Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
368
lifetime
Volume
$1.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$131
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-29 03:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 50% $-4
Other
29%
Crypto
15%
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +101 $94 94¢ $94 +$0 06-28 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +20 $16 84¢ $17 +$1 06-08 05:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 05-31 18:21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 22:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$1 05-31 19:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:27
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 15:27