Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$77,854
Trades
7,217
Unique wallets
1,137
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
45¢
Latest NO mid
55¢
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-05 15:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 44% YES on $39.0K
vs crowd: 43% YES on $70.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 200 | $21.3K | $27.7K | $6.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 322 | $5.1K | $7.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 348 | $3.2K | $4.5K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 267 | $829 | $640 | +$189 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 230 | $17.3K | $21.7K | $4.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 155 | $2.0K | $2.4K | $420 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 53 | $331 | $313 | +$18 |
| Median | 66 | $330 | $1.1K | $770 |
| Below median | 272 | $933 | $1.8K | $914 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 139 | $1.7K | $2.2K | $456 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 151 | $3.2K | $3.3K | $152 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 71 | $4.7K | $7.6K | $2.8K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x70d4…6491 | Down | +6,395 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 30 | 10-05 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +3,104 | $1,581 | $1,581 | 110 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +2,369 | $1,131 | $1,131 | 65 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +2,062 | $1,062 | $1,062 | 47 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Unrealistic-Salad 0xab71…2ada | Down | +1,792 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 10-05 15:03 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,635 | $863 | $863 | 127 | 10-05 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,597 | $991 | $991 | 78 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,570 | $839 | $839 | 40 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,502 | $537 | $537 | 90 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,495 | $782 | $782 | 91 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +1,495 | $736 | $736 | 91 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +1,335 | $575 | $575 | 92 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +1,309 | $744 | $744 | 77 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd77f…175c | Up | +1,265 | $15 | $295 | 8 | 10-05 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +1,240 | $393 | $393 | 77 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3244…3e5e | Down | +1,239 | $428 | $428 | 13 | 10-05 15:08 |
| Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7 | Up | +1,205 | $602 | $602 | 3 | 10-05 15:03 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 17 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +1,191 | $616 | $616 | 27 | 10-05 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | +1,189 | $1,161 | $1,161 | 2 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | +1,160 | $712 | $712 | 6 | 10-05 15:08 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | +1,160 | $664 | $664 | 79 | 10-05 15:08 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +1,158 | $392 | $392 | 3 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,153 | $601 | $601 | 93 | 10-05 15:07 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +1,152 | $765 | $765 | 25 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +1,118 | $424 | $424 | 61 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +1,107 | $478 | $478 | 40 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +1,073 | $702 | $702 | 55 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +1,066 | $471 | $471 | 27 | 10-05 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x70d4…6491 | Up | +1,053 | $230 | $230 | 4 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Up | +1,047 | $531 | $531 | 11 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +968 | $552 | $552 | 27 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | +960 | $950 | $950 | 31 | 10-05 15:09 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +929 | $281 | $315 | 4 | 10-05 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +926 | $404 | $404 | 78 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +846 | $580 | $580 | 70 | 10-05 15:09 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +752 | $404 | $445 | 20 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x86de…55c3 | Up | +751 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 10-05 15:05 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Up | +748 | $355 | $355 | 31 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +741 | $274 | $274 | 54 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +736 | $241 | $241 | 15 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +667 | $323 | $323 | 13 | 10-05 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +667 | $431 | $431 | 44 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +659 | $347 | $347 | 12 | 10-05 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6a6…7971 | Down | +653 | $300 | $300 | 6 | 10-05 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +648 | $403 | $403 | 29 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +643 | $367 | $367 | 56 | 10-05 15:08 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Down | +622 | $299 | $299 | 5 | 10-05 15:03 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +621 | $365 | $365 | 44 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +618 | $480 | $480 | 14 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +603 | $198 | $198 | 34 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 12 | 10-05 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +599 | $252 | $252 | 19 | 10-05 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +590 | $236 | $236 | 43 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | +588 | $296 | $296 | 25 | 10-05 15:04 |
| Paltry-Reliability 0x9772…4867 | Up | +561 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 10-05 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +552 | $173 | $173 | 2 | 10-05 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bc7…c4a9 | Up | +537 | $273 | $273 | 2 | 10-05 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +507 | $292 | $292 | 41 | 10-05 15:09 |
| Married-Tangerine 0xdfb2…c37c | Down | +471 | $250 | $250 | 4 | 10-05 15:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:10:41 | (anonymous) 0x36a0…8b34 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3eeee0… |
| 10-05 15:10:41 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3eeee0… |
| 10-05 15:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x7dd3e3… |
| 10-05 15:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xb3a4…adfe | Down | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x7dd3e3… |
| 10-05 15:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x4f879e… |
| 10-05 15:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 247 | 99¢ | $245 | 0x4f879e… |
| 10-05 15:09:58 | (anonymous) 0xf41e…cd23 | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x4f879e… |
| 10-05 15:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x6da0…5499 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x1cf5d8… |
| 10-05 15:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x1cf5d8… |
