Unwitting-Beanie 0x48eec1…46008c
whale hot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$24.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$17.1K
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
217
Trades
1,127
lifetime
Volume
$221.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$197
Open exposure
$7.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-29 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
68% 29% +$23,238
Other
31% 57% +$2,720
Sports
1% 50% -$1,312
Crypto
0% 0% -$343
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +21,099 $8,053 16¢ $3.3K -$4,782 09-05 12:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +10,960 $2,857 11¢ $1.2K -$1,706 08-16 12:08
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5,203 $1,399 12¢ $598 -$801 10-26 10:02
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +4,459 $763 8¢ $379 -$384 09-07 14:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +29,008 $7,847 1¢ $305 -$7,542 09-05 13:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +800 $367 34¢ $276 -$91 09-27 15:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -956 -$72 20¢ $-186 -$115 06-14 21:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,318 $575 8¢ $185 -$390 08-12 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $260 8¢ $150 -$110 09-26 16:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +500 $145 22¢ $112 -$32 09-23 18:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -815 -$107 14¢ $-112 -$5 06-02 16:41
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,525 -$97 2¢ $-110 -$13 09-27 15:32
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes +2,127 $403 5¢ $110 -$293 05-15 20:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +300 $93 26¢ $80 -$14 09-27 15:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +87 $40 81¢ $70 +$30 09-05 11:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +394 $100 18¢ $70 -$30 05-14 16:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,155 $260 5¢ $56 -$204 05-27 08:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +717 $172 6¢ $47 -$126 05-21 11:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -667 -$92 6¢ $-43 +$48 06-13 07:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +522 $100 7¢ $37 -$63 05-13 11:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,502 $150 2¢ $29 -$121 05-19 09:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $25 55¢ $27 +$2 10-02 00:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +50 $25 54¢ $27 +$2 09-24 11:28
ukraine election called by december 31 2026 Yes +557 $100 4¢ $24 -$76 07-07 13:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -236 -$37 8¢ $-19 +$17 06-16 20:16
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -112 -$33 16¢ $-18 +$15 06-18 20:48
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,925 $100 0¢ $9 -$91 05-14 13:13
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,111 $10 1¢ $7 -$3 05-14 16:37
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +145 $30 4¢ $6 -$24 05-13 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,283 $240 0¢ $3 -$237 07-16 13:56