Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?
Yes won
Total volume
$13,605
Trades
423
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-08-17
last 10-05 11:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.6¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $7.5K
vs crowd: 96% YES on $10.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 43 | $6.3K | $145 | +$6.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $2.8K | $187 | +$2.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $452 | $34 | +$418 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $51 | $17 | +$35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 34 | $7.4K | $90 | +$7.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $152 | $11 | +$140 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Below median | 9 | $32 | $13 | +$19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $44 | $18 | +$26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $521 | $57 | +$463 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 37 | $1.5K | $193 | +$1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa15e…b828 | No | +2,000 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-01 20:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x26b1…cc81 | Yes | +1,805 | $1,803 | $1,803 | 1 | 10-05 11:33 |
| Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca | Yes | +1,305 | $1,221 | $1,926 | 5 | 09-03 08:59 |
| Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | +1,029 | $987 | $1,326 | 5 | 09-30 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | +751 | $20 | $20 | 13 | 10-03 07:48 |
| Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | +502 | $497 | $497 | 3 | 10-04 18:55 |
| Creative-Diction 0xeab6…d4c6 | No | +411 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 08-20 08:00 |
| Unwitting-Salami 0x22e4…66e5 | Yes | +392 | $392 | $392 | 2 | 10-03 07:49 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +372 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-25 10:13 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +280 | $13 | $13 | 14 | 08-25 10:13 |
| Serpentine-Majority 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | +261 | $257 | $257 | 4 | 10-04 01:35 |
| Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | +242 | $220 | $220 | 3 | 08-20 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +235 | $7 | $7 | 9 | 09-25 06:13 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | +203 | $198 | $198 | 11 | 10-05 11:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +176 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 09-25 06:13 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +172 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-03 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | +170 | $165 | $202 | 2 | 08-19 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd785…b5b7 | No | +165 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-25 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | No | +149 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-03 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +145 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 08-17 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +142 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-04 01:35 |
| Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | Yes | +140 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 08-17 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +140 | $17 | $17 | 7 | 08-18 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +135 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-17 23:36 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +120 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-04 01:35 |
| Shiny-Extreme-Gray 0x72c4…a25c | No | +114 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-18 03:57 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +104 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-18 19:37 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-05 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-05 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 07:49 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +70 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 08-21 23:59 |
| Responsible-Concept 0x8e8d…5a27 | Yes | +60 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 08-22 03:46 |
| Responsible-Concept 0x8e8d…5a27 | No | +60 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-22 00:46 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +52 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-17 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-18 14:27 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +40 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-17 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x13e1…0805 | No | +40 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 08-19 19:14 |
| Which-Cyclooxygenase 0x5dd5…1fcf | No | +39 | $0 | $2 | 7 | 09-30 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +33 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 10-04 18:55 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-18 21:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +26 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 08-18 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x13e1…0805 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 08-19 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7406…03c9 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-18 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0849…2497 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-17 20:26 |
| Curvy-Instinct 0x4865…904d | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-17 14:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-18 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b5…8c02 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-18 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0849…2497 | No | +20 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 08-18 20:46 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-05 11:33 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-03 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-04 01:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x669c…0517 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-17 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 10-04 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d17…a23c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-19 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c34…c6c5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-25 18:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:33:43 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb7749f… |
| 10-05 11:33:43 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb7749f… |
| 10-05 11:33:41 | Incomparable-Universe 0xe405…2fc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x77c3ce… |
| 10-05 11:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x26b1…cc81 | Yes | BUY | 1,805 | 100¢ | $1,803 | 0x77c3ce… |
| 10-05 11:33:41 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | SELL | 1,800 | 100¢ | $1,798 | 0x77c3ce… |
| 10-05 11:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4bc92f… |
| 10-05 11:21:56 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4bc92f… |
| 10-05 11:21:55 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xcb50cf… |
| 10-05 11:21:55 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xcb50cf… |
| 10-05 11:17:26 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x324a29… |
| 10-05 11:17:26 | (anonymous) 0x629e…fd2e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x324a29… |
| 10-05 11:17:25 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xceae1e… |
