Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$505

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-10 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$505

Other

28% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$10	10¢	$10	$-0	06-10 10:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	+100	$13	1¢	$1	$-12	05-28 14:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	+100	$4	1¢	$1	$-3	05-29 00:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$246	300	200	+100	Yes	+$174	05-08 18:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$204	2,313	0	+2,313	open	—	02-28 20:01
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	03-27 07:09
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	4	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 19:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$129	400	100	+300	Yes	+$331	05-08 18:36
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	12	$100	2,780	0	+2,780	open	—	02-28 18:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$91	350	0	+350	open	—	02-28 17:30
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 22:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	8	$70	503	0	+503	open	—	03-22 16:34
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$44	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 17:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$25	100	0	+100	open	—	03-28 10:09
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	4	$19	935	0	+935	open	—	03-21 11:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$13	100	0	+100	open	—	05-28 14:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$12	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 21:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$10	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	03-10 22:59
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 10:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-12 01:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 00:15
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	1	$3	200	0	+200	open	—	03-08 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 10:48:21	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd33a03…
05-29 00:15:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc789ff…
05-28 14:16:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x3dec60…
05-08 18:36:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x17addb…
05-08 18:02:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x38cb5b…
04-18 22:55:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x3238d4…
04-14 20:19:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x263aaa…
04-12 20:08:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x018df3…
04-09 17:39:43	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x54a4bb…
04-09 17:20:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xe3a6ac…
03-28 10:09:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0x4d90bd…
03-28 10:08:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x06242a…
03-28 10:08:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0xde9763…
03-27 07:09:59	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x82dae5…
03-22 16:34:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x655c3c…
03-21 11:07:01	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$0	0x24c256…
03-21 10:50:59	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xccf05a…
03-21 08:39:07	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa5eab3…
03-20 20:01:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1efc41…
03-15 09:55:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x4d449e…
03-14 18:31:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xfc4357…
03-14 08:34:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xbdea21…
03-14 08:18:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x822bde…
03-14 07:53:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x60b97e…
03-14 07:07:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	73	23¢	$17	0xc602df…
03-14 06:56:21	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x82094c…
03-13 21:49:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xafb68b…
03-12 22:44:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	74	65¢	$48	0x73992c…
03-12 22:26:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x54ac5b…
03-12 01:28:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdb1319…
03-11 07:41:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1d49b8…
03-10 22:59:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	1,700	0¢	$5	0x8fd9db…
03-09 19:28:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd97e02…
03-09 19:26:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x839702…
03-08 15:51:33	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xc1b7b3…
03-08 13:39:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xa61c3d…
03-06 19:01:25	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbaccb2…
03-05 22:55:03	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0xa8b012…
03-05 22:36:39	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0f153a…
03-05 22:13:41	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0cf374…
03-01 09:55:37	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	805	2¢	$18	0x3ad64f…
02-28 20:01:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x63c2f8…
02-28 19:48:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	93	5¢	$4	0x7792c4…
02-28 18:13:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,912	4¢	$69	0x632522…
02-28 18:09:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xacc74c…
02-28 17:52:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x890324…
02-28 17:44:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x8adb27…
02-28 17:44:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$3	0x36fdd7…
02-28 17:42:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3d8622…
02-28 17:38:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc53ce4…
02-28 17:38:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	147	4¢	$5	0x69a22d…
02-28 17:38:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x5b0371…
02-28 17:30:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x254d19…
02-28 17:30:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	350	26¢	$91	0x794a30…
02-28 17:27:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x143e2d…
02-28 17:26:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xb78bda…
02-28 17:21:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0xa34618…