Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.76K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
35
7,517 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$53.3K
$1.82M lifetime
Avg / trade
$242
Open exposure
$58.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-27 16:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
66% 65% +$18,118
Politics
30% 37% +$6,536
Sports
3% 88% +$456
Crypto
1% 57% +$461
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,000 $20,124 70¢ $20.9K +$726 10-25 17:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +20,000 $13,401 70¢ $14.0K +$599 10-25 17:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $8,200 79¢ $7.9K -$300 10-25 17:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,000 $6,510 92¢ $6.4K -$105 10-25 17:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30,002 $902 9¢ $2.8K +$1,903 10-21 20:54
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12,500 -$695 15¢ $-1831 -$1,137 10-25 18:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,200 $1,804 79¢ $1.7K -$66 10-27 16:24
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14,262 -$563 5¢ $-742 -$178 04-28 14:49
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10,603 -$475 5¢ $-525 -$50 05-06 00:51
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2,524 -$1,877 15¢ $-379 +$1,498 08-29 17:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -1,049 -$302 36¢ $-372 -$70 10-21 20:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -1,663 $906 18¢ $-308 -$1,214 10-25 17:18
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20,000 -$265 1¢ $-110 +$155 05-06 00:52