Huge-Overflight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

-$541

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

341

Trades

2,183

lifetime

Volume

$94.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$261

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-12 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 57% +$810

Other

14% 35% -$911

Tech

6% 100% +$1,057

Sports

4% 33% -$709

Politics

1% 29% -$321

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 536 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	+365	$80	33¢	$120	+$40	10-21 04:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+1,047	$337	10¢	$99	-$237	11-09 18:21
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,468	$321	1¢	$33	-$287	09-21 09:26
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+644	$64	1¢	$8	-$57	09-17 14:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	5	$2.9K	1,926	1,510	+416	No	+$304	05-15 07:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	43	$2.6K	2,040	2,040	+0	Yes	+$759	08-05 16:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$2.3K	1,363	1,363	+0	Yes	+$292	06-12 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	28	$2.0K	1,321	1,321	+0	Down	+$279	11-05 15:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	26	$2.0K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$665	07-27 15:04
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.8K	1,717	700	+1,017	Yes	-$605	11-12 08:43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$1.7K	3,595	4,133	-538	No	+$794	07-19 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	13	$1.5K	1,661	1,279	+382	Up	-$80	11-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	14	$1.3K	1,650	1,570	+79	Up	+$86	11-04 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	20	$1.3K	1,672	1,118	+554	Down	-$153	11-05 16:04
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	4	$1.1K	1,667	1,458	+208	Knicks	+$148	06-14 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	10	$994	2,202	1,035	+1,167	Up	+$264	11-04 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$982	1,587	617	+970	Up	-$168	11-05 15:32
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	12	$958	1,985	1,225	+760	No	-$62	05-14 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$941	1,192	1,192	+0	Up	+$241	11-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	12	$934	1,147	833	+314	Down	+$64	11-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	11	$902	777	777	+0	Up	+$202	11-04 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	7	$836	649	614	+35	Down	+$176	11-04 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	11	$832	902	902	+0	Down	+$56	11-06 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 20:15 UTC	9	$825	2,661	0	+2,661	Up	+$1,836	06-19 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	10	$808	1,048	1,048	+0	Up	+$9	11-05 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	13	$801	857	857	+0	Up	+$131	11-04 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	13	$763	891	891	+0	Up	+$43	11-06 11:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	20	$760	647	647	+0	Yes	+$385	10-30 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	11	$754	832	665	+167	Down	+$44	11-06 10:54
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$725	5,757	3,288	+2,468	open	—	09-21 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	7	$714	1,456	889	+568	Up	+$54	11-04 13:24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$706	600	2,633	-2,033	Yes	-$1,532	07-15 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$691	1,237	1,237	+0	Down	+$71	11-04 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$682	541	541	+0	Down	+$182	11-05 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 13:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4bf770…
11-12 13:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x682a17…
11-12 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd9ee17…
11-12 13:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0cadb3…
11-12 13:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xbe4c44…
11-12 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa93694…
11-12 12:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xfeda3a…
11-12 12:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xed2aa8…
11-12 12:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x24633d…
11-12 12:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x361e3b…
11-12 12:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x1c6049…
11-12 12:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xdacf2b…
11-12 12:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x791d76…
11-12 12:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x539add…
11-12 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	172	41¢	$70	0x13cf10…
11-12 12:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x398d29…
11-12 12:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xb9fdff…
11-12 10:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	83	62¢	$52	0x67ab0a…
11-12 10:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x4f7d5e…
11-12 09:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0xecb416…
11-12 09:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	127	72¢	$91	0xf1d7d2…
11-12 09:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xcf5d51…
11-12 09:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x37a625…
11-12 09:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x082714…
11-12 09:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xfcea8e…
11-12 09:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x1870c9…
11-12 09:25:51	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x6cc896…
11-12 09:09:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x3b2681…
11-12 08:50:58	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xb47590…
11-12 08:50:46	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xbe3403…
11-12 08:43:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x5185b9…
11-12 08:43:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x600417…
11-12 07:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xfcc519…
11-12 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf46487…
11-11 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3c5418…
11-11 22:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x756816…
11-11 22:27:22	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	337	59¢	$200	0x13e390…
11-11 10:20:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0x998bab…
11-11 10:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0x1977c3…
11-11 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06901f…
11-11 10:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x8fc6b4…
11-11 10:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	125	37¢	$46	0x4018cb…
11-11 10:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xdf4a41…
11-11 10:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	500	39¢	$195	0x7eabc9…
11-11 10:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xed92ff…
11-11 09:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0xdba801…
11-11 09:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x38261b…
11-11 09:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	506	64¢	$322	0x71aa8c…
11-11 09:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xce7049…
11-11 09:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa7153b…
11-11 09:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x7c8739…
11-11 09:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x97394f…
11-11 09:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	298	68¢	$201	0x79bfcc…
11-11 09:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xf60eb3…
11-11 09:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xc86366…
11-11 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	78	82¢	$64	0x1dda6f…
11-11 09:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x83ed76…
11-11 09:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x2e154d…
11-11 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	353	70¢	$247	0xc480bb…
11-11 09:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xe535e1…
11-11 09:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x36b77b…
11-11 09:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x327ac3…
11-11 09:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9ee87b…
11-11 09:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc35976…
11-11 09:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7c55fc…
11-11 09:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9c00c9…
11-11 09:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xc9130e…
11-11 09:39:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	84¢	$336	0x569e09…
11-11 09:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x44f18d…
11-11 09:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x14b781…
11-11 09:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x5e30a6…
11-11 09:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9220d3…
11-11 09:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x074d53…
11-11 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	138	61¢	$84	0x8f9e30…
11-11 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x150a0a…
11-11 09:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x7b9cfb…
11-11 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xb83c7c…
11-11 09:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb723a8…
11-11 09:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xa2eef4…
11-11 09:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x87d61c…
11-10 22:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	291	24¢	$70	0xa25710…
11-10 22:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x607068…
11-10 22:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x195dbb…
11-10 22:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xc9d2f9…
11-10 22:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x881ca0…
11-10 22:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc0eca8…
11-10 22:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3c9f2b…
11-10 22:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xbfd44a…
11-10 22:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x177d6c…
11-10 22:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x617951…
11-10 22:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3bb5a9…
11-10 22:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x06cc9e…
11-10 22:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd35e2d…
11-10 22:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	728	29¢	$212	0x20157f…
11-10 22:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xd29c22…
11-10 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	294	21¢	$61	0xd7e9ee…
11-10 21:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcfa55a…
11-10 21:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcae23c…
11-10 21:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa267df…
11-10 21:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xf384d7…