Shiny-Extreme-Gray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$129

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-09 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 50% $-6

Sports

28% — —

Other

25% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	2	$20	83	0	+83	open	—	06-10 05:47
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	12	$18	763	763	+0	open	—	05-15 15:44
Trump on $250 bill this year?	1	$10	0	130	-130	open	—	05-31 19:47
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	4	$10	8,500	0	+8,500	open	—	06-27 04:35
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 16:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	$-6	05-09 05:13
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-31 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 01:34
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 06:01
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-02 23:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 06:01
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-02 19:50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 21:55
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$2	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 04:58
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	05-31 18:16
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$2	125	0	+125	open	—	05-16 07:39
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-02 23:44
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	59	59	+0	open	—	05-20 05:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 20:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$2	0	80	-80	open	—	05-31 19:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	06-08 20:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$1	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 06:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	06-08 20:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1	0	8	-8	open	—	06-02 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1	48	48	+0	open	—	05-15 13:41
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	06-15 05:13
israel closes its airspace by july 7	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	07-08 00:03
netanyahu out by july 31	1	$1	118	0	+118	open	—	07-09 15:20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 21:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-17 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 15:20:52	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xa97836…
07-08 00:03:01	israel closes its airspace by july 7	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7e8656…
07-07 23:27:40	mlb atl pit 2026 07 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe4df94…
06-27 04:35:56	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x406716…
06-27 04:34:32	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa7b54d…
06-27 04:33:23	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xd0187e…
06-27 00:06:40	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x26c6ed…
06-23 01:26:05	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xfbfa9a…
06-15 05:14:03	ufc freedom 250 weather delay 20260610012652819	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x67f12d…
06-15 05:13:01	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd61a2d…
06-13 02:08:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x8070da…
06-10 05:47:01	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x061431…
06-09 21:27:52	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc706bb…
06-08 20:35:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x4a963e…
06-08 20:34:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4e3fc6…
06-08 20:34:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xa4b115…
06-08 20:34:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xb58106…
06-02 23:44:26	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5d39c3…
06-02 23:40:53	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe3e58d…
06-02 19:53:54	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xce1d79…
06-02 19:52:02	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x779f68…
06-02 19:50:09	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xfaab68…
06-02 19:28:55	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x64d3f6…
06-02 19:26:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x888560…
05-31 20:41:18	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb30b98…
05-31 19:47:17	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	SELL	130	8¢	$10	0x0d5798…
05-31 19:45:18	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc46950…
05-31 19:40:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x022cb6…
05-31 18:16:27	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x76cc8f…
05-30 16:22:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xd0793a…
05-29 23:39:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf06cc3…
05-29 23:39:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x39f19a…
05-29 23:39:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x09b134…
05-29 23:02:26	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3bc801…
05-20 05:31:39	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x54e93a…
05-20 04:58:49	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf9b534…
05-17 02:44:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xde2bf7…
05-17 02:43:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x95f1dc…
05-17 02:14:26	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb7f5f7…
05-17 01:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xad9cec…
05-17 01:23:17	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Texas Rangers	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0e4288…
05-16 21:41:46	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4475e8…
05-16 21:39:36	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c9d40…
05-16 07:39:27	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x827871…
05-16 06:01:55	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x40ce60…
05-16 06:01:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xe6128a…
05-16 06:01:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x224634…
05-15 15:44:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	763	0¢	$1	0x724678…
05-15 13:41:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xf2c4f9…
05-15 00:05:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x47e928…
05-15 00:05:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x45a4a9…
05-14 21:55:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x8f1817…
05-13 19:56:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x04aa2b…
05-13 19:55:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x39c261…
05-13 19:54:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x719712…
05-13 19:54:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xeede4b…
05-13 19:54:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x26ef5c…
05-13 19:54:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x8ad404…
05-13 19:53:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x7cf5d6…
05-13 19:50:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa6629a…
05-09 22:58:53	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x550400…
05-09 15:06:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaf0a7f…
05-09 06:12:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xe39229…
05-09 05:51:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc1c669…
05-09 05:47:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc6d0d7…
05-09 05:45:28	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5c4a56…
05-09 05:35:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x8ab60f…
05-09 05:13:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x95af5d…