Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$317

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

159

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-06 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

40% 54% +$54

Other

38% 42% -$235

Crypto

19% 67% -$130

Sports

3% 83% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes		+403	$34	3¢	$13	-$21	09-17 09:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+46	$16	15¢	$7	-$10	09-17 09:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	9	$294	182	151	+31	Yes	-$1	10-28 14:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	4	$118	79	79	+0	open	—	11-06 15:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$118	206	206	+0	open	—	06-22 07:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$114	61	61	+0	Yes	$0	11-02 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$91	54	54	+0	open	—	09-22 07:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$87	110	100	+10	No	-$38	07-15 18:06
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$80	104	0	+104	Yes	+$24	09-20 08:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$78	46	46	+0	Yes	-$3	06-12 18:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	4	$70	234	234	+0	open	—	06-19 15:29
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?	5	$69	221	221	+0	open	—	09-20 08:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	10-31 12:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$58	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	11-01 07:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	2	$56	181	181	+0	open	—	06-22 13:02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	1	$54	68	0	+68	Yes	+$14	10-21 13:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$49	31	31	+0	Yes	+$3	06-12 14:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$49	31	31	+0	Yes	+$2	06-12 16:36
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	2	$48	56	0	+56	Under	-$48	07-19 19:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$47	49	49	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 14:41
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	06-13 09:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	2	$38	575	575	+0	No	+$14	06-12 22:15
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	2	$34	403	0	+403	open	—	09-17 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$32	284	0	+284	Up	-$32	08-23 15:43
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	1	$32	46	0	+46	Under	-$32	07-19 04:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	1	$29	121	0	+121	No	+$92	11-02 13:38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	1	$29	39	0	+39	Yes	+$11	11-04 18:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 05:52
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$24	70	70	+0	No	+$2	06-18 11:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 11:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 13:04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$24	67	67	+0	Yes	+$1	07-08 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:13:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0x58c989…
11-06 11:31:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0x6f33da…
11-05 10:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x38dd24…
11-05 05:56:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	77¢	$29	0x214301…
11-04 18:49:40	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	39	73¢	$29	0x6c266f…
11-04 06:55:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0xffb276…
11-02 13:38:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	121	24¢	$29	0x72f69b…
11-02 13:36:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x567ad9…
11-01 14:11:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x7046e8…
11-01 07:44:22	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	80¢	$29	0xef841f…
10-31 12:12:55	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0xe26d7f…
10-31 12:12:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xc13bb1…
10-31 12:11:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa3c7cd…
10-30 12:08:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa26da1…
10-29 15:34:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x3a818b…
10-28 14:08:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x0ebaf6…
10-28 14:07:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xd5a999…
10-27 13:14:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xd06db5…
10-27 06:06:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x6c6878…
10-26 18:46:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x955e3d…
10-25 17:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x99c5b6…
10-25 17:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1901ad…
10-25 17:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x213d87…
10-25 17:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xad88d2…
10-25 17:17:54	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe87f5a…
10-25 17:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x00ab24…
10-25 17:17:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xb6bf2c…
10-25 17:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9e429d…
10-25 17:13:45	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	12¢	$5	0xe0fad6…
10-25 17:13:06	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x086fae…
10-25 17:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x12aef1…
10-25 16:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x455915…
10-25 16:28:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x310e2a…
10-25 16:27:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x988462…
10-25 16:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe1d8e2…
10-25 16:23:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x11b971…
10-25 16:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xee83ed…
10-25 16:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x43ef43…
10-25 16:08:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xf68eeb…
10-25 16:08:15	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1fcabf…
10-25 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c57be…
10-25 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0cae8d…
10-25 13:38:33	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8c5506…
10-25 13:37:06	BNB Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x474df0…
10-25 13:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe06c90…
10-25 08:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdaf230…
10-22 19:53:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0x2cda22…
10-22 13:30:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	92¢	$66	0x50b24f…
10-21 13:08:26	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	68	80¢	$54	0x30760b…
10-13 03:55:45	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x4e3e72…
10-05 04:46:16	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	SELL	168	3¢	$6	0x43a584…
09-28 19:45:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x1972c0…
09-22 07:45:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xad8e35…
09-22 07:44:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x10e211…
09-22 05:19:22	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x000b73…
09-21 14:58:52	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x51c5b1…
09-20 08:52:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xdd6c50…
09-20 08:52:06	Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	221	6¢	$13	0xb4e011…
09-19 05:29:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x669af1…
09-19 05:29:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x25d374…
09-19 05:28:43	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x91d234…
09-18 17:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xf4074d…
09-18 17:40:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	SELL	93	9¢	$8	0x1552ae…
09-18 17:37:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$16	0x9bd41f…
09-18 12:09:03	BNB Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4e0b2e…
09-18 12:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xff41aa…
09-18 10:41:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7fe857…
09-18 10:38:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xe5392c…
09-18 10:37:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0xf4e286…
09-18 09:59:58	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x5ed87b…
09-18 09:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xbee1f8…
09-17 10:36:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb7cfd1…
09-17 10:36:21	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x48f6f5…
09-17 10:36:03	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x91c7f1…
09-17 10:35:45	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x55cc4e…
09-17 10:35:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xf2c700…
09-17 10:35:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x52b91b…
09-17 10:34:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb8b2f9…
09-17 10:26:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x006af5…
09-17 10:26:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xca93ff…
09-17 10:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x0c35fb…
09-17 10:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0x695dda…
09-17 10:17:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xb6b294…
09-17 10:17:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0x93da7c…
09-17 10:17:13	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xcd486a…
09-17 10:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6d4cb5…
09-17 10:15:13	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xe9d0ca…
09-17 10:12:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x781e30…
09-17 10:10:18	will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 17 2026	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x63ca34…
09-17 09:44:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xe3c4a7…
09-17 09:43:45	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	219	2¢	$5	0x677cb1…
09-17 09:43:10	will bitcoin dip to 76k on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xdf7345…
09-17 09:39:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x3ce003…
09-17 09:38:01	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x2fe1dd…
09-17 09:37:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x752145…
09-17 09:35:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcabf0a…
09-17 09:34:24	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x56b8f9…
09-17 09:01:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0xdd1de7…
09-17 08:58:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x232266…
09-17 08:52:43	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x3bbd3a…