| 10-05 11:17:25 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xceae1e… |
| 10-05 11:17:23 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x627969… |
| 10-05 11:17:23 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x627969… |
| 10-04 18:55:59 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x8c1d2c… |
| 10-04 18:55:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x8c1d2c… |
| 10-04 18:55:59 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c1d2c… |
| 10-04 15:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1e3182… |
| 10-04 15:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e3182… |
| 10-04 13:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41ae31… |
| 10-04 13:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x41ae31… |
| 10-04 11:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2ada1c… |
| 10-04 11:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ada1c… |
| 10-04 11:22:32 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6b35c6… |
| 10-04 11:22:32 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b35c6… |
| 10-04 09:59:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa2d301… |
| 10-04 09:59:10 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa2d301… |
| 10-04 07:59:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbc0c57… |
| 10-04 07:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbc0c57… |
| 10-04 05:59:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbcdf08… |
| 10-04 05:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbcdf08… |
| 10-04 03:59:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x50d9fa… |
| 10-04 03:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x16be…d68c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x50d9fa… |
| 10-04 01:35:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x988618… |
| 10-04 01:35:19 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x17af0f… |
| 10-04 01:35:19 | Serpentine-Majority 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x988618… |
| 10-04 01:35:19 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x988618… |
| 10-04 01:35:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x988618… |
| 10-04 01:35:19 | Serpentine-Majority 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x17af0f… |
| 10-04 01:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4e56ce… |
| 10-04 01:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4e56ce… |
| 10-03 21:34:37 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 122 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1b124a… |
| 10-03 21:34:37 | Serpentine-Majority 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | BUY | 122 | 98¢ | $120 | 0x1b124a… |
| 10-03 21:34:20 | Serpentine-Majority 0xce83…5b97 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 98¢ | $115 | 0x048dcd… |
| 10-03 21:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | No | BUY | 149 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x048dcd… |
| 10-03 21:34:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x048dcd… |
| 10-03 21:34:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xef2ad0… |
| 10-03 21:34:19 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xef2ad0… |
| 10-03 21:34:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x23aaec… |
| 10-03 21:34:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xef2ad0… |
| 10-03 21:34:19 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x23aaec… |
| 10-03 21:34:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xef2ad0… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | Unwitting-Salami 0x22e4…66e5 | Yes | BUY | 234 | 100¢ | $234 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x8c17…9098 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:49:24 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x800771… |
| 10-03 07:48:30 | Unwitting-Salami 0x22e4…66e5 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 100¢ | $158 | 0x39d423… |
| 10-03 07:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 152 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39d423… |
| 10-03 07:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39d423… |
| 10-01 20:21:35 | (anonymous) 0x629e…fd2e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd10063… |
| 10-01 20:21:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd10063… |
| 10-01 20:21:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x912b5e… |
| 10-01 20:21:17 | (anonymous) 0xa58f…cec8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x912b5e… |
| 10-01 20:21:15 | mrworldwide 0x98d0…f14a | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 99¢ | $1,980 | 0x7ff639… |
| 10-01 20:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xa15e…b828 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 1¢ | $20 | 0x7ff639… |
| 09-30 01:50:18 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xc6ce3d… |
| 09-30 01:50:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc6ce3d… |
| 09-30 01:37:50 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x22994b… |
| 09-30 01:37:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22994b… |
| 09-30 01:36:30 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x41fb99… |
| 09-30 01:36:30 | Which-Cyclooxygenase 0x5dd5…1fcf | No | SELL | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x41fb99… |
| 09-30 01:36:30 | Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | SELL | 146 | 99¢ | $143 | 0x41fb99… |
| 09-29 02:25:09 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…4a5f | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bd1dd… |
| 09-29 02:25:09 | Which-Cyclooxygenase 0x5dd5…1fcf | No | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bd1dd… |
| 09-27 08:05:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bf2b8… |
| 09-27 08:05:21 | Which-Cyclooxygenase 0x5dd5…1fcf | No | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bf2b8… |
| 09-27 08:05:21 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | Yes | BUY | 257 | 99¢ | $254 | 0x6bf2b8… |
| 09-27 08:05:21 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6bf2b8… |
| 09-27 08:05:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bf2b8… |
| 09-26 19:22:20 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe1329a… |
| 09-26 19:22:20 | Incomparable-Universe 0xe405…2fc3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe1329a… |
| 09-26 08:47:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd2d83d… |
| 09-26 08:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd2d83d… |
| 09-26 08:47:08 | (anonymous) 0xbde2…d0e7 | No | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd2d83d… |
| 09-25 18:40:14 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7ccef5… |
| 09-25 18:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xd487…a674 | No | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7ccef5… |
| 09-25 18:40:14 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7ccef5… |
| 09-25 18:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xbde2…d0e7 | No | BUY | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7ccef5… |
| 09-25 18:40:09 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x46b6d5… |
| 09-25 18:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x2c34…c6c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x26f475… |
| 09-25 18:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26f475… |
| 09-25 18:40:09 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x46b6d5… |
| 09-25 18:40:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x8453b3… |
| 09-25 18:40:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x8453b3… |
| 09-25 18:40:08 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8453b3… |
| 09-25 18:40:08 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x527a21… |