Realized P&L
+$309
Unrealized P&L
+$1.36K
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
5,511
Trades
66,836
lifetime
Volume
$256.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$9.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-07 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
76% 46% +$377
Sports
20% 44% -$59
Politics
4% 33% -$10
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 33% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,032 $630 100¢ $1.0K +$399 06-09 11:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +850 $588 94¢ $803 +$215 06-09 09:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +730 $621 91¢ $666 +$44 06-09 06:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +690 $577 83¢ $572 -$5 06-08 21:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +560 $431 98¢ $547 +$116 06-09 02:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +570 $485 86¢ $489 +$4 06-09 03:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +560 $414 82¢ $461 +$46 06-09 14:01
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +420 $237 91¢ $382 +$145 06-09 17:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +350 $264 84¢ $292 +$28 06-09 06:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +310 $255 91¢ $282 +$27 06-09 02:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +520 $346 52¢ $273 -$73 06-09 13:27
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +270 $224 100¢ $269 +$45 06-07 14:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +390 $284 68¢ $265 -$20 06-08 16:58
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +260 $196 97¢ $253 +$57 06-07 13:23
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +280 $218 90¢ $251 +$33 06-08 21:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +520 $176 48¢ $247 +$71 06-09 04:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +210 $174 99¢ $207 +$33 06-05 21:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $163 94¢ $187 +$24 06-10 15:29
US recession by end of 2026? No +200 $160 93¢ $186 +$26 06-09 13:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +320 $211 57¢ $184 -$27 06-09 07:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +300 $206 60¢ $180 -$26 06-08 13:11
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +190 $119 82¢ $157 +$38 06-08 15:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +220 $102 70¢ $153 +$51 06-09 14:08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +170 $142 84¢ $142 +$0 06-07 17:55
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +140 $117 99¢ $139 +$22 06-06 16:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +320 $107 42¢ $136 +$28 06-09 06:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +390 $107 32¢ $125 +$18 06-09 04:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $96 40¢ $120 +$23 06-08 18:13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +690 $113 17¢ $118 +$5 06-09 06:38
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +140 $111 84¢ $117 +$6 06-07 17:28