Lighthearted-Hops — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-05 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 47% $-5

Other

47% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	07-01 18:00
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$41	90	61	+29	open	—	07-04 00:22
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$21	34	0	+34	open	—	07-04 18:12
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$16	19	0	+19	open	—	07-01 18:03
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	07-03 03:08
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 19:09
btc updown 5m 1783234800	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	07-05 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$12	46	12	+33	Up	+$4	05-09 17:23
btc updown 5m 1771771500	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-22 14:51
btc updown 5m 1771772100	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-22 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 19:13
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	06-30 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$7	8	8	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$5	8	4	+4	Down	$-1	05-10 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:47
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-29 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:21
btc updown 5m 1783163400	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 07:04:20	btc updown 5m 1783234800	Down	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xa042af…
07-05 07:01:53	btc updown 5m 1783234800	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf8f465…
07-04 18:12:58	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0xb778e8…
07-04 11:13:16	btc updown 5m 1783163400	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xe19713…
07-04 11:11:59	btc updown 5m 1783163400	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x81f52f…
07-04 00:22:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xdd0f9e…
07-04 00:20:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	61	29¢	$18	0x1a9e63…
07-04 00:09:11	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x3d7046…
07-03 03:08:23	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x25c769…
07-02 20:29:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x89596e…
07-02 20:17:01	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x186e8a…
07-02 20:13:58	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc48bc7…
07-01 18:03:40	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x150468…
07-01 18:00:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xffb1d9…
07-01 17:12:28	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd7add6…
07-01 06:18:35	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x11a160…
06-30 19:12:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xa7697a…
06-30 19:09:02	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x11123e…
06-30 04:30:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc5d42b…
06-29 19:19:28	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3eface…
05-11 15:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7cc042…
05-11 15:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x29c2d6…
05-11 15:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0abbbe…
05-11 15:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xff08ad…
05-11 15:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x08e728…
05-11 15:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x87153d…
05-11 15:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xb29c30…
05-11 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9fcc5b…
05-11 15:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x275e41…
05-11 15:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe04e12…
05-11 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf31323…
05-11 15:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2d595b…
05-10 16:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x834a61…
05-10 16:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0bf468…
05-10 16:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x27f7d2…
05-10 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xd16fbb…
05-10 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6f4933…
05-10 16:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x281ae3…
05-10 16:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb09a99…
05-10 16:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x19199b…
05-10 16:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe22c81…
05-10 16:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x3874a7…
05-10 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x843cb2…
05-10 16:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6003d1…
05-10 16:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd599b1…
05-10 16:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2bc000…
05-10 16:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x71ddf7…
05-10 16:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xebfdb4…
05-10 15:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90c00f…
05-10 15:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xc09893…
05-10 15:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9c7c80…
05-10 15:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x55b24b…
05-10 15:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x576d80…
05-10 10:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd35737…
05-10 10:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x3dd877…
05-10 10:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb80e2…
05-10 10:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe710d2…
05-10 10:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x78cb0f…
05-10 10:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xaa012f…
05-09 19:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x99f765…
05-09 19:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3faea5…
05-09 19:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8ee2ad…
05-09 19:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc3bcf7…
05-09 19:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x1270c7…
05-09 19:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0a18ce…
05-09 19:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xe59da0…
05-09 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfd02dd…
05-09 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x1aed20…
05-09 19:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb63902…
05-09 18:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x0c9e8f…
05-09 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x617fc1…
05-09 18:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x3620f8…
05-09 18:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb4f2b1…
05-09 18:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xc7555d…
05-09 18:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc6dafa…
05-09 18:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xce5592…
05-09 18:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa5c33f…
05-09 18:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xc2a6dd…
05-09 18:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x984c5e…
05-09 17:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x625219…
05-09 17:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x78e40c…
05-09 17:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xbf4b38…
05-09 17:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2f33c2…
05-09 17:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x60e4e0…
05-09 17:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x09d242…
05-09 17:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xf175dc…
05-09 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa6d4aa…
05-09 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa62e41…
05-09 17:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xed74d8…
05-09 17:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x234c7f…
05-09 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x192687…
05-09 17:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x063e74…
05-09 17:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x5b8bf9…
05-09 17:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xca31be…
05-09 17:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x02d654…
05-08 18:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x90f61f…
05-08 18:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x63cca5…
05-08 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xbbe047…
05-08 18:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6b193d…
05-08 18:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x21ab98…