Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

213

Trades

622

lifetime

Volume

$941

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-30 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

47% 66% -$2

Politics

38% 59% -$38

Crypto

9% 80% +$5

Tech

4% 100% +$4

Sports

3% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	34	$46	27	27	+0	No	$0	02-25 19:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	08-30 15:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$1	06-20 05:19
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-19 23:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	22	$29	19	16	+4	No	+$1	03-31 11:22
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-31 19:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$25	99	99	+0	No	-$11	03-28 10:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-19 05:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$20	12	15	-3	Yes	-$2	03-12 01:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 03:18
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-01 02:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	06-20 22:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	1	$16	17	0	+17	No	+$1	06-17 09:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	1	$16	17	0	+17	No	+$1	06-16 00:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$16	18	12	+6	Yes	-$10	02-28 14:02
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	1	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	06-09 15:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	-$6	02-28 16:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$15	10	8	+1	Yes	+$2	02-28 17:14
epl mac new 2026 02 21 mac	10	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	02-21 22:07
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-29 12:31
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	8	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	03-25 01:53
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	9	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-17 07:03
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	9	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	02-24 21:07
nba sac sas 2026 02 21	2	$8	4	4	+0	Spurs	+$0	02-22 03:14
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	7	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	02-28 07:03
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	4	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	02-25 06:22
will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	3	$7	9	1	+8	Yes	-$4	03-24 16:25
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$7	3	3	-0	No	+$0	03-06 01:20
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$7	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-27 08:38
elc hul der 2026 02 24 total 2pt5	2	$6	4	4	+0	Over	+$2	02-24 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 15:07:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3284b8…
07-31 19:52:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd52efb…
07-30 15:20:15	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xbfcfbe…
07-01 03:18:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x15b3f3…
06-30 03:39:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x97271f…
06-29 12:31:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x8cb2c9…
06-29 00:33:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4724da…
06-27 10:02:02	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x26ea90…
06-20 22:15:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x309960…
06-20 05:19:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc09b25…
06-19 06:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0xcfa74f…
06-19 05:43:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6b691e…
06-17 21:30:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xeaff82…
06-17 09:03:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x84a1b5…
06-16 00:08:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x2af373…
06-09 15:45:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa55398…
06-08 03:31:09	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x254e03…
05-19 23:08:59	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8d5448…
05-18 07:47:39	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x36b693…
05-05 07:02:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb67f52…
04-27 17:37:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e35db…
04-18 00:55:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75a035…
04-13 05:45:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6ea16…
04-13 05:45:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b2332…
04-12 22:01:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x77b4ca…
04-12 21:40:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e4377…
04-12 20:15:23	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd5489a…
04-11 13:42:49	Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe26721…
04-08 00:18:35	will shawn harris win the ga 14 special election	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x00ce85…
04-07 21:58:43	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xab8fe7…
04-07 13:55:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x33f98e…
04-06 06:58:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3c9d41…
04-06 06:41:01	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02706f…
04-04 19:21:21	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x09642b…
04-04 06:30:37	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4cd1e…
04-03 01:03:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x35c197…
04-03 01:02:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x92bdcb…
04-01 20:25:45	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25869c…
04-01 20:25:43	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe2bfa2…
04-01 14:20:19	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3da53f…
04-01 13:48:55	will iran strike turkey in march	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x961bbf…
04-01 11:25:57	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x660e0f…
04-01 07:35:35	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4c18b0…
04-01 06:21:23	us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1078a8…
04-01 05:58:45	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d4636…
04-01 05:17:23	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x953031…
04-01 05:17:23	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x420d14…
04-01 04:35:33	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfc2784…
04-01 04:35:31	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb427af…
04-01 03:51:59	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x57387e…
04-01 02:07:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1c0e2d…
04-01 01:09:19	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4a2fa2…
04-01 00:31:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd47a81…
04-01 00:03:03	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x586077…
03-31 23:19:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x023fa3…
03-31 23:02:25	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x869014…
03-31 19:37:31	will uk strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd25eeb…
03-31 18:41:59	will france strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfda0f7…
03-31 16:12:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe7a81c…
03-31 13:51:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x83eacf…
03-31 12:51:53	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1066bd…
03-31 11:22:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x28418b…
03-31 10:23:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xba2e63…
03-31 10:23:25	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa37b84…
03-31 06:49:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbf6a1e…
03-31 05:35:37	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xeb8551…
03-31 05:35:15	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc82b10…
03-31 04:57:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf1cf21…
03-31 01:53:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb83f4c…
03-31 01:35:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc0e11d…
03-30 07:40:36	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x709744…
03-30 07:39:04	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4309ce…
03-30 04:55:22	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf69178…
03-30 02:20:20	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x416777…
03-30 02:04:46	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa2d002…
03-29 15:27:20	will avi lewis win the canadian ndp leadership election	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x97234f…
03-29 04:54:24	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe5bc26…
03-28 23:24:00	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f785d…
03-28 15:46:19	Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef8007…
03-28 13:41:11	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7127ca…
03-28 12:57:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf75479…
03-28 11:21:03	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd81afd…
03-28 10:20:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xc38d41…
03-28 09:35:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	97	7¢	$7	0xe7d93d…
03-27 13:43:25	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7361d…
03-27 09:49:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	97	18¢	$17	0x70e125…
03-27 08:38:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x13b5b5…
03-27 08:36:47	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x894e20…
03-27 08:36:11	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xad1f74…
03-27 08:34:19	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x57fcd3…
03-27 06:01:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x58b6db…
03-27 02:17:45	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7f6d5d…
03-26 13:45:09	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa11ba6…
03-26 12:44:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x21415c…
03-26 04:21:15	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x28dfef…
03-26 02:39:47	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaa282d…
03-26 01:20:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6223d5…
03-26 00:48:21	will iran strike dimona by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x116716…
03-25 14:53:49	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x363e19…
03-25 12:29:51	Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbf4914…