Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$74.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$702

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-29 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$123

Politics

35% 0% $-1,500

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$6.1K	3,088	3,088	+0	open	—	05-16 07:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$5.1K	2,575	2,575	+0	open	—	04-29 17:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$4.8K	1,899	4,227	-2,328	open	—	07-20 07:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$4.7K	330	4,773	-4,443	open	—	06-11 00:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$4.4K	2,442	2,442	-0	open	—	07-03 12:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$4.4K	2,747	2,636	+111	open	—	05-21 14:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$3.1K	4,469	0	+4,469	open	—	06-11 01:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$2.6K	2,018	1,009	+1,009	open	—	07-13 10:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$2.4K	3,509	1,000	+2,509	open	—	06-17 05:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,632	1,053	+1,579	open	—	05-27 08:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	488	2,154	-1,667	open	—	06-11 02:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$2.1K	2,553	2,553	+0	open	—	06-28 04:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$2.0K	2,469	0	+2,469	open	—	06-12 11:39
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2.0K	2,123	0	+2,123	Yes	+$123	04-13 09:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1.5K	2,113	0	+2,113	Yes	$-1,500	05-03 11:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.5K	870	870	+0	open	—	04-14 02:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$1.4K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	04-15 00:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$1.2K	0	1,333	-1,333	open	—	06-06 07:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	4,211	4,211	+0	open	—	06-28 04:07
US recession by end of 2026?	1	$1.2K	0	1,332	-1,332	open	—	07-13 10:40
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$1.2K	0	1,167	-1,167	open	—	06-08 01:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	04-13 09:07
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$1.0K	1,695	0	+1,695	open	—	07-14 15:30
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$1000	1,852	0	+1,852	open	—	07-14 22:24
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$989	1,750	1,000	+750	open	—	06-17 05:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	4	$939	6,061	7,825	-1,765	open	—	06-12 15:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$810	421	421	+0	open	—	06-19 20:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$800	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	07-03 14:12
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	2	$782	1,471	2,357	-886	open	—	06-28 04:07
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	1	$700	1,273	0	+1,273	open	—	07-13 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 12:57:35	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,121	33¢	$700	0x7899be…
07-27 23:22:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x0b9ece…
07-27 21:48:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x9438a7…
07-27 17:35:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x91d94d…
07-27 17:32:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xf52576…
07-27 14:18:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	284	88¢	$250	0xca36b2…
07-22 08:58:48	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x7e7c12…
07-22 08:58:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0x67995b…
07-20 07:46:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,727	73¢	$1,991	0xfcf7be…
07-14 22:24:50	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,852	54¢	$1,000	0x3addb5…
07-14 15:30:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0xf7348f…
07-13 12:41:13	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	1,273	55¢	$700	0x048897…
07-13 11:10:32	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,316	37¢	$489	0xc3123f…
07-13 10:40:58	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,009	87¢	$878	0x22fb24…
07-13 10:40:41	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,332	89¢	$1,185	0x8b9403…
07-08 03:50:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x5f5c9a…
07-07 16:34:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	323	35¢	$113	0xccbcf2…
07-07 16:15:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	323	47¢	$152	0xfeb477…
07-06 23:50:19	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x4e5587…
07-06 23:50:16	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x43a722…
07-06 15:15:55	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	1,471	34¢	$500	0x29bbe0…
07-06 15:15:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xa92d91…
07-03 14:12:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	76¢	$800	0x7d8da3…
07-03 12:43:05	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	215	94¢	$202	0xd92c4a…
07-03 12:43:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,442	93¢	$2,271	0xb00580…
07-03 12:42:53	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	1,724	9¢	$154	0xe0142a…
07-03 12:42:50	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,266	1¢	$16	0x759a7c…
07-03 12:42:46	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$13	0x5ef0fa…
06-28 04:07:04	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,357	12¢	$283	0x1a339f…
06-28 04:07:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,211	9¢	$399	0xcda5f8…
06-28 04:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,553	35¢	$894	0xc52393…
06-20 18:15:40	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	217	98¢	$213	0x543d16…