| 10-05 15:09:47 | (anonymous) 0xcccb…8590 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3145bd… |
| 10-05 15:09:47 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x9504f8… |
| 10-05 15:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x9504f8… |
| 10-05 15:09:47 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3145bd… |
| 10-05 15:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x5eb3…dd2d | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x9504f8… |
| 10-05 15:09:47 | (anonymous) 0xcccb…8590 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9504f8… |
| 10-05 15:09:44 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 119 | 99¢ | $118 | 0xf952f1… |
| 10-05 15:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 119 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf952f1… |
| 10-05 15:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x2187…ebd6 | Down | SELL | 130 | 99¢ | $129 | 0xd83adf… |
| 10-05 15:09:44 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 130 | 99¢ | $129 | 0xd83adf… |
| 10-05 15:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x8cd2…f752 | Down | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xeda9d9… |
| 10-05 15:09:43 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xeda9d9… |
| 10-05 15:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x1088…c727 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd2d21d… |
| 10-05 15:09:43 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xd2d21d… |
| 10-05 15:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x4374…70ae | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xeec4bd… |
| 10-05 15:09:41 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xeec4bd… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x9cd5…fe6e | Down | SELL | 532 | 99¢ | $527 | 0x39f443… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x22c3…dc46 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x22bb83… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | (anonymous) 0xf376…12d5 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc3a047… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x22bb83… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 532 | 99¢ | $527 | 0x39f443… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc3a047… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x7fe5…c17e | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbc58b6… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | Lighthearted-Hops 0x8559…2c8c | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xe3f56b… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbc58b6… |
| 10-05 15:09:38 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xe3f56b… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xf9461d… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x710b4c… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xe1508f… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbe51b7… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xf9461d… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xa27d…1543 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbe51b7… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x0de415… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xe8ad…00b8 | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xe1508f… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0xe1508f… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xf77d…624a | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x710b4c… |
| 10-05 15:09:37 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x0de415… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 401 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x05999e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0e55c… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Thorny-Precipitation 0xfe8c…e6be | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Up | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Yearly-Pub 0x1e96…e72a | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x05999e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x6c8b77… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x279a79… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe8ad…00b8 | Down | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x6c8b77… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x213cd1… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41ad6f… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xf99b…f007 | Up | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb2f0df… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x80c0…66c1 | Up | BUY | 113 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xda8bc3… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x279a79… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x6c8b77… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x545d…3918 | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x040d4a… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x1d6f55… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xc45e…16db | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xe0e55c… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1d6f55… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x91e9…a2de | Down | BUY | 203 | 98¢ | $200 | 0xb2f0df… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 196 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x1617…d79e | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x41ad6f… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x040d4a… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xa4b218… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x3da7c3… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3da7c3… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0xa12c4d… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x59fa98… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb8d011… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x701167… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xa255…3db4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6c8b77… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x0b1b…a70b | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x428a1f… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x80c0…66c1 | Up | BUY | 68 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb2f0df… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Knowledgeable-Expense 0x96b0…ffa5 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb2f0df… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xb8d011… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xf9a3…bb71 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xd213…d921 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xda8bc3… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xdf50c9… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xdf50c9… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Muffled-Bowler 0x44fb…74ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb2f0df… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xda0de0… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 1,148 | 99¢ | $1,137 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xa7cf…7768 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Equatorial-Grandpa 0xb22c…4efd | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6ef6e… |
| 10-05 15:09:35 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa12c4d… |