Realized P&L
+$54
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
47.9%
Resolved
39
Trades
106
lifetime
Volume
$195
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$45
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-03 16:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
82% 56% +$78
Other
18% 0% -$23
Crypto
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +13 $10 61¢ $8 -$2 11-03 16:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +62 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 11-03 15:26
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 08-19 06:12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 08-19 06:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $0 08-19 06:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +177 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 10-28 03:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13 $3 18¢ $2 -$1 08-19 06:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 08-19 06:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4 $1 47¢ $2 +$1 10-29 17:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +194 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 11-02 16:45
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +30 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 11-03 16:04
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +43 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-29 17:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 09-12 14:52
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-29 17:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +65 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-12 18:55
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:48
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-12 15:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +9 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 11-03 15:38
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-19 06:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:52
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-15 16:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +208 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 09-28 19:53
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-15 22:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-26 16:20