Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$656
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
7,944
lifetime
Volume
$301.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.77K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-21 22:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
83% 50% +$15
Other
17%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +5,442 $693 11¢ $571 $-121 07-18 08:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +3,208 $358 16¢ $513 +$155 07-21 21:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -373 $-472 54¢ $-200 +$272 07-17 21:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +617 $128 22¢ $139 +$11 06-14 12:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +134 $-56 74¢ $100 +$156 07-05 16:26
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,290 $48 $73 +$25 07-17 21:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +630 $55 11¢ $66 +$11 07-17 17:57
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -223 $-64 26¢ $-57 +$7 07-05 09:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +215 $-85 26¢ $55 +$139 07-20 15:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 29¢ $-0 $-0 07-16 23:47