Equatorial-Grandpa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$442

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

8,749

Trades

16,280

lifetime

Volume

$48.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-28 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 64% -$374

Other

7% 82% -$69

Politics

2% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 781 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$321	560	560	+0	No	-$6	04-01 17:39
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$282	210	210	+0	No	-$1	04-02 03:31
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	55	$197	259	259	+0	Yes	-$1	03-30 01:23
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$180	250	250	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 16:07
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?	9	$178	180	180	+0	Yes	-$35	04-02 11:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$174	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 12:17
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$168	242	242	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 13:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	4	$137	210	210	+0	No	-$7	03-30 17:55
andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	30	$121	148	148	+0	Yes	-$2	03-16 16:12
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	19	$115	128	102	+27	open	—	10-26 11:17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$94	90	90	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:38
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$86	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	03-29 13:35
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?	4	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	10-16 06:52
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	6	$77	54	46	+7	open	—	10-26 10:56
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	17	$75	135	0	+135	Up	-$5	10-21 10:47
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	22	$71	150	0	+150	Up	+$4	10-21 08:41
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	15	$71	80	60	+20	Up	-$4	10-20 13:16
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	3	$68	45	45	+0	open	—	10-15 15:04
XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9AM ET	17	$68	70	60	+10	Up	-$4	10-20 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$66	183	0	+183	Down	-$15	05-19 02:52
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?	2	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	10-15 22:34
grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	3	$65	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-12 00:59
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	14	$61	87	35	+52	open	—	10-26 11:18
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	9	$60	67	60	+7	open	—	10-27 02:46
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?	11	$58	50	30	+20	open	—	10-26 06:27
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?	6	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	10-17 03:28
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	2	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	10-13 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	9	$52	63	40	+23	Down	+$4	05-21 02:33
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	7	$49	32	32	+0	open	—	10-18 00:27
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	2	$49	60	60	+0	Up	-$1	03-29 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:39:13	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $295 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x5d868c…
10-28 14:38:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3cc23f…
10-28 09:10:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0xb34410…
10-28 08:59:05	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdea433…
10-28 08:53:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x05b241…
10-28 08:49:05	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2529ef…
10-28 04:32:26	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x47bf5d…
10-27 16:26:33	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 26 above $335?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xba81d2…
10-27 15:31:06	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 26 above $340?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb40008…
10-27 15:20:18	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 26 above $330?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x437385…
10-27 15:13:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd23a23…
10-27 12:27:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb77747…
10-27 05:00:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xec1239…
10-27 04:44:29	will skhy reach 159 by october 26 2026	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5b71af…
10-27 04:39:15	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xeaf690…
10-27 04:38:05	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xed66c1…
10-27 04:35:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x979db4…
10-27 04:33:39	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc2d938…
10-27 04:31:47	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf29808…
10-27 04:31:00	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd035d7…
10-27 04:30:47	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x376097…
10-27 04:16:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x809727…
10-27 04:16:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x62f2d9…
10-27 04:15:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x24109f…
10-27 04:12:41	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x81173b…
10-27 04:12:23	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4298f3…
10-27 04:10:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0b5b1f…
10-27 03:35:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 in October?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6430ba…
10-27 02:58:17	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x87365a…
10-27 02:57:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x78dfad…
10-27 02:55:35	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9ab8e4…
10-27 02:54:18	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe3cef3…
10-27 02:48:30	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be less than $0.55 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdb8aa8…
10-27 02:46:54	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x07f3d4…
10-26 16:33:30	Will Meta (META) close above $670 on October 27?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4dd593…
10-26 11:19:51	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe99bf7…
10-26 11:19:39	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x3be2e6…
10-26 11:19:21	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $1.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xb82967…
10-26 11:19:09	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x025c00…
10-26 11:18:59	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xc8289d…
10-26 11:18:47	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x7057ff…
10-26 11:18:33	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2276c7…
10-26 11:18:18	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcbac5e…
10-26 11:18:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x67ef0e…
10-26 11:17:56	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x8bb811…
10-26 11:17:33	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc2c2b1…
10-26 11:08:35	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x481e62…
10-26 11:08:20	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb79a6c…
10-26 11:06:33	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xde9644…
10-26 10:59:42	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa5f439…
10-26 10:59:23	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb930a2…
10-26 10:58:53	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf10cd7…
10-26 10:56:20	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x57d372…
10-26 10:55:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xd6af75…
10-26 10:54:39	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xbb4b34…
10-26 10:27:06	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x944fdc…
10-26 10:14:17	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0b8f30…
10-26 09:16:47	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf3d4a1…
10-26 09:14:14	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xe0587a…
10-26 06:27:26	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb4862d…
10-26 04:13:26	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2207d4…
10-26 02:03:41	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x85507d…
10-25 23:50:11	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcc32d1…
10-25 23:39:11	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x9406c3…
10-25 23:39:06	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x198958…
10-25 21:36:20	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x69a1fe…
10-25 20:13:54	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7299a7…
10-25 20:02:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbf850d…
10-25 19:45:15	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd605bc…
10-25 19:05:41	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa247cd…
10-25 16:53:53	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x80aab8…
10-25 15:40:20	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5a9bdd…
10-25 15:15:18	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfb1822…
10-25 14:38:33	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdce246…
10-25 14:09:00	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2f308b…
10-25 13:37:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9a8db2…
10-25 08:50:56	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdb6087…
10-25 06:15:02	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfeec98…
10-24 22:19:08	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3148ad…
10-24 21:28:53	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x726e7b…
10-24 11:19:57	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x19a0ec…
10-24 10:40:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9472f9…
10-24 09:48:23	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa83406…
10-24 09:34:45	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x55a787…
10-24 09:19:06	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4497d0…
10-24 09:06:05	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe85a41…
10-24 08:26:29	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3cb6c2…
10-24 08:24:39	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x674756…
10-24 08:20:06	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5eca39…
10-24 08:19:35	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x737008…
10-24 08:19:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1d0f5e…
10-24 08:18:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb24036…
10-24 06:20:38	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbf5fea…
10-24 04:14:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x808125…
10-24 03:39:47	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x425fb3…
10-24 02:49:50	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4c97a4…
10-24 02:49:44	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xe061cb…
10-24 02:20:14	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xff8588…
10-24 02:00:51	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x95723a…
10-24 01:52:30	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0a06ec…