Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$460

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 08-15 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

58% 79% +$232

Politics

22% 92% +$67

Sports

16% 71% +$4

Tech

2% 100% +$152

Crypto

1% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	9	$2.7K	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$16	07-03 05:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	12	$2.2K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	+$55	07-01 02:09
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	9	$766	395	395	+0	No	+$16	07-15 02:03
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$691	350	350	+0	No	+$4	07-23 16:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$625	314	314	+0	No	+$3	08-01 05:16
iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	2	$612	315	315	+0	No	+$15	07-01 22:08
will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	3	$609	310	310	+0	No	+$8	07-06 04:53
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	4	$589	305	305	+0	No	+$18	07-15 02:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$582	300	300	+0	No	+$10	06-28 12:51
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$576	300	300	+0	No	+$20	07-16 06:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$538	315	315	+0	No	+$25	07-07 23:13
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$518	268	268	+0	No	+$4	08-15 09:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$517	260	260	+0	No	$0	07-28 12:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$480	454	454	+0	Yes	-$31	07-16 07:18
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	3	$407	210	210	+0	No	+$9	06-29 01:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$388	200	200	+0	No	+$3	08-15 09:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	3	$370	195	195	+0	No	+$19	07-16 07:07
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$319	229	229	+0	No	-$51	07-16 06:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$313	157	157	+0	No	+$1	06-27 15:11
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	4	$309	160	160	+0	No	+$11	08-01 05:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$306	321	0	+321	No	+$15	07-21 09:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	3	$281	142	142	+0	No	+$2	07-10 09:16
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$211	114	114	+0	No	+$2	08-15 09:43
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$11	07-06 05:01
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	3	$203	110	110	+0	No	+$17	07-07 16:40
bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	2	$194	200	0	+200	No	+$6	07-30 12:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	6	$189	250	200	+50	Yes	+$149	07-31 03:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$179	123	123	+0	Yes	-$27	07-16 06:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	3	$173	90	90	+0	No	+$6	07-30 12:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$171	150	150	+0	No	+$51	08-15 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 09:43:13	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xbdfad3…
08-15 09:43:00	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	114	93¢	$106	0x616a5f…
08-15 09:42:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	74¢	$111	0x806994…
08-15 09:42:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x3bec6c…
08-15 09:42:37	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	268	98¢	$261	0x3c7f25…
08-02 09:18:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xed71d1…
08-01 05:16:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xafd963…
08-01 05:16:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0xac2755…
07-31 03:16:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0xc02d06…
07-31 03:15:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x80ab5e…
07-31 00:21:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xa97af2…
07-31 00:21:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	130	72¢	$94	0x27b389…
07-31 00:20:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x082d17…
07-30 12:51:18	bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0x147080…
07-30 12:51:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0x60f256…
07-30 12:27:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x0366a2…
07-30 12:25:33	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5b9f5c…
07-30 12:25:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x8e55fc…
07-30 08:41:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe046aa…
07-30 08:36:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x557169…
07-30 06:53:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd7852e…
07-29 13:32:33	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	77	81¢	$63	0xdd157e…
07-29 13:18:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x1c5dcb…
07-29 13:02:23	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xa84391…
07-29 13:02:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x1106f9…
07-29 13:01:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1528d8…
07-28 12:05:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$258	0x523e37…
07-28 01:30:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x5ed8e8…
07-27 03:02:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xcfa744…
07-27 02:59:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x17a2d5…
07-27 02:58:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c4e5a…
07-27 02:56:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd8af26…
07-27 02:52:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x8441fb…
07-27 02:51:13	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0xe7f204…
07-25 04:44:49	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0bb486…
07-25 04:40:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x36d5f0…
07-23 16:55:28	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$348	0x8f83ed…
07-21 10:10:43	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xc54883…
07-21 10:10:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6366a3…
07-21 09:46:49	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xea1275…
07-21 09:46:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	140	94¢	$131	0x6efdf8…
07-21 09:46:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	350	98¢	$344	0x2484a5…
07-16 07:26:02	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x355113…
07-16 07:25:26	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xfbcf6b…
07-16 07:24:35	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x1ecfdc…
07-16 07:23:47	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	114	92¢	$105	0x169fc8…
07-16 07:20:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xd72408…
07-16 07:19:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$175	0xced308…
07-16 07:18:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	181	4¢	$7	0x2e347f…
07-16 07:18:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	181	4¢	$7	0x9b6165…
07-16 07:07:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x1b508f…
07-16 06:25:14	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xcd709b…
07-16 06:24:50	Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xca532e…
07-16 06:24:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x31416c…
07-16 06:05:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	63	42¢	$27	0x480451…
07-16 06:05:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	229	58¢	$134	0xe151e4…
07-15 07:30:25	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xfb8e32…
07-15 07:30:19	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x85c2a9…
07-15 07:26:26	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xcdd168…
07-15 07:25:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x08808e…
07-15 07:25:44	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	232	93¢	$215	0x9f65ce…
07-15 02:03:14	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	395	99¢	$391	0x04aaa3…
07-15 02:03:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	305	99¢	$303	0x59ed3d…
07-11 17:04:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x296099…
07-11 17:04:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xf58af3…
07-11 17:04:11	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf5e1c1…
07-11 15:43:32	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xc3a762…
07-11 15:40:05	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x0dcb66…
07-11 09:49:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3bd267…
07-10 12:48:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x3f11f6…
07-10 10:00:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4be1b0…
07-10 09:56:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x82bee2…
07-10 09:51:58	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xa26035…
07-10 09:49:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0x20f944…
07-10 09:48:59	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x11bdd9…
07-10 09:48:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xb8fb5d…
07-10 09:41:50	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x82019b…
07-10 09:18:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0xabb46d…
07-10 09:18:29	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x8f4268…
07-10 09:18:02	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0xb46ae2…
07-10 09:17:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0x0b6a03…
07-10 09:16:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xb5ac66…
07-09 10:12:02	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0x1dfca7…
07-09 09:58:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	113	82¢	$92	0xd82b5d…
07-09 09:58:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$33	0x9a16dd…
07-09 09:58:10	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe5c021…
07-09 06:38:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0xac16ac…
07-09 03:32:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x7cb3a0…
07-09 03:32:14	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xfdfbe3…
07-09 03:17:44	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x514392…
07-09 03:17:23	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x59b53d…
07-09 03:17:11	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0xd785f9…
07-08 13:53:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xf2b91b…
07-08 11:47:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xb8af37…
07-08 11:18:37	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	60	86¢	$51	0xe9390d…
07-08 11:18:11	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0x0df9bb…
07-08 11:17:35	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xa0cc97…
07-08 03:22:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0xd263a5…
07-08 02:29:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xb63af3…
07-08 02:28:40	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x459a43…