Prickly-Bandana — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$138

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,600

lifetime

Volume

$199.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-16 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-3

Politics

26% 0% $-23

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes		+411	$145	2¢	$7	$-138	06-16 15:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$14.8K	10,030	10,030	+0	open	—	03-21 00:12
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	10	$8.5K	4,522	4,522	+0	open	—	03-14 03:59
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$7.5K	4,470	4,470	+0	open	—	03-30 15:18
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	46	$7.2K	20,209	20,209	+0	open	—	03-24 20:00
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	17	$6.9K	6,422	6,422	+0	open	—	02-21 00:45
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	39	$6.1K	5,173	5,173	+0	open	—	03-12 17:29
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	28	$6.1K	5,146	5,146	+0	open	—	03-24 19:35
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	11	$5.8K	5,486	5,486	+0	open	—	03-31 09:49
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	47	$5.6K	3,702	3,703	-1	open	—	02-07 20:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$4.9K	3,357	3,357	+0	open	—	02-19 13:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$4.7K	3,944	3,504	+440	open	—	02-28 01:53
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	39	$4.6K	10,516	10,516	+0	open	—	03-12 22:37
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22 game2	8	$4.2K	2,321	2,321	+0	open	—	02-22 17:49
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	9	$4.0K	3,354	3,354	+0	open	—	05-08 11:48
dota2 navi vg 2026 03 09	64	$4.0K	2,999	2,999	+0	open	—	03-09 14:37
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22 game1	7	$3.6K	2,283	2,283	+0	open	—	02-22 16:54
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	61	$3.5K	8,151	6,724	+1,427	open	—	03-27 00:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.5K	2,303	2,303	+0	Yes	$-4	03-15 14:52
will russia strike kyiv on february 17 2026	52	$3.0K	2,574	2,574	-0	open	—	02-18 08:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	7	$2.9K	2,734	2,734	+0	open	—	03-31 12:10
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 20	25	$2.9K	1,853	1,853	+0	open	—	03-18 19:14
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$2.8K	2,602	2,602	+0	open	—	05-04 22:19
cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22 game2	4	$2.8K	1,658	1,658	+0	open	—	02-22 14:09
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$2.6K	1,685	1,685	+0	open	—	01-28 08:32
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	7	$2.2K	1,470	1,470	+0	open	—	02-01 09:09
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 9 2026	19	$2.1K	1,322	1,322	+0	open	—	03-16 06:47
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	19	$2.1K	1,451	1,510	-59	open	—	02-20 12:00
will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	12	$1.9K	1,708	1,708	-0	open	—	02-28 11:22
dota2 ty navi 2026 02 14	2	$1.8K	2,347	0	+2,347	open	—	02-14 18:19
will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	12	$1.7K	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	02-01 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 15:26:26	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	411	35¢	$145	0x0075e7…
05-08 11:48:23	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,639	59¢	$967	0x8e10c4…
05-08 11:36:19	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xfe97ea…
05-08 09:15:56	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	59¢	$20	0x2990ab…
05-07 23:36:22	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,677	59¢	$989	0xd33251…
05-04 22:19:34	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,602	49¢	$1,268	0x062759…
04-28 15:44:02	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	355	62¢	$220	0x5c65a3…
04-28 15:43:46	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	61¢	$534	0x11fdf1…
04-28 14:55:30	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,236	60¢	$1,336	0xcbfc38…
04-22 00:07:14	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	50¢	$47	0x1eadbd…
04-21 23:19:54	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x860cca…
04-14 20:27:12	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	62¢	$227	0xb928ce…
04-14 20:26:50	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,024	58¢	$1,171	0xdc90b7…
03-31 12:10:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	2,734	59¢	$1,602	0x53b5df…
03-31 09:49:13	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,090	35¢	$387	0x57023d…
03-31 09:21:55	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	710	46¢	$327	0x70d7f2…
03-31 09:21:35	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4,396	54¢	$2,375	0xf388c8…
03-31 09:10:05	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	380	45¢	$171	0xce4801…
03-31 07:51:03	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	881	0¢	$2	0xa5dc70…
03-31 07:51:01	Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	SELL	386	1¢	$5	0x86c568…
03-31 07:50:11	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4,433	13¢	$582	0x82b823…
03-31 07:50:05	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	331	38¢	$126	0x2d1a43…
03-31 06:58:11	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x94361d…
03-31 06:48:07	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x7958f4…
03-31 06:47:57	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	285	44¢	$125	0xc84172…
03-30 18:36:55	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0xa3a758…
03-30 16:25:57	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,292	22¢	$499	0xb3b51b…
03-30 15:44:45	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	667	21¢	$140	0xa3f572…
03-30 15:26:25	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	776	23¢	$179	0x998e7f…
03-30 15:18:37	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,029	61¢	$1,229	0x0243b1…
03-30 15:18:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	508	83¢	$419	0x5c5274…
