Leading-Chess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

236

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$844

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 49% -$40

Politics

3% 0% $0

Other

0% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	5	$24	62	62	+0	Up	-$2	10-05 14:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$21	27	27	+0	open	—	10-28 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26?	8	$19	56	25	+31	Up	-$7	09-26 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	4	$16	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$13	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	10-25 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	10-01 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:05 UTC	2	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	08-04 07:06
bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	5	$13	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	10-01 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 13:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 14:30 UTC	2	$11	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	08-17 14:35
bitcoin up or down on august 18 2026	5	$11	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	08-18 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	10-05 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:35 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	10-17 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-17 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:35 UTC	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	07-12 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 14:25 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	08-16 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-05 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:50 UTC	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	07-31 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	$0	10-28 08:36
bitcoin up or down on july 22 2026	4	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	07-22 15:21
bitcoin up or down on september 28 2026	6	$8	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	09-28 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:55 UTC	3	$8	7	6	+0	Up	+$5	04-22 07:01
bitcoin up or down on july 11 2026	5	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	07-11 15:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 09:45 UTC	4	$8	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	08-12 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	6	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$0	10-11 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	3	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 05:32
bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	4	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	07-27 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	2	$7	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	10-26 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:15 UTC	2	$6	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	08-21 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1fcb0e…
10-28 08:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06c30d…
10-28 08:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa01f94…
10-28 08:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5dd71d…
10-28 08:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x45daef…
10-28 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x174cc3…
10-28 02:21:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xff5382…
10-28 02:21:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	16	54¢	$8	0x164bca…
10-27 13:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x89173c…
10-27 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x427a09…
10-26 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x0b6fee…
10-26 04:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6738f3…
10-25 14:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x4ad928…
10-25 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc94af…
10-25 05:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2fb65a…
10-25 04:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xba1da1…
10-25 04:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7bd429…
10-25 04:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf6b42d…
10-25 04:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xfed0c5…
10-25 04:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd63f71…
10-25 03:54:30	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x41d937…
10-25 03:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6a70a7…
10-25 03:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8aa9c4…
10-25 03:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c0b30…
10-22 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xccbcd6…
10-22 13:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xf98846…
10-22 10:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x214491…
10-21 07:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x448616…
10-21 04:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x19dc99…
10-20 06:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x5e980e…
10-19 01:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa6241b…
10-18 14:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x30621a…
10-18 14:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc8b5bd…
10-18 14:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x88032f…
10-18 11:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1c95e5…
10-18 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7ddc0f…
10-17 22:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x0e263d…
10-17 13:20:53	bitcoin up or down on october 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3fb08a…
10-17 12:35:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xf2bd57…
10-17 12:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcfa539…
10-17 12:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xb501a5…
10-17 12:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd11ae8…
10-17 12:02:26	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe331d0…
10-17 09:07:14	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x39dc7d…
10-16 16:20:00	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x148e4a…
10-16 10:32:30	bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x25355f…
10-16 10:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x65ca1e…
10-16 06:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x67ed78…
10-15 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc2eaba…
10-15 15:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x51664e…
10-14 13:25:53	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xe015e5…
10-14 08:49:08	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x74ff80…
10-14 08:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x1477c1…
10-14 08:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x20795d…
10-14 08:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd341f4…
10-14 05:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd2610d…
10-14 05:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb9b633…
10-14 05:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7ea7e7…
10-13 13:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x527ba5…
10-13 13:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe33df1…
10-13 13:31:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2591d6…
10-13 13:31:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x103ab3…
10-13 13:31:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x6e542b…
10-13 13:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xded854…
10-13 06:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x122914…
10-13 03:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x98a777…
10-12 11:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x3de100…
10-12 04:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc3dc90…
10-11 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x5c95d0…
10-11 13:22:15	bitcoin up or down on october 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcc3097…
10-11 06:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2eebeb…
10-11 03:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x0bf24c…
10-10 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77fc21…
10-10 15:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x86531d…
10-10 11:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3bec5e…
10-10 11:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x362183…
10-10 10:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x54f87f…
10-10 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9b6347…
10-10 09:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc578a6…
10-10 08:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xe5d5f2…
10-10 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x09dd36…
10-09 06:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xb3ad38…
10-09 03:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9eb796…
10-08 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xc8eeba…
10-08 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa924cc…
10-08 12:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x39fd11…
10-08 06:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x17d206…
10-07 03:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb40ad2…
10-06 15:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa9f412…
10-06 14:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x21bd91…
10-05 15:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x80ec49…
10-05 15:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x24cf52…
10-05 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x5d57fd…
10-05 15:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd51386…
10-05 14:56:38	bitcoin up or down on october 5 2026	Down	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0xb3d9ff…
10-05 14:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x8bfcb2…
10-05 14:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x91282c…
10-05 14:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xee9453…
10-05 14:34:38	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd95c88…
10-05 13:22:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xf88378…