Realized P&L
+$269.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$29.5K
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
1,504
Trades
17,440
lifetime
Volume
$3.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$160.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Politics
61% 80% +$193,799
Other
35% 79% +$78,735
Sports
4% 61% -$3,719
Crypto
0% 100% +$199
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +29,947 $27,693 99¢ $29.5K +$1,850 11-10 13:39
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +17,197 $9,077 99¢ $17.1K +$8,000 11-05 09:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +14,703 $13,105 99¢ $14.5K +$1,421 11-10 19:41
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +12,968 $10,436 98¢ $12.7K +$2,305 11-07 07:48
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +12,087 $10,726 89¢ $10.7K +$19 11-10 13:32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +9,486 $9,164 98¢ $9.3K +$89 11-10 20:38
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +8,095 $7,721 99¢ $8.0K +$277 11-10 07:17
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,934 $5,438 99¢ $5.9K +$418 11-10 18:25
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +6,466 $5,412 88¢ $5.7K +$278 11-09 06:42
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +5,601 $2,741 99¢ $5.6K +$2,824 10-25 03:47
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +4,696 $3,362 98¢ $4.6K +$1,254 11-07 08:24
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? No +4,800 $4,391 89¢ $4.3K -$115 11-10 16:26
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +3,750 $3,553 97¢ $3.6K +$74 11-10 18:03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +3,784 $2,549 95¢ $3.6K +$1,045 11-04 00:57
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,200 $385 49¢ $3.6K +$3,172 11-10 20:35
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,400 $3,499 65¢ $3.5K +$3 11-10 15:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +3,402 $3,276 95¢ $3.2K -$28 11-10 20:46
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +3,037 $2,956 97¢ $3.0K +$1 11-10 19:06
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +2,381 $1,784 99¢ $2.4K +$576 11-04 01:09
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +1,905 $1,835 97¢ $1.9K +$22 11-10 21:06
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +1,726 $1,650 95¢ $1.6K -$4 11-10 21:23
Will Nelson Pohl win the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election? Yes +1,253 $1,169 97¢ $1.2K +$45 11-05 10:06
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +1,175 $1,143 97¢ $1.1K +$1 11-10 12:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,250 -$4,802 46¢ $1.0K +$5,848 11-09 05:45
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +673 $665 99¢ $667 +$2 11-10 17:04
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? No +600 $585 97¢ $584 -$1 11-10 18:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +550 $533 98¢ $539 +$6 11-09 04:35
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +527 $491 97¢ $514 +$22 11-09 04:43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +498 $487 99¢ $494 +$7 11-09 18:08
Will Joy O'Donnell win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election? Yes +600 $420 77¢ $462 +$42 11-05 11:09