03-30 15:18:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,949	93¢	$1,819	0xa401b8…
03-30 15:17:33	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	245	22¢	$53	0x410cde…
03-30 11:34:46	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,917	56¢	$1,074	0xad45b9…
03-30 11:34:34	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,328	91¢	$1,208	0x8a6908…
03-30 10:06:28	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	45¢	$24	0xf30802…
03-30 08:25:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	104	73¢	$76	0xf2f635…
03-30 02:00:50	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x51415b…
03-29 23:37:10	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x408876…
03-29 23:22:14	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	12¢	$9	0xd38379…
03-29 23:18:50	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xb8e439…
03-29 22:46:40	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x0805f1…
03-29 22:46:18	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	No	SELL	367	57¢	$210	0x4014f8…
03-29 22:40:04	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	280	53¢	$148	0x12baaf…
03-29 21:59:12	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x6ef710…
03-29 21:50:46	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	124	46¢	$57	0x354ca4…
03-29 21:50:34	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	137	30¢	$41	0x2d0401…
03-29 21:48:36	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	No	BUY	367	65¢	$238	0xcd063f…
03-29 21:25:00	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1,090	35¢	$379	0xc9bf6c…
03-29 21:24:56	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	1,316	35¢	$462	0x0dc279…
03-29 20:35:16	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xd1e914…
03-29 19:10:28	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	124	61¢	$75	0x9eb66c…
03-29 17:16:48	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	139	32¢	$44	0x1eb3e7…
03-29 17:14:10	Will Russia capture Toretske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	40¢	$34	0x26d848…
03-29 14:18:12	Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	BUY	386	28¢	$107	0x835faa…
03-29 13:09:10	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	49	83¢	$40	0x71e83c…
03-29 13:07:04	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	107	83¢	$89	0xe85c53…
03-29 11:57:38	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x81b208…
03-29 10:43:12	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	250	31¢	$77	0x632d2a…
03-29 10:42:32	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x9cf8ce…
03-29 10:17:28	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	155	63¢	$98	0x6f7eb5…
03-29 08:37:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	520	6¢	$31	0x97e6d9…
03-28 21:14:06	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	316	50¢	$158	0xc05aff…
03-28 20:29:54	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	SELL	324	44¢	$142	0x81977b…
03-28 20:25:28	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x7af7e7…
03-28 20:25:24	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	Yes	BUY	254	48¢	$122	0xd30f5d…
03-28 20:23:32	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,006	11¢	$109	0x2a63d6…
03-28 20:23:16	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	554	76¢	$421	0xcf9315…
03-28 14:19:35	cs2 vit aur1 2026 03 28 game1	Aurora Gaming	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xd9c2f0…
03-27 08:37:53	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xf2bc25…
03-27 00:40:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xdeffe6…
03-27 00:39:37	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	Yes	BUY	359	6¢	$23	0xcd6d77…
03-26 23:49:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xe61612…
03-26 23:12:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xba0d3d…
03-26 22:51:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xc73221…
03-26 15:05:33	Will Russia enter Myrne by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	20¢	$29	0x8d1bf3…
03-25 12:38:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	153	29¢	$44	0x661952…
03-25 12:04:17	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	537	4¢	$21	0xbee89c…
03-25 11:39:11	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$5	0xfa1495…
03-25 11:24:43	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	118	7¢	$8	0xa53f08…
03-25 08:36:31	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	BUY	239	3¢	$7	0x6ff656…
03-25 08:35:03	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x4ca164…
03-25 08:33:01	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xc1107d…
03-25 08:29:15	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x22e1cd…
03-25 08:10:01	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	356	67¢	$238	0xb2a6a5…
03-25 08:08:27	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	198	66¢	$131	0x29c6b2…
03-25 07:25:13	Will Russia enter Myrne by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	19¢	$28	0xf36072…
03-25 07:18:59	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x7e8473…
03-25 06:47:43	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	127	72¢	$91	0xe6b7c6…
03-25 06:43:31	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	584	35¢	$203	0x02c3fb…
03-25 06:27:49	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	66	69¢	$46	0x7d334b…
03-25 06:25:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	437	41¢	$179	0xd44c01…
03-25 06:25:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	206	24¢	$49	0xbeddfe…
03-24 20:12:49	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	732	38¢	$281	0xbe7ded…
03-24 20:11:57	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,275	0x961e26…
03-24 20:11:45	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xc46f1f…
03-24 20:11:23	will sweden qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1,023	69¢	$706	0x1d72bc…
03-24 20:09:25	will ukraine qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	781	73¢	$574	0xff3342…
03-24 20:00:39	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,537	0¢	$18	0xf1bd65…
03-24 19:55:23	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	486	8¢	$37	0xd10a31…