Rubbery-Integration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$859

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

241

Trades

11,043

lifetime

Volume

$382.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$2.04K

22 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Politics

77% 56% -$7,099

Other

21% 57% +$106

Crypto

2% 60% +$71

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	+466	$375	98¢	$457	+$82	10-28 03:39
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3,061	$666	10¢	$291	-$375	10-25 23:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+572	$402	44¢	$249	-$153	10-02 15:57
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	+263	$225	94¢	$246	+$22	10-27 15:22
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+1,737	$332	12¢	$217	-$115	10-22 15:58
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+2,909	$113	5¢	$138	+$25	09-23 22:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+528	$198	18¢	$98	-$101	10-05 10:47
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+361	$188	26¢	$92	-$96	09-30 16:13
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	+2,233	$561	4¢	$86	-$475	10-28 03:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	+1,359	$323	6¢	$75	-$248	10-17 20:02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-823	-$1,011	4¢	$-37	+$974	08-09 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+112	$17	14¢	$15	-$2	08-30 18:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	+73	$37	18¢	$14	-$23	10-27 13:33
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+132	$5	7¢	$10	+$5	09-12 23:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+909	$70	1¢	$5	-$65	09-05 14:18
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	+2	-$6	92¢	$2	+$8	10-27 11:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	+91	$57	2¢	$2	-$55	10-07 02:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	+210	$43	1¢	$1	-$42	10-07 20:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	+167	$73	1¢	$1	-$71	10-07 20:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	+2	$17	8¢	$0	-$17	10-24 07:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	+0	$129	82¢	$0	-$129	10-19 15:25
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$8	27¢	$0	-$8	07-05 09:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	195	$31.1K	33,766	31,990	+1,776	Yes	-$4,028	02-28 06:33
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	175	$19.1K	17,850	16,937	+913	Yes	+$1,264	02-27 04:18
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	140	$16.8K	18,567	18,384	+183	Yes	+$188	02-27 21:19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	377	$12.0K	28,961	33,560	-4,598	Yes	+$242	09-14 17:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	157	$9.3K	13,361	13,194	+167	Yes	-$324	03-07 19:29
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	49	$8.6K	5,508	4,712	+795	No	+$347	01-31 14:41
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	57	$7.5K	3,990	4,309	-319	No	+$575	01-16 02:25
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	87	$7.2K	4,200	4,192	+8	No	+$87	08-01 03:27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	31	$6.6K	6,272	2,725	+3,547	Yes	-$2,434	02-28 05:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	954	$6.2K	132,117	132,121	-4	Yes	-$549	04-06 08:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	82	$5.7K	7,619	7,395	+223	No	+$193	03-31 18:57
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	74	$5.4K	4,916	5,315	-399	Yes	+$265	02-27 14:30
Iran leadership change by April 30?	63	$5.3K	4,361	4,296	+65	No	+$406	03-23 16:06
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	24	$5.2K	2,731	3,468	-737	No	+$204	01-16 02:25
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	258	$5.1K	23,181	14,172	+9,009	Yes	-$1,208	02-06 19:07
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	39	$5.1K	2,800	2,600	+200	No	+$122	01-29 19:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	145	$4.9K	3,733	4,556	-823	open	—	08-09 21:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	120	$4.7K	5,560	4,397	+1,163	Yes	+$379	04-07 21:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	134	$4.4K	6,764	5,255	+1,510	Yes	-$860	03-08 21:13
iran strike on israel by february 28	26	$4.3K	2,450	2,450	+0	Yes	+$94	02-14 11:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	84	$4.2K	5,372	4,888	+485	Yes	+$462	03-05 20:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	121	$4.0K	11,962	9,990	+1,972	No	+$2,284	03-17 06:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	141	$3.9K	6,030	3,994	+2,036	Yes	-$269	06-14 18:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	103	$3.8K	6,682	5,922	+759	Yes	-$84	04-13 17:11
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	55	$3.4K	9,892	9,868	+25	No	+$77	02-22 00:05
iran leadership change by march 31	58	$3.3K	2,127	2,099	+28	No	+$118	03-23 02:03
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	80	$3.3K	3,738	3,220	+518	No	+$156	03-23 20:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	151	$3.2K	4,251	4,060	+191	Yes	+$534	06-19 06:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	35	$3.0K	2,405	3,205	-800	No	-$17	02-04 17:56
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	14	$3.0K	1,946	1,396	+549	No	+$24	01-23 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:49:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	4¢	$10	0xc546ca…
10-28 03:48:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xfcad85…
10-28 03:39:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x15be80…
10-28 02:33:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xb38f16…
10-27 20:52:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xf32b03…
10-27 20:52:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x99aeb0…
10-27 18:41:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x0e6564…
10-27 17:21:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf01e99…
10-27 15:34:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0xefb424…
10-27 15:27:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xb1818e…
10-27 15:22:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x41cd3c…
10-27 15:22:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	125	92¢	$115	0xd08396…
10-27 14:38:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xcaedb4…
10-27 14:31:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	No	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x381926…
