Threadbare-Lunchroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.80K

Unrealized P&L

+$324

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

971

Trades

1,855

lifetime

Volume

$304.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

$254

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Sports

42% 45% -$3,734

Other

36% 47% +$4,086

Politics

21% 37% +$1,393

Crypto

0% 26% +$56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		-269	-$578	94¢	$-254	+$324	08-05 00:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	13	$23.8K	18,828	18,828	+0	open	—	10-22 23:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$14.1K	8,710	8,710	+0	No	-$106	10-24 21:48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	4	$12.9K	7,889	7,889	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2,826	10-08 05:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$10.0K	9,797	9,797	+0	open	—	10-21 20:41
Nuggets vs. Thunder	4	$9.8K	13,661	3,083	+10,578	Thunder	+$3,015	10-23 03:08
Heat vs. Hornets	2	$9.6K	12,154	12,146	+8	Hornets	-$5,743	10-24 23:36
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	3	$9.0K	4,893	4,893	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$804	10-08 01:03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	5	$8.2K	5,365	5,365	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2,403	10-08 03:15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	6	$6.8K	4,024	4,024	+0	Yes	+$944	10-13 20:43
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$6.0K	9,764	0	+9,764	Cleveland Guardians	-$5,956	10-12 19:17
Timberwolves vs. Heat	2	$5.4K	9,909	0	+9,909	Timberwolves	+$4,529	10-22 00:28
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	3	$5.2K	3,235	3,235	+0	Yes	+$1,303	10-05 00:05
Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer	3	$4.5K	2,668	2,668	+0	Ryan Nijboer	+$833	10-07 19:44
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$4.4K	8,056	0	+8,056	Erick Visconde	-$4,431	10-13 21:02
Celtics vs. 76ers	3	$4.4K	3,422	3,422	+0	Celtics	+$2,485	10-17 01:46
mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	2	$3.7K	2,966	2,966	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$237	10-04 20:34
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	4	$3.3K	2,009	2,009	+0	PARIVISION	+$667	10-07 18:10
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	2	$3.3K	1,855	1,855	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$425	10-07 01:17
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	5	$3.2K	3,080	3,080	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$16	10-25 02:21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$3.2K	1,865	1,865	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$520	09-23 03:29
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$3.1K	5,192	0	+5,192	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2,077	10-06 00:32
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$2.7K	3,706	3,706	+0	Cleveland Guardians	-$1,742	10-07 22:01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	3	$2.4K	1,476	1,476	+0	Team Falcons	+$525	10-06 22:42
BYU vs. UCF	3	$2.3K	3,673	3,673	+0	UCF	-$723	10-24 21:46
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$2.3K	1,234	1,234	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$185	09-22 01:58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	2	$2.3K	1,399	1,399	+0	PARIVISION	+$542	10-07 16:33
Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State	3	$2.1K	3,290	217	+3,073	Jacksonville State	-$1,953	10-08 01:17
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$2.0K	3,923	0	+3,923	Alexander Volkanovski	-$2,000	10-24 20:36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	3	$2.0K	1,286	1,286	+0	PARIVISION	+$577	10-03 11:47
cs2 lgc bb3 2026 10 16	5	$2.0K	1,294	1,294	+0	BetBoom Team	+$628	10-16 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 02:21:50	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	65	64¢	$42	0x119cf1…
10-25 01:52:51	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0x30e18e…
10-24 23:36:39	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	SELL	12,146	16¢	$1,914	0x4a2e22…
10-24 21:52:03	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	12,154	63¢	$7,657	0x8e79a1…
10-24 21:48:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8,382	82¢	$6,892	0x0d6a9f…
10-24 21:46:57	BYU vs. UCF	UCF	SELL	3,673	21¢	$783	0xbbfb66…
10-24 21:31:05	BYU vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x117588…
10-24 21:30:48	BYU vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	3,660	41¢	$1,501	0x39587b…
10-24 21:30:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	3,014	52¢	$1,567	0x1c9868…
10-24 21:14:53	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,128	53¢	$598	0x4ecb1f…
10-24 21:13:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,382	84¢	$7,000	0xc81047…
10-24 21:12:35	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,887	53¢	$1,000	0x8b78ea…
10-24 20:36:35	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0xed41b5…
10-24 20:24:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	2,231	24¢	$530	0xc00be3…
10-24 20:08:18	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0x31df23…
10-24 19:58:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xa833ab…
10-24 19:47:33	Colgate vs. Richmond	Colgate	SELL	214	26¢	$56	0x580853…
10-24 19:36:45	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	595	42¢	$250	0xbfea0d…
10-24 19:24:35	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x37c4f7…
10-24 19:19:12	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	206	50¢	$103	0xcac941…
10-24 19:02:47	Colgate vs. Richmond	Colgate	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xcaee7a…
10-24 19:01:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x0da7d4…
10-24 18:00:53	Colgate vs. Richmond	Colgate	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x61c66e…
10-24 09:33:57	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0xa41f8f…
10-24 09:21:27	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	103	43¢	$44	0x8ae59f…
