Realized P&L
+$189
Unrealized P&L
-$144
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
236
Trades
1,705
lifetime
Volume
$67.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$2.84K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-01 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
49% 54% -$526
Politics
39% 62% +$731
Crypto
6% 69% -$34
Tech
5% 50% +$12
Sports
2% 30% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,501 $1,489 100¢ $1.5K +$5 10-28 17:39
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +609 $567 96¢ $581 +$14 10-29 12:49
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +480 $409 84¢ $403 -$6 10-31 08:34
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +148 $143 96¢ $142 -$1 10-20 20:17
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +245 $111 56¢ $139 +$28 10-31 20:35
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $47 92¢ $46 -$1 11-01 20:54
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-31 18:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 08-15 15:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -10 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$2 09-24 11:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 -$2 56¢ $0 +$2 07-28 07:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 $187 31¢ $0 -$187 10-12 01:54