Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
91.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
871
lifetime
Volume
$69.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$924
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-26 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% $-1
Other
31% 100% +$4
Crypto
13% 0% $-32
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +660 $503 84¢ $551 +$48 06-09 16:28
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +187 $153 98¢ $184 +$31 06-06 01:46
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -666 $-111 $-37 +$75 06-25 12:21
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -48 $-35 69¢ $-33 +$2 06-04 05:53
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-24 66¢ $-33 $-8 05-28 16:10
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -40 $-24 65¢ $-26 $-2 06-04 05:51
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +38 $24 68¢ $26 +$2 05-28 06:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +100 $39 22¢ $22 $-16 06-06 20:26
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +50 $34 17¢ $8 $-26 06-07 10:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +391 $177 $3 $-175 06-12 10:53
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes -50 $-10 $-1 +$9 06-01 13:49