Realized P&L
-$6.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved
225
Trades
1,840
lifetime
Volume
$78.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$907
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-01 10:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Politics
51% 64% -$1,986
Crypto
34% 61% -$4,106
Other
15% 73% -$437
Sports
0% 33% -$106
Tech
0% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +300 $242 88¢ $263 +$21 08-30 23:34
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +100 $93 98¢ $98 +$5 08-09 15:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +100 $85 96¢ $96 +$11 07-31 00:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $58 36¢ $71 +$13 08-16 13:20
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +100 $80 61¢ $61 -$19 08-08 23:12
Trump out as President before 2027? No +60 $56 96¢ $58 +$1 07-31 00:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$3 07-31 00:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +50 $3 98¢ $49 +$46 08-18 11:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 07-31 00:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +200 $94 20¢ $39 -$55 08-16 13:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $28 82¢ $33 +$5 07-19 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -20 -$17 97¢ $-19 -$2 05-14 12:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +15 $11 88¢ $13 +$2 07-19 09:19
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 08-09 13:27