Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
60.9%
Resolved
335
Trades
727
lifetime
Volume
$8.06K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$184
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 10-27 20:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
49% 66% +$83
Politics
24% 66% -$121
Crypto
23% 74% -$9
Sports
2% 27% -$24
Tech
2% 67% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$3 10-21 21:48
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 10-21 13:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +25 $18 94¢ $24 +$5 10-22 10:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +40 $30 56¢ $23 -$7 10-27 20:04
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +30 $19 64¢ $19 $0 10-21 12:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $15 68¢ $17 +$2 09-22 06:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +25 $14 55¢ $14 -$1 09-23 12:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +30 $8 36¢ $11 +$3 10-05 15:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 +$0 09-09 10:05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 06-21 02:06