Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$160
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
501
lifetime
Volume
$24.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$3.07K
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-30 02:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
42%
Politics
29%
Crypto
18%
Sports
10% 50% +$6
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +458 $408 100¢ $457 +$49 06-05 09:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +299 $280 95¢ $283 +$3 06-05 19:08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +276 $270 100¢ $275 +$5 06-01 20:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +289 $249 90¢ $259 +$10 06-05 17:01
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +253 $250 100¢ $252 +$2 06-05 14:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +216 $200 94¢ $202 +$2 06-01 16:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,571 $-188 12¢ $-196 $-8 06-27 21:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +195 $185 100¢ $194 +$9 06-06 11:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +188 $185 100¢ $188 +$3 06-08 10:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +277 $130 52¢ $145 +$15 06-11 20:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +133 $130 100¢ $133 +$3 06-08 05:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +108 $99 100¢ $108 +$8 06-08 22:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +119 $100 86¢ $102 +$2 06-10 16:06
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +101 $100 100¢ $101 +$1 06-11 07:12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +97 $90 94¢ $91 +$2 06-15 09:31
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,897 $55 $41 $-14 06-17 10:33
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -350 $-21 $-26 $-5 06-27 21:56
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +280 $22 $18 $-4 06-12 06:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-55 80¢ $0 +$55 06-19 03:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +0 $-21 $0 +$21 06-18 20:26