Paltry-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

289

Trades

2,206

lifetime

Volume

$942.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$427

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-07 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

77% 58% -$9,151

Sports

12% 75% -$755

Crypto

9% 49% -$3,607

Politics

2% 100% +$1,168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 mibr 3dmax 2026 04 09	11	$27.9K	19,964	19,824	+140	3DMAX	-$1,151	04-09 10:09
nba orl mia 2026 01 28	3	$21.8K	11,930	11,930	+0	Magic	+$2,022	01-29 04:08
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?	19	$20.1K	11,776	11,776	+0	Yes	+$3,461	05-17 07:25
lol kt ns 2026 04 09	2	$20.0K	10,365	10,343	+22	KT Rolster	+$715	04-09 13:06
lol dnf fox1 2026 01 29 game1	2	$19.7K	11,283	11,283	+0	BNK FEARX	+$2,810	01-29 08:53
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?	2	$19.4K	12,637	12,637	+0	Yes	+$5,855	05-17 12:04
atp prizmic harris 2026 04 08	3	$18.9K	9,661	9,649	+12	Dino Prizmic	+$377	04-09 12:13
nba dal phx 2026 04 08	2	$18.3K	9,575	9,552	+23	Suns	+$773	04-09 05:56
atp bergs zverev 2026 04 09	2	$18.0K	9,299	9,283	+16	Alexander Zverev	+$516	04-09 11:04
lol bro2 drx 2026 01 28	2	$17.2K	11,093	11,093	+0	DRX	+$4,981	01-28 12:35
j1100 yom fct 2026 04 11 fct	83	$17.0K	9,700	9,700	+0	Yes	+$2,415	04-11 07:55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$16.5K	9,328	9,328	+0	Yes	+$2,152	05-13 20:57
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	21	$14.8K	24,066	9,442	+14,623	No	-$6,163	05-16 09:54
lol tes we 2026 04 08	2	$14.3K	7,473	7,455	+18	Top Esports	+$603	04-08 14:15
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08	8	$13.8K	7,474	7,465	+10	Invictus Gaming	+$1,122	04-08 11:53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	5	$13.3K	8,975	8,975	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$1,002	05-16 19:12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?	2	$13.1K	7,427	7,427	+0	Yes	+$1,755	05-16 16:26
kor poh jej 2026 04 11 jej	97	$13.1K	7,300	7,300	+0	Yes	+$1,526	04-11 06:50
atp garin zverev 2026 04 08	6	$12.4K	8,269	8,171	+98	Alexander Zverev	+$2,445	04-08 14:29
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	5	$12.1K	11,881	11,881	+0	Team Falcons	-$1,946	05-16 17:10
nba phi ind 2026 04 10	2	$11.0K	5,818	5,801	+17	76ers	+$576	04-11 02:18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	3	$10.8K	6,301	6,301	+0	Yes	+$1,758	05-13 20:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$10.1K	7,246	7,246	+0	Yes	+$72	04-11 08:39
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	2	$9.7K	5,255	5,255	+0	Yes	+$783	05-13 18:53
nba chi ind 2026 01 28	2	$9.6K	5,634	5,634	+0	Pacers	+$1,628	01-29 02:32
lol ns drx 2026 04 11 game1	16	$9.6K	10,564	0	+10,564	Kiwoom DRX	-$9,613	04-11 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	12	$9.5K	7,978	7,790	+187	Down	-$1,071	04-08 12:48
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas	7	$9.3K	5,668	5,668	+0	James Duckworth	+$2,035	05-16 14:37
atp kotov holmgre 2026 04 07	7	$9.2K	5,075	5,075	+0	Pavel Kotov	+$908	04-08 08:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	170	$9.0K	5,998	5,998	+0	Down	+$2,993	01-28 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 11:17:36	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	SELL	696	98¢	$684	0x851ec9…
10-07 10:43:23	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner	Yellow Submarine	BUY	696	72¢	$500	0xc9c64f…
10-07 10:41:05	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	SELL	787	66¢	$519	0xe2c4c6…
10-07 10:16:03	LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	787	64¢	$500	0xfdf4bb…
10-07 10:12:08	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner	Blasterbl	SELL	1,181	100¢	$1,179	0x187a82…
10-07 09:28:59	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner	Blasterbl	BUY	1,181	68¢	$800	0x5f6486…
10-07 09:25:27	Valorant: NRG vs T1 - Map 1 Winner	NRG	SELL	812	32¢	$261	0xb0fc93…
10-07 09:19:21	Valorant: NRG vs T1 - Map 1 Winner	NRG	BUY	812	49¢	$400	0xd1f5e0…
10-07 09:18:39	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	Xipto Esports	SELL	1,967	100¢	$1,965	0x75d35b…
10-07 08:32:29	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	Xipto Esports	BUY	1,967	69¢	$1,353	0x55053e…
10-07 08:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0xf745bd…
10-07 08:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x84b93a…
10-07 08:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x88df22…
10-07 08:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x5371cb…
10-07 08:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x50b3b3…
10-07 08:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	143	57¢	$82	0x239939…
10-07 07:38:14	Set 2 Winner: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	SELL	1,114	57¢	$635	0x9131c8…
10-07 07:35:02	LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	SELL	1,341	100¢	$1,340	0x62b6a9…
10-07 06:56:15	LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	1,341	65¢	$872	0x13785d…
10-07 06:55:54	LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	FlyQuest	SELL	1,251	72¢	$901	0x60877d…
10-07 06:55:30	LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	FlyQuest	BUY	1,251	73¢	$913	0xaee9d5…
10-07 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x39d96b…
10-07 06:47:11	Set 2 Winner: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	1,114	63¢	$700	0xe3afec…
10-07 06:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1,606	99¢	$1,589	0x2969cb…
10-07 06:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xd2dec3…
10-07 06:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xadb359…
10-07 06:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x7a1b7d…
10-07 06:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xda6082…