06-19 20:21:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	421	98¢	$413	0xf3862a…
06-19 02:42:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0x5a82bc…
06-17 08:43:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x0224e4…
06-17 05:56:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	33¢	$327	0x07d00c…
06-17 05:55:55	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	46¢	$460	0x030455…
06-17 05:55:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0x54db5a…
06-16 01:48:09	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xd75373…
06-16 01:48:04	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x2a2323…
06-16 01:47:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	421	94¢	$398	0x18a461…
06-12 23:45:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0xfd7b0f…
06-12 23:45:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,553	47¢	$1,200	0x338f8f…
06-12 15:54:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	3,913	2¢	$87	0x8569a7…
06-12 12:14:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	3,913	9¢	$352	0x00d9df…
06-12 11:39:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	2,469	81¢	$2,000	0x1c3c8a…
06-11 02:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,154	84¢	$1,810	0x932b94…
06-11 01:13:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,899	79¢	$1,500	0x93ff1b…
06-11 01:12:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	69¢	$2,772	0x864a51…
06-11 00:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4,773	92¢	$4,391	0x2d8320…
06-09 22:17:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0x3861b8…
06-09 22:17:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x6ad1c7…
06-09 22:17:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	488	82¢	$400	0xf1cdb3…
06-08 01:21:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,167	100¢	$1,164	0x981f21…
06-06 10:58:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	841	85¢	$715	0x848974…
06-06 10:51:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,047	86¢	$900	0xc32613…
06-06 10:45:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0x9c0bbf…
06-06 09:13:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,211	19¢	$797	0x39b952…
06-06 09:13:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0x73aa52…
06-06 09:11:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,395	86¢	$1,200	0x99d00c…
06-06 08:16:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	3,509	56¢	$1,979	0xc21408…
06-06 07:00:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,333	93¢	$1,240	0x08f462…
06-03 01:21:51	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,333	15¢	$500	0x70a70d…
06-03 01:21:50	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	BUY	2,727	11¢	$300	0x5287d1…
06-03 01:21:46	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,471	34¢	$499	0xb17328…
06-03 01:21:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,750	38¢	$662	0x8cacbb…
05-27 08:00:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,053	68¢	$721	0xd9507e…
05-21 14:12:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,636	78¢	$2,058	0x059eaf…
05-16 07:33:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	3,088	99¢	$3,058	0x089665…
05-14 09:47:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xa8bef6…
05-03 11:26:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,113	71¢	$1,500	0x81a637…
05-03 11:26:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,410	83¢	$2,000	0x052113…
05-03 11:26:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3,083	97¢	$2,997	0xe7674c…
05-03 11:19:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc1509…
05-01 06:54:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	228	56¢	$129	0xbe87de…
04-30 03:49:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,632	57¢	$1,500	0x60df3f…
04-29 17:25:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2,575	100¢	$2,572	0xcdad25…
04-15 00:53:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	1,053	54¢	$571	0xc63e27…
04-14 02:51:57	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0xfdcef8…
04-14 02:17:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	870	99¢	$863	0x048158…
04-13 09:08:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,123	94¢	$2,000	0xfe8500…
04-13 09:07:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	1,053	76¢	$796	0xedbb98…
04-13 09:07:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0xd5676f…
04-13 09:06:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2,575	97¢	$2,500	0xebdbb7…
04-01 11:50:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	870	69¢	$600	0xd01a89…
03-22 17:28:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x5894b9…
03-22 17:28:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa3bc17…
03-22 01:04:17	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	SELL	363	49¢	$179	0xe84037…
03-17 23:29:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x92073c…
03-17 23:28:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0xab6c0b…
03-17 23:28:45	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	265	76¢	$200	0x7862fe…
03-17 23:28:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	431	46¢	$199	0x55dff0…
03-17 23:20:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xc11033…
03-17 23:20:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	162	46¢	$75	0x11c189…
03-17 23:20:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	83	90¢	$75	0xd812a3…
03-17 23:19:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb8cb26…
03-17 23:19:47	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	98	76¢	$75	0x47d012…
03-09 13:14:51	will netanyahu visit nyc by march 31	No	BUY	421	95¢	$399	0x1529c8…
03-01 17:08:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	164	93¢	$153	0x3314f9…
03-01 15:52:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x709bbe…