Thorny-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

15,697

Trades

24,009

lifetime

Volume

$128.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-24 01:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$2,123

Other

1% 54% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 784 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$200	392	0	+392	Up	-$200	05-27 05:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$200	364	0	+364	Up	-$200	05-28 17:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:30 UTC	1	$195	256	0	+256	Up	-$195	08-19 18:29
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$188	422	0	+422	Up	-$188	05-22 04:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:10 UTC	2	$186	520	0	+520	Up	-$186	08-20 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$172	310	0	+310	Up	+$138	05-26 15:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$168	204	0	+204	Down	+$36	05-19 19:16
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$162	268	0	+268	Up	-$162	05-19 23:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$160	289	0	+289	Down	-$160	05-28 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$160	290	0	+290	Up	-$160	05-27 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$160	300	0	+300	Down	-$160	05-26 15:59
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$160	462	0	+462	Up	-$160	05-20 12:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$160	293	0	+293	Up	+$133	05-26 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$160	314	0	+314	Up	+$154	05-24 05:49
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$160	185	0	+185	Up	-$160	05-20 12:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$160	289	0	+289	Down	+$129	05-25 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$160	283	0	+283	Down	+$124	05-26 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$153	281	0	+281	Down	+$128	05-27 03:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$147	261	0	+261	Up	-$147	05-27 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$140	252	0	+252	Up	+$112	05-26 07:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$118	212	0	+212	Down	-$118	05-25 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$111	200	0	+200	Down	-$111	05-29 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	12	$101	114	77	+37	Down	+$2	09-18 07:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	05-27 01:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$100	180	0	+180	Down	-$100	05-30 03:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$96	05-28 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	Up	+$82	05-28 08:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$100	183	0	+183	Up	+$83	05-28 22:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$100	188	0	+188	Up	-$100	05-28 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$100	194	0	+194	Up	+$94	05-28 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa1a862…
10-24 01:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1da459…
10-24 00:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa1e245…
10-24 00:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x78b69a…
10-23 16:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8c661f…
10-23 14:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdd361b…
10-23 13:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa9b56e…
10-23 10:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a030f…
10-23 10:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2ee715…
10-23 05:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x236c00…
10-23 05:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5c97f4…
10-23 04:35:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdf50dd…
10-23 02:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x44d292…
10-23 02:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2dd019…
10-23 01:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xea38ae…
10-23 01:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfcc71a…
10-23 01:15:36	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe45abb…
10-23 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8ba724…
10-22 23:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe3be02…
10-22 22:40:44	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc039c0…
10-22 22:00:57	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9a3b2c…
10-22 22:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7eef0a…
10-22 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc6b709…
10-22 18:50:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0536dc…
10-22 18:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xeb15a4…
10-22 16:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x214098…
10-22 16:20:45	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfaaf2d…
10-22 16:10:48	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x04feae…
10-22 15:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x66b985…
10-22 14:05:53	BNB Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xba2b20…
10-22 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x32e539…
10-22 12:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x001d8d…
10-22 10:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x242fbc…
10-22 08:35:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xac0218…
10-22 02:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc663bf…
10-22 01:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x859379…
10-22 00:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x324bc8…
10-21 22:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x65e0f4…
10-21 20:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9281a9…
10-21 15:00:47	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc64b65…
10-21 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a44f7…
10-21 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x250df5…
10-21 13:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x65e128…
10-21 12:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xae1cec…
10-21 12:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x15ce95…
10-21 12:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf66b43…
10-21 12:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x83c38e…
10-21 12:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x36fe80…
10-21 12:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x928b28…
10-21 12:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x9de9fa…
10-21 12:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x49986b…
10-21 12:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd225be…
10-21 11:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xb91d46…
10-21 11:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xde8906…
10-21 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf2dde2…
10-21 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x81e674…
10-21 11:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x6a16f6…
10-21 11:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x6c956a…
10-21 11:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x614d69…
10-21 11:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x415a4e…
10-21 11:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x408935…
10-21 11:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xce2ef9…
10-21 11:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x2dbca0…
10-21 11:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x0ccd07…
10-21 11:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x77d846…
10-21 11:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9396cc…
10-21 11:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xc5d092…
10-21 11:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x66c9e6…
10-21 11:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3e87b1…
10-21 11:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x6675dd…
10-21 11:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0x935470…
10-21 11:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x9d9238…
10-21 11:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x34dd8d…
10-21 11:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xe222ff…
10-21 11:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x954db2…
10-21 11:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0ccab3…
10-21 11:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xbfb1d7…
10-21 11:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x78c5c6…
10-21 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xb5fc3d…
10-21 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xa71f8d…
10-21 10:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x1cd369…
10-21 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x03a14d…
10-21 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x260092…
10-21 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xbc5a72…
10-21 10:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xccd5a8…
10-21 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x6442f2…
10-21 10:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xb83318…
10-21 10:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x02f36d…
10-21 10:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc3108d…
10-21 10:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x1cd232…
10-21 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf8233c…
10-21 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x90c84a…
10-21 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x64ee15…
10-21 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe934a9…
10-21 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x9f457d…
10-21 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x772576…
10-21 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5e1a15…
10-21 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x03d269…
10-21 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xee50c0…
10-21 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x13fde8…