Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$590

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$196

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-10 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$0

Crypto

20% 100% +$1

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+51	$49	98¢	$50	+$0	06-08 08:13
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	+51	$50	97¢	$50	+$0	06-10 08:43
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	-51	$-49	96¢	$-49	+$0	06-10 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-51	$-48	94¢	$-48	+$0	06-02 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	04-24 11:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	3	$94	48	48	+0	open	—	06-08 06:11
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-12 13:07
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	06-10 08:43
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	06-08 08:13
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	1	$49	0	51	-51	open	—	06-10 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$48	0	51	-51	open	—	06-02 09:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:57
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-05 20:35
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-24 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-08 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 09:15:51	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x98fad5…
06-10 08:43:49	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x9da47c…
06-08 08:13:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f3eec…
06-08 08:11:06	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xef4cdc…
06-08 07:00:42	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaab698…
06-08 07:00:24	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9daf3b…
06-08 07:00:22	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa15d00…
06-08 07:00:22	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x938af3…
06-08 07:00:18	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d4010…
06-08 06:11:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x364154…
06-02 09:10:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0x8c12b7…
05-29 10:37:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x8c01af…
05-29 08:46:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xd511d3…
05-12 14:57:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x91c0a2…
05-12 13:07:34	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa8d040…
05-08 12:37:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x43e4d9…
05-08 12:36:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe16c58…
04-24 12:17:14	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x273d6a…
04-24 11:36:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x1acb4c…
04-24 11:34:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x91e617…
03-30 16:58:55	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3ad627…
03-30 15:17:25	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb4192e…
03-05 20:35:29	Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x20918f…
02-26 21:41:32	Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa772cf…