Realized P&L
+$309
Unrealized P&L
+$1.39K
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
5,511
Trades
66,836
lifetime
Volume
$256.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$9.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-07 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
76% 46% +$377
Sports
20% 44% -$59
Politics
4% 33% -$10
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 33% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,032 $630 100¢ $1.0K +$398 06-09 11:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +850 $588 94¢ $803 +$215 06-09 09:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +730 $621 91¢ $665 +$44 06-09 06:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +690 $577 81¢ $556 -$21 06-08 21:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +560 $431 97¢ $544 +$113 06-09 02:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +570 $485 87¢ $498 +$12 06-09 03:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +560 $414 82¢ $457 +$42 06-09 14:01
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +420 $237 92¢ $384 +$147 06-09 17:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +350 $264 83¢ $291 +$28 06-09 06:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +310 $255 92¢ $285 +$30 06-09 02:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +520 $346 53¢ $276 -$71 06-09 13:27
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +270 $224 100¢ $269 +$45 06-07 14:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +390 $284 67¢ $261 -$23 06-08 16:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +280 $218 90¢ $253 +$35 06-08 21:52
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +260 $196 97¢ $252 +$56 06-07 13:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +520 $176 47¢ $244 +$68 06-09 04:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +210 $174 99¢ $208 +$34 06-05 21:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +320 $211 60¢ $190 -$20 06-09 07:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $163 94¢ $187 +$24 06-10 15:29
US recession by end of 2026? No +200 $160 93¢ $186 +$26 06-09 13:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +300 $206 61¢ $182 -$24 06-08 13:11
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +190 $119 82¢ $156 +$37 06-08 15:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +220 $102 68¢ $151 +$49 06-09 14:08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +170 $142 84¢ $142 +$0 06-07 17:55
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +140 $117 99¢ $139 +$22 06-06 16:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +690 $113 19¢ $134 +$21 06-09 06:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +320 $107 40¢ $130 +$22 06-09 06:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +390 $107 33¢ $129 +$22 06-09 04:12
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +170 $77 70¢ $118 +$41 06-07 23:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $96 39¢ $118 +$22 06-08 18:13