Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$478
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
205
Trades
731
lifetime
Volume
$44.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$3.38K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 08-13 18:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
49% 67% +$1,893
Politics
22% 77% -$670
Crypto
18% 78% +$643
Sports
11% 67% +$450
Tech
1% 100% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +611 $403 86¢ $525 +$122 05-18 17:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +403 $280 96¢ $387 +$107 05-20 01:26
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +389 $342 97¢ $379 +$37 07-03 10:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +397 $302 94¢ $375 +$74 05-21 07:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +299 $280 98¢ $293 +$13 06-05 19:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +289 $249 97¢ $280 +$31 06-05 17:01
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +216 $200 96¢ $208 +$8 06-01 16:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +233 $170 86¢ $200 +$30 06-06 20:56
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,333 $214 6¢ $183 -$31 07-02 19:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +119 $100 94¢ $111 +$11 06-10 16:06
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +108 $99 97¢ $105 +$6 06-17 00:53
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +103 $90 97¢ $100 +$10 06-09 23:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +101 $85 98¢ $99 +$14 06-30 12:27
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +97 $90 98¢ $96 +$6 06-15 09:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +37 $22 100¢ $37 +$15 06-20 16:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$55 94¢ $0 +$55 06-19 03:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +0 $118 68¢ $0 -$117 08-13 18:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$89 84¢ $0 +$89 08-12 20:27