Realized P&L (7d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
8
109 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$8
$198 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$62
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-10 03:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
81% 47% +$70
Other
19% 0% -$23
Crypto
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +13 $10 64¢ $8 -$2 11-03 16:03
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +82 $11 10¢ $8 -$3 10-29 17:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +84 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 11-10 03:12
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $3 87¢ $3 +$0 08-19 06:12
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +352 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-29 17:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 08-19 06:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $0 08-19 06:04
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $0 08-19 06:12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027? Yes +27 $3 10¢ $3 $0 10-12 18:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13 $3 20¢ $3 $0 08-19 06:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4 $1 64¢ $2 +$1 10-29 17:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $3 9¢ $2 -$1 08-19 06:04
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-12 18:55
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes +32 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-29 17:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +65 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-12 18:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 45¢ $1 +$0 09-12 14:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +177 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 10-28 03:04
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +30 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-03 16:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $0 11-10 02:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-10 02:59
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-19 06:06
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:25
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:48
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-19 06:16
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-15 22:43
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $0 08-19 06:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +194 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 11-02 16:45
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-12 15:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +208 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 09-28 19:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-29 17:52