Lighthearted-Hops — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

2,321

Trades

5,444

lifetime

Volume

$57.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-30 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 62% -$224

Other

12% 44% -$135

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 225 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	6	$182	232	195	+36	Argentina	+$40	07-12 03:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:35 UTC	6	$143	117	117	+0	Up	-$7	07-26 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	3	$140	75	75	+0	No	+$10	10-16 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14?	4	$128	68	68	+0	No	+$7	10-14 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:55 UTC	4	$125	101	101	+0	Up	+$8	09-27 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?	8	$119	90	90	+0	Yes	+$28	10-19 21:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?	2	$113	60	60	+0	No	+$7	10-19 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:55 UTC	6	$111	78	78	+0	Up	+$11	07-27 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:20 UTC	2	$108	71	71	+0	Down	+$28	07-22 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$107	99	99	+0	Up	+$7	07-29 05:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 09:10 UTC	2	$106	57	57	+0	Down	+$6	07-22 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:30 UTC	4	$105	88	88	+0	Down	+$5	07-27 08:33
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	5	$105	346	0	+346	Spain	-$105	07-14 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 09:45 UTC	2	$103	55	55	+0	Up	+$3	07-22 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:55 UTC	4	$103	63	63	+0	Up	+$23	10-17 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:25 UTC	2	$102	53	53	+0	Down	+$2	07-22 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15?	5	$102	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	10-15 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$102	52	52	+0	Down	+$2	07-22 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 14:55 UTC	4	$101	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	07-25 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 14?	4	$100	55	55	+0	No	+$8	10-14 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	6	$97	64	64	+0	Down	+$7	10-04 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-02 09:05 UTC	5	$97	53	53	+0	Up	+$7	10-02 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:45 UTC	4	$96	87	87	+0	Down	-$4	07-26 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$96	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	10-20 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:40 UTC	2	$96	65	65	+0	Up	-$4	07-22 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:30 UTC	6	$95	74	74	+0	Up	+$5	07-26 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 14?	3	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$5	10-14 00:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 15:35 UTC	2	$94	88	88	+0	Down	-$6	07-22 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?	4	$91	66	66	+0	Yes	+$7	10-19 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 14:10 UTC	4	$91	82	82	+0	Up	-$9	07-26 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x33f957…
11-03 16:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xef482c…
11-03 16:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe607ce…
11-03 16:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x94f445…
11-03 16:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc520f2…
11-03 16:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x62ca76…
11-03 16:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0b8c61…
11-03 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc74aa7…
11-03 16:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x7b3714…
10-30 13:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x541ca6…
10-30 10:31:16	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	GenOne	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x5f4d07…
10-30 09:41:43	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	GenOne	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x544852…
10-30 09:41:33	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	BakS eSports	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xffd573…
10-30 09:05:09	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	BakS eSports	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x29b556…
10-30 08:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x989f42…
10-30 07:47:30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x362da4…
10-30 07:44:49	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	FlyQuest	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x393d17…
10-30 06:17:58	Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	FlyQuest	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x8b614e…
10-30 06:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xcaed47…
10-30 06:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8cbbe6…
10-30 06:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x2fc82d…
10-30 05:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5bb818…
10-30 05:12:36	Counter-Strike: NEXVOID vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	FlyQuest	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x634af3…
10-30 02:32:28	Counter-Strike: NEXVOID vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	FlyQuest	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xbd867b…
10-29 17:21:44	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5c19e6…
10-24 13:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x65fedb…
10-24 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa1cf8e…
10-24 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x506de7…
10-24 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x9e0dab…
10-24 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x03bb94…
10-24 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xcd94d7…
10-24 13:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x09f1d3…
10-24 13:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd286e7…
10-24 13:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8308eb…
10-24 13:00:35	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6c2e46…
10-24 12:50:17	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9618b8…
10-24 12:49:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x917e3a…
10-24 12:48:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x082b93…
10-24 12:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x63abd2…
10-24 12:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfb59c5…
10-24 12:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x92a8ea…
10-24 12:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xda9721…
10-24 12:36:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x42f86b…
10-24 12:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x1b26eb…
10-24 12:25:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x9b215d…
10-21 11:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x4060a2…
10-21 11:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0x0e9912…
10-21 10:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x830182…
10-21 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x47976f…
10-21 10:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1ca050…
10-21 10:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x475f93…
10-21 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x66192e…
10-21 10:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd0ef66…
10-21 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x69a7c1…
10-21 10:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x8b5bfd…
10-21 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2b9c89…
10-21 10:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x406d86…
10-21 09:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0xffc301…
10-21 09:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x18afb6…
10-21 09:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x20e7e7…
10-21 08:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x206f42…
10-21 08:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb5f943…
10-21 08:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x981c89…
10-21 08:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xec56b1…
10-21 08:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x299570…
10-21 08:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x990fb7…
10-21 08:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x9cb56a…
10-21 08:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xdae8aa…
10-21 08:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0dc4ad…
10-21 08:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x3b3be6…
10-21 06:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xafd33a…
10-21 06:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x0a8e3b…
10-21 06:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xf5e1ff…
10-21 06:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xcdb230…
10-21 05:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x1b4f17…
10-21 05:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x2ed43a…
10-21 05:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0xcf5ee0…
10-21 05:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x96f430…
10-21 05:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x51fb0b…
10-21 05:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc0e4bd…
10-21 05:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x939a38…
10-21 05:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x25d4be…
10-21 05:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x89a0b1…
10-21 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x238daf…
10-21 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbbf0de…
10-21 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb9844…
10-21 05:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x450f20…
10-21 05:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x09de79…
10-21 05:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x30826d…
10-21 05:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x665143…
10-21 05:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x888fb1…
10-21 05:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x39eda2…
10-21 05:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x195368…
10-21 05:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x56d4d1…
10-21 05:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x7f9969…
10-21 05:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3d7e9d…
10-21 05:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6511fd…
10-21 05:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe82659…
10-21 04:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xd3e81c…
10-21 04:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xaef6fc…