Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
30
lifetime
Volume
$426
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$125
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 06-12 19:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
82%
Other
15%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +28 $23 84¢ $24 +$0 06-12 14:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +29 $12 50¢ $14 +$3 06-12 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $12 80¢ $12 +$1 06-12 13:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +15 $12 78¢ $12 +$0 06-12 13:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +17 $12 69¢ $12 +$0 06-12 14:53
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +13 $12 92¢ $12 $-0 06-12 13:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $12 46¢ $11 $-0 06-12 14:54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +14 $11 84¢ $11 $-0 06-11 16:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +13 $12 90¢ $11 $-0 06-12 14:48
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 06-11 17:05