Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$543

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-01

last 10-15 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

49% 68% -$12

Other

41% 43% -$41

Crypto

7% 0% -$40

Sports

2% 100% +$5

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+88	$10	32¢	$28	+$19	09-28 19:05
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+6	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-01 09:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+18	$10	1¢	$0	-$9	09-11 03:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	2	$11	131	+131	Yes	-$11	08-29 12:52
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	1	$11	64	+64	No	-$11	08-18 12:28
Trump renames AI by October 31?	2	$11	134	+134	Yes	-$11	09-29 18:36
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	1	$11	87	+87	open	—	09-11 11:11
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	2	$11	135	+135	Yes	-$11	09-01 15:38
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	1	$10	29	+29	open	—	08-22 04:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	1	$10	49	+49	Yes	-$10	09-01 12:17
Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	4	$10	31	+31	Yes	+$21	08-29 01:14
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?	2	$10	25	+25	Yes	-$10	08-29 13:02
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$10	16	+16	No	+$6	08-20 17:15
berlin state election more votes to cdu or grune	1	$10	13	+13	CDU	+$3	08-20 23:35
will iran target kuwait by september 15 2026	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	-$10	08-21 00:35
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$10	13	+13	Yes	+$3	08-18 01:33
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	1	$10	13	+13	No	-$10	08-17 18:32
sachsen anhalt parliamentary election grune over under 5 percent	1	$10	22	+22	Over	+$12	08-20 21:55
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?	1	$10	11	+11	Yes	+$1	08-17 19:07
epl hul mun 2026 08 22 btts	1	$10	20	+20	No	-$10	08-20 11:35
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	1	$10	11	+11	Yes	+$1	08-17 11:42
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$1	08-17 13:42
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	1	$10	23	+23	Yes	-$10	09-01 12:12
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$10	14	+14	Yes	+$4	08-20 08:10
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	08-22 12:07
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	1	$10	13	+13	Yes	+$3	08-17 14:17
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	1	$10	13	+13	Yes	+$3	08-17 15:57
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?	1	$10	13	+13	Yes	+$3	08-17 19:27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	-$10	09-01 12:12
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$1	08-17 13:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	3	$10	88	+88	open	—	09-28 19:05
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	09-15 19:06
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?	1	$10	17	+17	open	—	09-03 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 15:21:50	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x0872fd…
10-15 14:20:16	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x2b02a8…
10-15 01:15:17	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x1afb91…
10-01 03:15:53	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xdc8f3a…
10-01 03:10:50	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x4ec743…
09-29 18:36:32	Trump renames AI by October 31?	No	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x384ad0…
09-29 14:45:53	trump renames ai by october 31	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8b957e…
09-28 19:05:54	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x9d7524…
09-24 14:35:53	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x2e07c4…
09-24 14:35:41	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	No	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x73d50a…
09-20 23:01:31	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xd8fa29…
09-17 23:00:27	Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	37	23¢	$8	0xa1e5f5…
09-17 22:31:37	Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8e07a4…
09-17 19:46:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7faa25…
09-17 16:36:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xdf3b08…
09-17 14:21:39	Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x4a81dd…
09-15 19:06:46	Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe5984e…
09-11 11:11:55	Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$11	0x490e5c…
09-11 03:26:55	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0xc954c8…
09-10 21:42:22	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x6c83f0…
09-10 21:31:55	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3dc05e…
09-10 10:16:57	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?	Over	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4f36db…
09-10 05:26:52	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x4fcc60…
09-09 19:31:57	Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x147fac…
09-09 12:41:58	will laptop flip trump by december 31 2026	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xabde4b…
09-09 09:31:58	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Alexander Zverev	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0xf004bd…
09-09 07:07:00	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf65d32…
09-09 06:32:00	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x519b12…
09-07 01:57:04	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x6745a3…
09-05 17:07:09	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x93c6ff…
09-05 08:32:09	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0xee44e3…
09-03 21:27:10	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	32	30¢	$9	0x0acb49…
09-03 14:52:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xd5b3a5…
09-03 03:52:13	Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xf2c735…
09-02 18:27:15	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf2073b…
09-01 15:38:31	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xcce654…
09-01 15:17:18	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe703a9…
09-01 12:17:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	No	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xcca275…
09-01 12:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8e7511…
09-01 12:12:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2b3363…
08-29 13:02:31	Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2474a9…
08-29 13:02:24	Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe18b84…
08-29 12:52:54	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	No	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xc2232b…
08-29 12:52:25	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x08bc7f…
08-29 01:14:03	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xed0f11…
08-29 01:02:25	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x715cf8…
08-29 01:02:25	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5b6ceb…
08-29 01:02:25	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x2efed7…
08-22 12:07:40	Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc227ea…
08-22 04:17:42	Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x88e83b…
08-21 03:10:40	epl eve cry 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x77ca2f…
08-21 00:35:40	will iran target kuwait by september 15 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9da9ca…
08-20 23:35:40	berlin state election more votes to cdu or grune	CDU	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x4c1fb7…
08-20 21:55:42	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election grune over under 5 percent	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x413a79…
08-20 17:15:42	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe2b582…
08-20 12:25:42	Will Susan Lahey win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xfa9829…
08-20 11:40:42	epl not lee 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x437540…
08-20 11:35:42	epl hul mun 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7f09de…
08-20 11:35:42	epl ips sun 2026 08 22 btts	Yes	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x0a083c…
08-20 08:10:42	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x778589…
08-18 18:19:01	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0x534f32…
08-18 13:13:37	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x5aa03f…
08-18 12:28:36	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0x522b38…
08-18 01:33:12	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x95504d…
08-17 19:27:19	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x36ce05…
08-17 19:07:12	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x21c61b…
08-17 18:32:25	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6038fd…
08-17 15:57:06	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x3b9e13…
08-17 14:17:12	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4f0fe2…
08-17 13:42:12	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbb84af…
08-17 13:32:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4eac95…
08-17 11:42:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4f81c8…
08-01 09:08:56	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2cac24…