Realized P&L
+$25.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.78K
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
342
Trades
7,516
lifetime
Volume
$1.82M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$242
Open exposure
$57.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-27 07:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
66% 65% +$18,118
Politics
30% 37% +$6,536
Sports
3% 88% +$456
Crypto
1% 57% +$461
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,000 $20,124 68¢ $20.6K +$426 10-25 17:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +20,000 $13,401 68¢ $13.7K +$299 10-25 17:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $8,200 84¢ $8.3K +$150 10-25 17:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,000 $6,510 92¢ $6.4K -$105 10-25 17:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30,002 $902 9¢ $2.8K +$1,903 10-21 20:54
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12,500 -$695 15¢ $-1831 -$1,137 10-25 18:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,640 84¢ $1.7K +$30 10-25 17:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14,262 -$563 5¢ $-749 -$185 04-28 14:49
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,603 -$475 5¢ $-535 -$60 05-06 00:51
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2,524 -$1,877 14¢ $-353 +$1,523 08-29 17:06
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -1,663 $906 21¢ $-349 -$1,255 10-25 17:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -1,049 -$302 26¢ $-267 +$35 10-21 20:57
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$265 1¢ $-110 +$155 05-06 00:52