Realized P&L
+$188
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1,531
Trades
2,047
lifetime
Volume
$131.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.59K
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 10-27 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 100% +$126
Other
12% 100% +$28
Politics
2% 100% +$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +300 $268 88¢ $266 -$2 10-07 08:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $195 98¢ $196 +$1 10-02 14:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $188 94¢ $189 +$1 10-01 18:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +160 $147 96¢ $153 +$6 10-05 07:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +150 $147 99¢ $149 +$2 10-06 02:10
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +137 $123 90¢ $124 +$1 10-07 02:50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 10-04 21:28
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 10-01 13:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 10-06 13:37
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +64 $59 92¢ $59 $0 10-26 02:11
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +61 $55 96¢ $58 +$4 10-22 10:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 10-08 02:08
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +40 $37 96¢ $38 +$1 10-27 05:31
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$1 10-07 13:55
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 10-08 11:16