Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.5%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$420

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 10-08 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

49% 45% -$3

Crypto

20% 0% -$1

Politics

18% 42% -$6

Sports

11% 60% -$10

Tech

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	10-02 16:09
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	10-05 20:57
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	10-05 20:57
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	10-05 21:00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	18	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	10-08 20:09
Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	10-08 20:09
Spread: Saints (-2.5)	14	$14	30	0	+30	Falcons	-$14	10-05 23:04
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	10-05 20:58
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	10-05 20:58
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	4	$6	54	54	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	10-08 10:49
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$4	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-08 20:08
UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	2	$4	6	0	+6	Esteban Ribovics	+$2	10-02 16:50
Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	4	$4	6	0	+6	No	-$4	10-03 08:35
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Stripe IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	10-08 20:08
Obama federally charged before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-25 18:52
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-03 08:34
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-07 19:12
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-08 20:08
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-06 22:59
Spread: England (-2.5)	2	$2	4	0	+4	England	-$2	10-06 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 20:09:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x112c05…
10-08 20:09:08	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xecce74…
10-08 20:09:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4917a0…
10-08 20:09:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2911ce…
10-08 20:09:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc0a722…
10-08 20:09:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b0baa…
10-08 20:09:05	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7968ed…
10-08 20:09:03	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa76d01…
10-08 20:09:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd87c47…
10-08 20:09:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9bfca…
10-08 20:09:02	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x755783…
10-08 20:09:02	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x12869e…
10-08 20:08:59	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb27bf…
10-08 20:08:59	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb0ab3b…
10-08 20:08:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaad06e…
10-08 20:08:59	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95d4fa…
10-08 20:08:54	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x437f7d…
10-08 20:08:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe61364…
10-08 20:08:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6262f…
10-08 20:08:53	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9ce685…
10-08 20:08:51	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfcd18c…
10-08 20:08:51	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x83501a…
10-08 20:08:51	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6f791e…
10-08 20:08:51	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cba18…
10-08 20:08:48	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdc483a…
10-08 20:08:48	Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd357ca…
10-08 20:08:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd827e…
10-08 20:08:48	Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc3c5bc…
10-08 20:08:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6a27b9…
10-08 20:08:48	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39e694…
10-08 20:08:45	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb82d0f…
10-08 20:08:44	Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf8839d…
10-08 20:08:44	Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3b81e…
10-08 20:08:44	Will Greg Dulcich finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd25a2d…
10-08 20:08:44	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc22c2b…
10-08 20:08:44	Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb86563…
10-08 20:08:44	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb53a81…
10-08 20:08:44	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa75f22…
10-08 20:08:44	Will Mike Gesicki finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8ba380…
10-08 20:08:44	Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x843c1a…
10-08 20:08:44	Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e8870…
10-08 20:08:44	Will David Njoku finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0d4ae8…
10-08 20:08:44	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b5ecf…
10-08 20:08:42	Obama federally charged before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeced01…
10-08 20:08:42	Stripe IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xecb1aa…
10-08 20:08:42	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdf0a35…
10-08 20:08:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x84b3ae…
10-08 20:08:42	Will Jameson Williams finish as a top-5 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x452da4…
10-08 20:08:42	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d7f14…
10-08 20:08:41	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe5bbbf…
10-08 20:08:41	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbd6dab…
10-08 20:08:41	Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $675B by October 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0a9171…
10-08 20:08:39	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdcc70e…
10-08 20:08:39	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x80d597…
10-08 20:08:39	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x689a0d…
10-08 20:08:39	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x64581d…
10-08 20:08:39	Will Blake Corum finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4215ad…
10-08 20:08:39	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3d7ec9…
10-08 20:08:38	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xdc2b16…
10-08 20:08:38	Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd66c02…
10-08 20:08:38	Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6c437b…
10-08 20:08:38	Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x46cf11…
10-08 20:08:38	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x038fc2…
10-08 20:08:36	Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xd2907b…
10-08 20:08:36	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6e2964…
10-08 20:08:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2c12dc…
10-08 20:08:35	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xaf152d…
10-08 20:08:35	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xaed60c…
10-08 20:08:35	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x35af37…
10-08 20:08:35	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x207346…
10-08 20:08:35	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x0e952f…
10-08 20:08:33	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe79e4c…
10-08 20:08:33	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xad5c0a…
10-08 20:08:33	Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xab2166…
10-08 20:08:33	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x869e89…
10-08 20:08:32	Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0xc059af…
10-08 20:08:32	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb4e017…
10-08 20:08:32	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x8a2184…
10-08 20:08:32	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x824772…
10-08 20:08:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xfb72a0…
10-08 20:08:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xdbde0a…
10-08 20:08:30	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x80a4b6…
10-08 20:08:30	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5e199f…
10-08 20:08:30	Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5bdf56…
10-08 20:08:30	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x5a01c2…
10-08 20:08:29	Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x8523bd…
10-08 20:08:29	Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x6ec63b…
10-08 20:08:29	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x5d79d3…
10-08 20:08:29	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1fa483…
10-08 20:08:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x09fecc…
10-08 20:08:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xc31c05…
10-08 20:08:27	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa63368…
10-08 20:08:27	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x59b82a…
10-08 20:08:26	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xc02f51…
10-08 20:08:26	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xb4eb6f…
10-08 20:08:26	Will Liverpool finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x41cf8d…
10-08 20:08:26	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x3fa857…
10-08 20:08:24	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0xb3de18…
10-08 20:08:24	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0x08c7cd…
10-08 10:57:44	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf84a51…