Questionable-Metric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$177

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-29 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

58% 14% $-3

Sports

39% 0% $-6

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	+21	$5	26¢	$6	+$1	05-29 11:20
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	05-29 11:18
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+6	$5	90¢	$5	+$0	05-29 11:21
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+6	$5	80¢	$5	+$0	05-29 11:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	5	$26	99	99	+0	open	—	04-11 14:08
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	5	$22	146	0	+146	open	—	05-07 09:09
will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-15 10:53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-02 06:00
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$10	11	6	+6	open	—	03-06 14:28
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$8	40	0	+40	open	—	03-19 07:43
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-29 11:20
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-29 11:20
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-29 11:21
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 11:18
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	$-5	03-10 06:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-10 15:28
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	2	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 11:09
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-18 12:26
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	04-27 09:03
bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 draw	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-06 16:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-18 12:26
bun ein lei 2026 04 18 draw	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-13 06:45
bun dor b04 2026 04 11 draw	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-06 16:38
sea sas com 2026 04 17 draw	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-07 04:30
sea nap mil 2026 04 06 draw	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-06 16:35
epl che mac 2026 04 12 draw	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-06 16:37
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 draw	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-20 11:58
uef wal bih 2026 03 26 wal	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-25 11:52
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-28 15:56
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-13 04:26
bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 draw	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-20 11:59
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-26 05:25
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-27 05:58
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-18 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 11:21:00	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x154911…
05-29 11:20:39	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xab915e…
05-29 11:20:04	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1e7479…
05-29 11:18:54	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x43f9e1…
05-07 09:09:46	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x2d5bba…
04-27 09:04:44	Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2e68e6…
04-27 09:04:12	Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x830128…
04-27 09:03:44	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x099286…
04-27 09:03:36	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3361c3…
04-27 09:02:50	Will Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0d8fd5…
04-27 09:02:34	Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe5466c…
04-27 09:02:18	Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1e8435…
04-27 09:02:08	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8934e2…
04-27 09:01:54	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x85946e…
04-24 06:56:38	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d0da7…
04-19 13:12:16	Will Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x11dc89…
04-19 13:12:08	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x86bfe7…
04-19 13:11:40	Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x43f682…
04-19 13:11:04	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x73f923…
04-18 12:26:46	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd167bb…
04-18 12:26:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3c3dca…
04-16 08:14:02	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x51592f…
04-14 09:45:53	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaf5488…
04-13 06:45:37	bun ein lei 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d3799…
04-13 06:44:57	sea udi par 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf00614…
04-13 06:44:13	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe32d0c…
04-13 06:44:05	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf1cb8f…
04-11 14:11:05	bun wer hsv 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x75e6a3…
04-11 14:08:37	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	49	24¢	$12	0x000df7…
04-09 11:09:17	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa02c9f…
04-08 13:26:59	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x59c0b1…
04-08 13:26:43	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe41a79…
04-07 05:19:15	lal bil vil 2026 04 12 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9f3a0f…
04-07 04:32:41	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0d64bd…
04-07 04:30:29	sea sas com 2026 04 17 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6a416c…
04-06 16:39:41	uel bol ast4 2026 04 09 draw	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe61780…
04-06 16:39:05	bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x29b511…
04-06 16:38:57	bun dor b04 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd2ba6e…
04-06 16:37:45	epl che mac 2026 04 12 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb9b4d0…
04-06 16:35:55	sea nap mil 2026 04 06 draw	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcab7a9…
03-28 15:57:03	uef cze den 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x25d0f0…
03-28 15:56:57	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc86ce9…
03-28 15:56:47	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe097bd…
03-27 06:09:37	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x451d36…
03-27 05:58:33	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb7688a…
03-26 05:27:13	uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc20a8d…
03-26 05:25:57	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7a44ca…
03-25 11:52:57	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 rom	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x259f42…
03-25 11:52:11	uef wal bih 2026 03 26 wal	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb40c72…
03-25 11:51:43	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70d240…
03-25 11:51:13	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5e2985…
03-23 02:38:57	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	49	7¢	$3	0x499a76…
03-20 11:59:53	fl1 nan str 2026 03 22 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe81e7f…
03-20 11:59:19	bun wol wer 2026 03 21 draw	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6bea6f…
03-20 11:59:05	bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 draw	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x69d882…
03-20 11:58:17	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x826241…
03-20 11:58:11	lal sev val 2026 03 21 draw	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x220ae0…
03-20 11:57:47	sea juv sas 2026 03 21 draw	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x76387e…
03-19 07:43:59	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfc1dcf…
03-18 06:48:33	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9ddc0b…
03-16 07:47:05	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5754b5…
03-15 10:53:39	will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xedf702…
03-13 04:26:45	Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0c0436…
03-13 04:26:37	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0317db…
03-13 04:26:07	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb3f8be…
03-10 15:28:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe849b0…
03-10 11:28:01	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1c1769…
03-10 06:44:39	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe93308…
03-10 06:43:45	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe7f4e1…
03-10 06:42:11	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7feac1…
03-10 06:41:17	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1247ec…
03-10 06:40:53	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xddae82…
03-06 14:28:17	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xf2cecb…
03-06 09:47:35	will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5437d6…
03-05 16:35:21	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x955ac7…
03-05 11:47:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x189c61…
03-03 12:53:15	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbe0da7…
03-03 12:50:05	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x800a02…
03-02 14:16:31	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x28e181…
03-02 14:07:45	Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x16eddd…
03-02 06:02:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe420e8…
03-02 06:01:45	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xd8939d…
03-02 06:00:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xf130b9…