Realized P&L
-$75
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
76
Trades
204
lifetime
Volume
$332
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 11-04 09:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Sports
38% 31% +$8
Other
36% 8% -$67
Politics
14% 29% -$6
Crypto
10% 0% -$6
Tech
2% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +304 $11 1¢ $3 -$7 08-06 05:24
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +21 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 09-01 06:01
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +21 $1 12¢ $3 +$1 09-16 06:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 09-01 05:59
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +21 $2 9¢ $2 +$0 08-05 06:29
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +10 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 10-30 07:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +21 $2 9¢ $2 $0 09-20 11:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +21 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 07-26 10:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +30 $3 5¢ $2 -$2 10-26 09:15
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +107 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 08-03 06:36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $0 08-15 07:30
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +21 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 09-14 08:18
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +21 $2 7¢ $1 $0 10-25 08:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 10-23 07:34
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +103 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-02 09:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +43 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 08-04 05:57
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +21 $3 5¢ $1 -$1 08-04 05:54
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-04 05:37
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +73 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 09-20 11:53
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-23 07:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +21 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 07-26 09:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $1 19¢ $1 +$0 11-04 07:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +30 $1 3¢ $1 $0 09-16 06:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $0 07-21 07:29
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +21 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-20 11:38
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +21 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-13 13:08
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 08-05 06:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $0 30¢ $1 +$1 10-28 08:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 08-06 20:29
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +103 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-25 08:12