10-27 13:33:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x7c4c68…
10-27 13:25:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xba88cd…
10-27 13:03:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xf012d2…
10-27 12:40:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x462e2d…
10-27 12:39:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc1536f…
10-27 12:32:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x86e166…
10-27 12:32:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x10da52…
10-27 11:04:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x72c907…
10-27 11:00:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x99f37c…
10-27 00:29:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf3f87…
10-27 00:11:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xc96812…
10-26 19:38:44	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0xedb5a3…
10-26 19:00:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x963527…
10-26 19:00:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x050dee…
10-26 17:08:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	SELL	27	36¢	$10	0x600470…
10-26 16:48:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xfd5cd4…
10-26 15:41:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x98e021…
10-26 15:21:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x7b5ae9…
10-26 14:48:38	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0xa4a75c…
10-26 14:28:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x279222…
10-26 14:11:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0xad1bee…
10-26 14:10:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xe23638…
10-26 13:49:17	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x67ef73…
10-26 13:39:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	SELL	120	41¢	$49	0x0978ab…
10-26 13:35:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0x564eb9…
10-26 13:32:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2012e3…
10-26 13:30:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa6d153…
10-26 13:21:41	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x16920c…
10-26 11:35:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2a8621…
10-26 11:04:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc33416…
10-26 09:45:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x2b1db7…
10-25 23:45:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x371d1f…
10-25 23:42:44	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd65eb1…
10-25 23:31:44	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x29b5d8…
10-25 23:26:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x755e0c…
10-25 15:36:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7ecd7d…
10-25 15:13:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x55456b…
10-25 06:52:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x1f43e8…
10-25 03:54:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x02fb47…
10-24 18:38:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf89ab8…
10-24 18:31:18	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9ec0c5…
10-24 18:30:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xd1013b…
10-24 17:18:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x726699…
10-24 16:50:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xbd8fa5…
10-24 16:49:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x67f7df…
10-24 16:48:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0xc7784e…
10-24 16:16:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xc54fce…
10-24 16:16:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x2d3de4…
10-24 15:22:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x0d46a1…
10-24 15:21:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x4b3950…
10-24 15:21:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	SELL	63	72¢	$46	0x2dc59d…
10-24 15:16:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x4a7782…
10-24 15:03:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0xfa136d…
10-24 14:29:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0x36616b…
10-24 14:17:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd5bc99…
10-24 14:17:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6afe3f…
10-24 14:16:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x8936ba…
10-24 14:16:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x432eb2…
10-24 14:15:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xcd2c9e…
10-24 11:18:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0024a5…
10-24 09:12:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x97d4e5…
10-24 07:00:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xafbb69…
10-24 04:00:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb926bf…
10-24 00:52:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x7d76c8…
10-23 23:47:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x891400…
10-23 23:25:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xc66805…
10-23 22:48:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x29d2ea…
10-23 22:48:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	62¢	$34	0x5a219a…
10-23 22:48:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	28¢	$14	0x451b97…
10-23 22:47:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x127578…
10-23 19:58:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0xa0b61a…
10-23 18:23:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x28f254…
10-23 17:17:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	No	SELL	28	76¢	$21	0xf059cd…
10-23 17:14:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xd71c1f…
10-23 17:12:44	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd87d6b…
10-23 14:38:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0xe49846…
10-23 14:38:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc6c73e…
10-23 14:36:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2f4857…
10-23 14:36:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xace15d…
10-23 14:36:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x515240…
10-23 14:36:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2f2a57…
10-23 14:34:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x4e22e4…
10-23 14:17:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x12305a…
10-23 13:34:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x5ca17a…
10-23 13:31:39	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x435f83…
10-23 13:30:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x4c50c5…