Realized P&L
+$192.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$17.2K
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
1,399
Trades
15,716
lifetime
Volume
$2.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$168
Open exposure
$113.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Politics
61% 81% +$143,050
Other
34% 77% +$52,705
Sports
5% 61% -$3,719
Crypto
0% 100% +$199
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 409 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +16,346 $8,254 94¢ $15.4K +$7,184 10-25 04:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +18,000 $11,502 68¢ $12.1K +$648 10-27 20:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16,499 $10,996 68¢ $11.1K +$141 10-27 22:12
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +12,341 $8,192 79¢ $9.7K +$1,557 10-27 16:23
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +11,517 $7,201 78¢ $9.0K +$1,840 10-27 16:17
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +9,050 $7,817 87¢ $7.9K +$84 10-25 23:09
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +10,275 $8,902 72¢ $7.3K -$1,555 10-25 21:16
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +9,444 $8,060 72¢ $6.8K -$1,308 10-26 05:18
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5,601 $2,741 98¢ $5.5K +$2,770 10-25 03:47
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +6,105 $4,950 80¢ $4.9K -$96 10-27 23:12
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +3,091 $2,406 99¢ $3.1K +$655 10-20 06:08
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -3,000 -$1,940 96¢ $-2893 -$953 06-03 23:45
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +3,940 $2,460 64¢ $2.5K +$82 10-23 17:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6,695 $2,132 34¢ $2.2K +$111 10-27 23:03
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +2,400 $2,184 92¢ $2.2K +$12 10-27 18:26
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +2,400 $2,184 92¢ $2.2K +$12 10-27 23:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,728 $1,841 70¢ $1.9K +$56 10-26 22:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,400 $1,500 62¢ $1.5K +$0 10-27 22:47
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +1,402 $1,136 80¢ $1.1K -$21 10-27 00:50
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +2,792 $780 38¢ $1.1K +$281 10-22 04:29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,608 $1,003 62¢ $1.0K +$2 10-27 22:48
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,422 $1,006 70¢ $989 -$18 10-27 22:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,540 $856 35¢ $883 +$26 10-28 00:01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +165 $121 70¢ $115 -$6 10-27 22:24
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +5,601 $3,943 2¢ $90 -$3,853 10-13 06:52
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +23 -$1,374 99¢ $23 +$1,397 10-25 08:47
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -772 -$567 2¢ $-12 +$555 05-08 10:09
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 -$5,754 72¢ $0 +$5,754 09-17 14:15
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +0 -$1,838 96¢ $0 +$1,838 09-22 20:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 -$5 44¢ $0 +$5 10-10 21:05