 12:22:00	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	275	63¢	$173	0x300154…
10-26 12:21:54	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	61¢	$58	0xeb7d76…
10-26 01:46:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	925	100¢	$924	0x3a0c7f…
10-25 22:57:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1c7e4c…
10-25 22:57:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$39	0x21cd70…
10-25 22:56:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x2db14c…
10-21 12:32:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	635	20¢	$127	0x64e9ec…
10-21 12:28:32	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0xfca3b0…
10-07 16:25:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x80c641…
10-07 16:24:26	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	157	17¢	$26	0x512b74…
10-07 16:24:17	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	396	15¢	$58	0xe7eab4…
10-07 16:23:35	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x9c05db…
10-07 16:23:28	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x0adfc4…
10-07 16:23:05	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	444	6¢	$26	0xd1b139…
10-07 16:22:53	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	SELL	96	86¢	$82	0x70e8e0…
10-07 16:22:44	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	496	3¢	$16	0x58fcfb…
10-05 20:03:26	GTA VI released by October 31?	Yes	SELL	955	0¢	$4	0x8824e4…
10-05 20:02:55	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	353	13¢	$47	0x9759b3…
10-05 20:02:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x410df3…
10-04 21:53:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,487	5¢	$74	0xe5f0a9…
10-04 21:45:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x622959…
10-04 21:45:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	320	5¢	$16	0x245be3…
10-04 21:44:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,477	5¢	$124	0xe69a42…
10-04 21:44:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x185ad4…
10-04 21:44:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xfca7f0…
10-04 21:44:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	790	5¢	$41	0x881352…
10-04 21:44:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x39f5d0…
10-04 21:44:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xfc53db…
10-04 21:44:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15,534	5¢	$777	0x9113a3…
10-04 21:44:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x182225…
10-04 21:44:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xdec0d0…
10-04 21:44:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,521	5¢	$172	0x447e88…
10-04 21:31:13	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5,708	24¢	$1,346	0x11fae5…
10-04 21:19:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,838	13¢	$369	0xab6101…
10-04 21:18:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,090	13¢	$660	0x45f57e…
10-04 21:18:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xec3f64…
10-04 21:18:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10,180	13¢	$1,314	0x30d677…
10-04 21:17:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,331	12¢	$157	0xca5caf…
10-04 21:17:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,243	11¢	$247	0x8526ee…
10-04 21:17:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xb9ca0b…
10-04 21:17:46	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x1d8a80…
10-04 21:17:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	228	12¢	$27	0xb75f74…
10-04 21:17:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xe549b3…
10-04 21:17:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	228	12¢	$27	0x71ed75…
10-04 21:17:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x98a833…
10-04 21:17:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	140	12¢	$17	0xf075bd…
10-04 21:17:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	234	12¢	$28	0xf0342a…
10-04 21:17:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,429	12¢	$172	0x6bbb83…
10-04 21:17:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x230dc1…
10-04 21:17:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3ee742…
10-04 21:17:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12,193	11¢	$1,283	0xce2f47…
10-04 21:17:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,002	11¢	$110	0x8f6863…
10-04 21:17:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,786	11¢	$196	0x699a24…
10-04 21:17:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	321	11¢	$35	0x255254…
10-04 21:17:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0e5390…
10-04 21:04:49	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,292	25¢	$323	0x18406a…
10-04 20:04:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	194	69¢	$134	0x94d249…
10-04 20:03:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x867cdb…
10-04 20:01:31	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	516	21¢	$106	0x9089fe…
10-04 20:01:16	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,267	63¢	$1,428	0xc2df6c…
10-04 20:00:23	another fed rate hike in 2026	No	SELL	2,333	25¢	$572	0x51a719…
10-04 19:59:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,318	82¢	$2,720	0x959b84…
10-02 15:42:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,588	75¢	$1,186	0x1dd128…
10-02 15:04:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfe26ea…
10-02 15:03:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x16f39b…
10-02 15:03:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$59	0x9611ac…
10-02 15:03:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x93342a…
10-02 14:29:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x1d4ee1…
10-02 14:08:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3d16cb…
10-02 13:54:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,666	75¢	$1,250	0xbcda60…
10-02 13:53:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	75¢	$2,250	0x44ec89…
10-02 13:08:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,318	83¢	$2,754	0x5ed655…
10-02 12:43:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$748	0xbcc683…
10-02 12:43:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	305	75¢	$227	0xf995a3…
10-02 12:34:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$12	0x6d1fd5…
10-02 12:34:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	86¢	$46	0x50e026…
10-02 12:34:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	717	87¢	$624	0x3ae1d1…
10-02 12:33:51	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	6,243	26¢	$1,623	0x56dca0…
10-02 12:33:45	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x2c6234…
09-30 18:11:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,751	38¢	$2,565	0x0e85c3…
09-30 13:01:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,017	38¢	$767	0x44d3b9…
09-30 12:43:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,418	66¢	$2,256	0x5c7a94…
09-30 12:43:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,433	65¢	$1,582	0xb53f91…
09-30 12:43:21	another fed rate hike in 2026	No	BUY	3,010	20¢	$600	0xe7154e…
09-30 12:28:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8,424	40¢	$3,366	0x0e867c…
09-29 18:03:53	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,008	7¢	$71	0xae85a8…
09-29 18:03:42	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	500	24¢	$121	0x05e0a0…
09-29 18:02:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,320	61¢	$805	0x6aff88…
09-24 20:05:27	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	SELL	1,231	76¢	$931	0xa0497d…
09-24 15:46:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	75¢	$1,125	0xb66f26…
09-24 15:44:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,550	66¢	$1,023	0xfe7e00…
09-24 15:43:45	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	1,231	76¢	$935	0x0149dd…
09-24 15:40:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,458	74¢	$4,779	0x0d85a4…