Realized P&L
+$268.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$29.1K
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
1,497
Trades
17,260
lifetime
Volume
$3.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$136.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Politics
61% 80% +$193,799
Other
34% 79% +$78,610
Sports
4% 61% -$3,719
Crypto
0% 100% +$199
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +26,347 $24,150 99¢ $26.0K +$1,814 11-05 02:29
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +17,197 $9,077 99¢ $17.1K +$8,000 11-05 09:13
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +12,968 $10,436 98¢ $12.8K +$2,338 11-07 07:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,903 $8,383 98¢ $9.7K +$1,366 11-05 02:59
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +9,451 $9,130 98¢ $9.3K +$122 11-07 23:13
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +7,062 $5,955 86¢ $6.1K +$154 11-07 10:02
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? Yes +5,857 $5,740 99¢ $5.8K +$64 11-06 05:57
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +5,695 $5,357 99¢ $5.6K +$267 11-08 08:01
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5,601 $2,741 99¢ $5.6K +$2,824 10-25 03:47
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +5,883 $5,439 90¢ $5.3K -$130 11-08 20:41
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +4,696 $3,362 99¢ $4.6K +$1,266 11-07 08:24
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +3,784 $2,549 99¢ $3.7K +$1,188 11-04 00:57
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +3,000 $2,797 90¢ $2.7K -$91 11-08 16:45
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,811 $2,466 66¢ $2.5K +$53 11-08 19:56
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? No +2,512 $2,462 99¢ $2.5K +$25 11-06 06:05
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +2,381 $1,784 99¢ $2.4K +$575 11-04 01:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,334 $1,889 99¢ $2.3K +$414 11-08 07:12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,950 -$630 46¢ $2.3K +$2,909 11-08 21:43
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +1,935 $1,886 98¢ $1.9K +$3 11-08 19:15
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +1,800 $1,733 98¢ $1.8K +$32 11-07 19:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +1,822 $1,764 97¢ $1.8K -$1 11-08 03:59
Will Nelson Pohl win the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election? Yes +1,253 $1,169 96¢ $1.2K +$31 11-05 10:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,650 -$5,024 40¢ $668 +$5,692 11-08 20:31
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +612 $596 97¢ $596 -$1 11-08 20:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +460 $454 99¢ $456 +$2 11-08 05:33
Will Joy O'Donnell win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election? Yes +600 $420 74¢ $444 +$24 11-05 11:09
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? Yes +644 $325 67¢ $431 +$106 10-19 14:06
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat? Yes +322 $314 99¢ $317 +$3 11-08 04:10
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +265 $264 99¢ $263 -$1 11-08 04:06
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +207 $204 99¢ $206 +$1 11-08 22:03