10-07 06:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x439bf1…
10-07 06:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xb8e5a9…
10-07 06:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x9dec2d…
10-07 06:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x499106…
10-07 06:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x1ab1ff…
10-07 06:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd90dba…
10-07 06:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x60c560…
10-07 06:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xc802d6…
10-07 06:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x3fc0a1…
10-07 06:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf625d5…
10-07 06:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x0bd8d9…
10-07 06:26:17	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xeecce1…
10-07 06:24:29	Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	825	69¢	$568	0x051e85…
10-07 06:23:57	Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xe0bb32…
10-07 06:23:56	Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	219	58¢	$127	0xaa32d5…
10-07 06:23:56	Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5e21bb…
10-07 06:21:29	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	447	76¢	$340	0x72b558…
10-07 06:19:38	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x3567b4…
10-07 06:17:47	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xff77e2…
10-07 06:17:47	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xeb7eac…
10-07 06:17:47	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x76e687…
10-07 06:17:47	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6b1960…
10-07 06:17:47	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x312cf5…
10-07 06:16:38	Suzhou: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kyoka Okamura	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	1,053	57¢	$600	0x959d70…
10-07 06:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x77ac39…
10-07 05:46:59	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	BUY	184	70¢	$129	0x50d0f8…
10-07 05:34:44	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	446	74¢	$330	0xfd314e…
10-07 05:34:00	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x251664…
10-07 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb4d142…
10-07 05:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xde0724…
10-07 05:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0xbed33e…
10-07 05:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x847ed3…
10-07 05:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xc327fe…
10-07 05:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	165	57¢	$94	0x349217…
10-06 13:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x31945f…
10-06 13:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2479c3…
10-06 13:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3aa323…
10-06 13:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x91050a…
10-06 13:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xafa809…
10-06 13:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x344a4d…
10-06 13:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x65b3e0…
10-06 13:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xc68a27…
10-06 13:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x5d876a…
10-06 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xbb197e…
10-06 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x14384f…
10-06 13:22:10	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	1,972	31¢	$611	0x899e24…
10-06 12:57:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	1,972	81¢	$1,597	0x275b37…
10-06 12:52:09	Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	1,615	100¢	$1,613	0x6b5f6a…
10-06 12:20:58	Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	1,615	81¢	$1,308	0x24b3de…
10-06 12:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x37c5f8…
10-06 12:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7e6fcf…
10-06 12:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xe0df73…
10-06 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x64611b…
10-06 12:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6ded84…
10-06 12:13:24	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	SELL	708	27¢	$191	0x196e2e…
10-06 12:04:03	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	708	52¢	$368	0x833d29…
10-06 11:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf1de01…
10-06 11:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe6ea02…
10-06 11:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe057f0…
10-06 11:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xd028f3…
10-06 11:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x979dc0…
10-06 11:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0xb52321…
10-06 11:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8169b5…
10-06 11:53:52	Samsun: Antonia Ruzic vs Alicia Dudeney	Antonia Ruzic	SELL	874	24¢	$210	0xa82e10…
10-06 11:50:10	Samsun: Antonia Ruzic vs Alicia Dudeney	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	874	60¢	$524	0xce55d3…
10-06 11:36:21	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	SELL	693	29¢	$198	0x039d0a…
10-06 11:36:03	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	SELL	818	43¢	$354	0x79ff45…
10-06 11:15:31	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	693	57¢	$396	0x58c053…
10-06 11:15:10	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	818	55¢	$450	0x55d632…
10-06 11:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	866	100¢	$865	0xedac94…
10-06 11:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x90259b…
10-06 11:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x74bd57…