Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$624

Unrealized P&L

+$68

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$43.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$2.77K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-08 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

64% 79% -$201

Other

36% 67% -$423

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,027	$1,664	82¢	$1.7K	-$13	07-21 14:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+1,130	$1,006	96¢	$1.1K	+$82	07-20 17:45
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No	-23	-$20	94¢	$-21	-$1	09-08 22:41
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	07-20 17:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	07-20 10:42
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	+4	$4	97¢	$4	+$0	07-20 18:31
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	26¢	$0	-$1	07-20 10:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	13	$9.8K	5,322	4,802	+520	No	+$43	01-16 20:47
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	33	$3.5K	1,773	1,773	+0	No	+$3	02-06 13:49
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$3.5K	1,767	1,767	+0	No	+$4	01-16 21:02
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	14	$3.0K	1,679	2,755	-1,075	Yes	-$331	02-25 21:18
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	3	$2.7K	2,810	0	+2,810	No	+$84	01-16 21:12
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$2.5K	915	1,700	-785	No	+$64	01-15 02:46
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	8	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	No	+$18	01-18 17:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	10	$1.7K	2,027	0	+2,027	open	—	07-21 14:46
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	13	$1.5K	831	935	-104	No	-$155	02-09 04:03
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	11	$1.1K	1,119	0	+1,119	No	+$14	02-06 14:46
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$28	02-02 21:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	1	$1.0K	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	07-20 17:45
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	18	$945	1,007	0	+1,007	No	+$62	01-31 18:28
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	4	$861	444	444	+0	No	+$10	02-06 14:15
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	6	$706	356	356	+0	No	+$3	02-06 08:57
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	11	$623	968	915	+53	No	-$144	01-25 10:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$540	684	684	+0	No	+$7	01-15 05:09
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$504	546	0	+546	No	+$41	01-13 19:07
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	7	$498	509	0	+509	No	+$11	03-23 20:23
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	5	$487	350	300	+50	No	+$137	01-31 01:58
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	11	$454	500	500	+0	No	+$4	01-21 23:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	4	$375	434	0	+434	Yes	-$375	07-20 10:34
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	6	$297	170	245	-75	Yes	+$55	02-02 21:12
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	6	$279	180	180	+0	No	+$18	02-09 06:47
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	7	$263	275	0	+275	No	+$12	03-08 14:35
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	2	$206	110	110	+0	No	-$1	01-24 17:01
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	4	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	02-02 12:21
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	3	$193	130	100	+30	Yes	+$17	02-13 09:05
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	17	$192	1,161	0	+1,161	Yes	-$192	02-03 00:18
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	10	$177	2,979	2,261	+717	No	-$44	01-23 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 22:41:12	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xfc5ef6…
07-23 22:05:51	jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x19c20e…
07-21 14:46:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xd1dee0…
07-21 05:23:58	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x49c62a…
07-21 02:37:18	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdaa21e…
07-20 20:09:22	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xc84125…
07-20 18:31:30	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0x2e42a2…
07-20 17:46:55	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31d829…
07-20 17:46:31	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x695c35…
07-20 17:45:37	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,130	89¢	$1,006	0xcc489d…
07-20 16:36:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x504e8d…
07-20 16:26:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$96	0x786e1d…
07-20 16:25:48	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0xcd1cee…
07-20 16:17:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0x48905e…
07-20 13:53:43	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0xbd3916…
07-20 12:35:33	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x707f10…
07-20 10:47:42	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf4f2f0…
07-20 10:42:04	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xabb098…
07-20 10:40:04	jerome powell federally charged by december 31 2026 20260628211336464	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51c50d…
07-20 10:39:45	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb2ed5b…
07-20 10:39:40	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x10e3c5…
07-20 10:35:10	jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xfe6190…
07-20 10:34:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0xf67b79…
07-20 10:23:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	120	86¢	$103	0xd4d1ab…
07-20 10:08:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	74	88¢	$66	0x9332cf…
07-20 09:53:07	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	85¢	$354	0xf0621b…
07-20 09:37:57	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xe9994f…
07-20 09:11:45	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x3f24fb…
03-23 20:23:01	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe3b2a3…
03-23 20:21:03	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x261c3e…
03-23 20:19:39	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xc1ab3c…
03-23 20:18:35	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xbb9f1b…
03-16 17:32:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x66cc99…
03-09 19:20:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5c3b57…
03-09 10:20:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9efed8…
03-09 06:11:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe7da18…
03-08 20:36:05	kash patel out by march 31	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x68dbf6…
03-08 14:35:41	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x509cfa…
03-08 07:21:27	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xf30bdc…
03-08 00:02:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf2cfa7…
03-07 20:31:49	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x919f14…
03-07 20:31:49	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x778c81…
03-07 20:31:49	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3d66bf…
03-07 19:52:35	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0xf9262d…
03-07 16:48:01	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x00f7ff…
03-07 14:51:57	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x95325d…
03-03 10:47:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	42¢	$50	0x8669bc…
03-03 00:30:01	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x3c5fca…
03-01 21:21:03	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x10ff56…
02-28 19:07:25	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	130	1¢	$2	0x4bd48b…
02-28 04:32:39	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xbf6a99…
02-27 20:00:27	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x6d5d08…
02-27 14:10:23	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xf656c2…
02-27 10:18:05	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xa14770…
02-25 21:18:38	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	67¢	$44	0x2d10e4…
02-23 06:32:34	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xdcfe5d…
02-19 14:31:20	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x815fc7…
02-19 14:19:00	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0x6a634c…
02-18 17:26:36	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xe2e470…
02-18 17:26:34	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x15c2fd…
02-15 13:48:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0xa55fdf…
02-15 11:16:15	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfff038…
02-15 01:36:23	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x369dc2…
02-14 22:05:45	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xa7969c…
02-14 13:00:15	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcd4f39…
02-13 21:05:31	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x8041bc…
02-13 20:25:11	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xa85b09…
02-13 17:37:33	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xef0309…
02-13 12:25:31	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf2a1dd…
02-13 12:05:47	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa96666…
02-13 11:04:15	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x2dbe53…
02-13 10:32:03	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa76315…
02-13 09:23:29	us downs a mexican cartel drone by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xbf7d7a…
02-13 09:05:55	Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xfc3fda…
02-12 18:37:59	Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	35	73¢	$25	0xb13835…
02-11 01:24:33	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbeee96…
02-10 19:32:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xbe7a56…
02-10 19:17:59	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x64a11b…
02-10 17:15:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa6716c…
02-09 06:47:15	will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6692b2…
02-09 04:03:03	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	887	76¢	$674	0xdff80f…
02-08 13:46:17	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1e096d…
02-08 02:16:45	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x2ab389…
02-08 01:37:15	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$27	0x998a07…
02-08 01:37:13	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x4a4f33…
02-07 18:32:51	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x939f78…
02-07 14:45:43	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x166fe6…
02-07 14:24:05	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x79d3a4…
02-07 14:14:17	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xdf1e56…
02-07 13:44:25	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xcee4c9…
02-07 08:18:35	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3b0a5a…
02-07 08:16:25	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x44a7ce…
02-07 08:16:21	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	600	92¢	$554	0x0deef4…
02-07 08:15:51	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0x2d2a7a…
02-07 08:11:21	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x73ca2b…
02-07 08:11:07	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x23b57c…
02-07 04:19:25	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xb0a4e2…
02-06 14:46:35	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x582f29…
02-06 14:28:19	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf53ad0…
02-06 14:19:19	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x856f21…