Exalted-Brink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$3.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 08-15 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 71% +$30

Other

33% — —

Politics

14% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$165	50	150	-100	open	—	06-16 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$139	74	74	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 15:47
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	4	$124	75	75	+0	open	—	08-12 02:43
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	3	$103	70	50	+20	open	—	05-17 02:27
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	06-30 15:11
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	08-12 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$80	83	3	+80	Up	$-0	05-11 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$71	102	102	+0	open	—	05-03 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	05-11 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	Up	+$1	05-10 15:38
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	07-03 20:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$59	75	75	+0	open	—	06-14 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$56	63	0	+63	Up	+$4	05-08 19:49
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	07-02 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$51	57	0	+57	Up	+$6	05-10 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$50	79	0	+79	Up	+$29	05-10 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-03 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-03 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$50	70	0	+70	Up	$-0	05-10 12:39
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	4	$49	44	25	+19	open	—	08-12 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	05-03 07:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	07-01 00:15
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	07-26 19:54
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	06-27 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$45	51	0	+51	open	—	05-03 06:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	10	$42	46	36	+10	open	—	07-07 00:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	06-25 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-03 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-03 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 18:07:36	will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xa028b2…
08-15 16:31:07	clf ful vfb 2026 08 15 btts	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xcd53eb…
08-15 14:49:18	clf bmg avl 2026 08 15 btts	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x9c6a79…
08-15 02:30:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x29eade…
08-15 02:28:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe09c9b…
08-14 16:44:40	bl2 ksv stp 2026 08 14 btts	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xd461bc…
08-14 16:44:40	bl2 ksv stp 2026 08 14 btts	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0xafc0d7…
08-14 16:44:39	bl2 ksv stp 2026 08 14 btts	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac22c9…
08-12 18:20:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x2d0a08…
08-12 17:52:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x735907…
08-12 17:52:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x903b45…
08-12 17:30:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb00425…
08-12 17:04:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x9526c7…
08-12 16:44:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5467dc…
08-12 16:29:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xc09289…
08-12 11:42:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x3e36a1…
08-12 04:06:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x069e23…
08-12 03:18:25	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb89c88…
08-12 02:43:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0xb1c9a0…
08-11 18:48:12	ucl lyo spp 2026 08 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe99a9d…
08-11 17:01:39	ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x5319cf…
08-11 16:11:25	ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 btts	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf55f24…
08-11 15:37:33	ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2190f0…
08-11 15:19:03	ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 team to advance	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x9a7d1b…
08-11 11:31:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x99648f…
08-11 11:02:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x737373…
08-11 08:03:10	will a tropical cyclone make landfall on honshu in august 2026 1786370408878	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xcedc78…
08-11 00:35:10	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4ac011…
08-10 23:18:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x507f70…
08-09 16:42:46	will jannik sinner have 15000 atp points before 2027 20260731033231532	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x5f8971…
08-09 16:28:28	will jannik sinner have 15000 atp points before 2027 20260731033231532	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x1eb72d…
08-09 09:44:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xc72e88…
08-08 12:09:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xd43ee1…
08-08 12:04:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xb7de6f…
08-08 03:22:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x0d4d1d…
08-07 20:11:51	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcbe59e…
08-07 20:03:10	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d2909…
08-07 13:44:55	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x5c8619…
08-07 11:23:39	will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x46d398…
08-07 06:57:51	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xa3756c…
08-07 06:48:30	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x103f33…
08-07 06:21:00	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5b8acd…
08-07 06:17:57	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x97e15f…
07-30 14:48:41	uel and hif 2026 07 30 team to advance	RSC Anderlecht	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x311c32…
07-26 19:54:30	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x66109c…
07-20 01:29:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x0ec197…
07-19 22:49:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x51dfdb…
07-19 22:29:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6bc7d6…
07-19 18:12:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xe8bf90…
07-19 18:12:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xaed7d0…
07-19 14:59:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6a1423…
07-18 10:52:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x52c23f…
07-18 09:55:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe13f33…
07-18 09:55:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xbe34dc…
07-15 19:04:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x445063…
07-15 19:02:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x6423f1…
07-11 03:49:10	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5f6290…
07-10 14:57:25	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xf16919…
07-10 03:23:49	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x5ad522…
07-10 03:23:38	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x25dca2…
07-10 03:23:26	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x575c29…
07-09 10:03:14	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xce0c26…
07-09 10:03:13	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x493bf2…
07-09 10:03:04	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x9c25f1…
07-08 07:29:22	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xd143c6…
07-07 22:24:17	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0x0ac085…
07-07 18:51:41	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x866daf…
07-07 15:40:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xf176a6…
07-07 10:02:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xcc12fc…
07-07 00:48:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x527533…
07-07 00:38:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xed4358…
07-07 00:31:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x87dd85…
07-07 00:23:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0c16ea…
07-07 00:11:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xf9b01d…
07-06 21:24:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5990cd…
07-06 21:18:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x781fe7…
07-06 21:07:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xce2a07…
07-06 20:53:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x493865…
07-06 20:53:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf44a3e…
07-06 14:03:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x6139a0…
07-06 05:01:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	18	82¢	$14	0xeb168a…
07-06 04:17:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x32c39b…
07-06 04:16:59	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xfd9fb8…
07-05 22:35:17	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x0a3d8f…
07-05 22:16:55	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x2fc7c6…
07-05 19:13:35	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x264a8b…
07-05 15:29:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb19b6b…
07-04 15:17:08	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7c2549…
07-03 20:09:40	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xa4a25d…
07-03 19:50:43	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x825ce7…
07-03 16:45:52	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xcfa3a1…
07-03 14:33:38	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6be6a0…
07-02 20:53:28	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc85f7c…
07-02 20:52:59	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2a3d8c…
07-02 20:39:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x26eb66…
07-02 20:37:31	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x73e59a…
07-02 14:28:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x153839…
07-01 21:01:08	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x6b2d9b…
07-01 18:41:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x779fef…
07-01 00:15:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x377162…