Realized P&L
+$350
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
10,041
Trades
13,717
lifetime
Volume
$553.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$122
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-22
last 10-29 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
98% 94% +$345
Sports
1% 100% +$78
Politics
0% 6% -$71
Crypto
0% 61% +$19
Tech
0% 12% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 721 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +30 $27 66¢ $20 -$7 08-14 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +20 $2 100¢ $20 +$18 08-13 15:25
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554 No +20 $16 84¢ $17 +$1 08-17 19:29
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$1 08-17 17:12
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027 Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 $0 08-19 20:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +30 $3 34¢ $10 +$7 08-14 17:33
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027 No +20 $11 36¢ $7 -$4 08-19 20:35
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027 Yes +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 08-14 23:12
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 Yes +20 $5 22¢ $4 $0 08-17 17:12
will cxmt be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230554 Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 08-17 19:29
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027 No +10 $5 30¢ $3 -$2 08-14 23:12
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$0 08-16 20:38
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +2 $1 6¢ $0 $0 08-16 20:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $18 0¢ $0 -$18 08-13 15:25