10-24 08:54:57	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x6efc48…
10-24 08:47:11	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	1,745	57¢	$1,000	0x997376…
10-24 08:46:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xd405ce…
10-24 08:07:38	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	SELL	556	11¢	$61	0xcc6d43…
10-24 08:02:38	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x63f7d2…
10-24 07:55:15	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	SELL	681	22¢	$150	0x14811a…
10-24 07:27:23	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	BUY	358	70¢	$250	0x7631d6…
10-24 06:25:09	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x7dc2e2…
10-24 06:12:50	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x93244f…
10-24 04:33:53	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	SELL	526	5¢	$26	0x8023e5…
10-24 04:26:15	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xbea6b8…
10-24 04:19:51	NC State vs. Stanford	Stanford	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x95441d…
10-24 01:54:00	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x53db5f…
10-24 01:50:45	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x9a2fb9…
10-24 01:43:32	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	SELL	566	1¢	$6	0x7b9d02…
10-24 00:59:21	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x586774…
10-24 00:37:57	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	338	43¢	$146	0x6daa49…
10-23 23:29:00	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xfed821…
10-23 23:27:42	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc8e784…
10-23 23:09:15	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0x3fbe3c…
10-23 23:00:41	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x86741d…
10-23 22:10:03	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	1,626	61¢	$1,000	0xc3bfc2…
10-23 22:04:32	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bulls	BUY	477	44¢	$210	0x8218f6…
10-23 22:03:02	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	38¢	$115	0xea22d1…
10-23 22:02:50	Spread: Bucks (-3.5)	Bucks	SELL	169	42¢	$71	0x3d64c6…
10-23 22:02:42	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	152	56¢	$85	0x28ba19…
10-23 21:53:48	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x852034…
10-23 20:51:23	Spread: Bucks (-3.5)	Bucks	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xec31a0…
10-23 20:46:00	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Aidan Mayo	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x51bfe6…
10-23 20:39:48	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Aidan Mayo	BUY	267	60¢	$160	0xe2ac57…
10-23 20:39:17	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Alexander Maarten Jong	SELL	204	40¢	$82	0xc93296…
10-23 20:12:54	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x45ef6b…
10-23 19:26:32	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x78e9af…
10-23 10:26:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,019	63¢	$642	0x0aa4de…
10-23 10:07:17	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	1win	SELL	182	6¢	$11	0x49c554…
10-23 09:20:18	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	1win	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xbf3406…
10-23 09:19:41	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x36c4d5…
10-23 07:21:38	Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x09758f…
10-23 06:48:32	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	38¢	$115	0xb03c85…
10-23 03:08:32	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	10,578	68¢	$7,224	0x103acd…
10-23 03:08:08	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	SELL	3,083	37¢	$1,141	0xf2146e…
10-23 02:48:53	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	2,083	48¢	$1,000	0xaec9f1…
10-23 02:38:33	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Nuggets	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0xb72fdb…
10-23 02:06:57	Kings vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	952	51¢	$485	0x82c7fd…
10-23 01:52:50	Spread: 76ers (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x7ca58b…
10-23 01:51:30	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	2,356	0¢	$6	0x446fed…
10-22 23:39:05	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	1,365	70¢	$957	0x7fb11a…
10-22 23:38:41	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,449	66¢	$957	0xaa53c4…
10-22 23:28:50	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	992	59¢	$582	0x1942bd…
10-22 23:28:26	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	1,000	59¢	$590	0x617865…
10-22 20:52:00	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	355	59¢	$209	0x4a6360…
10-22 19:50:05	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	444	24¢	$106	0x5b6cbc…
10-22 19:47:23	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xae7a10…
10-22 19:43:00	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x2bf1e7…
10-22 19:37:48	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	243	98¢	$237	0xcb5331…
10-22 19:14:14	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x4ba223…
10-22 18:56:21	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x2b7de3…
10-22 18:50:47	Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner	Metizport	BUY	103	61¢	$63	0x2bf2d7…
10-22 18:33:29	Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner	Metizport	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xdefdad…
10-22 08:59:09	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xb724e0…
10-22 07:19:50	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	1,355	60¢	$813	0x985c29…
10-22 06:23:04	Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xe111b4…
10-22 03:21:35	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x279122…
10-22 03:17:27	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	SELL	287	13¢	$37	0xe8fe1f…
10-22 02:40:23	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x26899e…
10-22 00:28:29	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	8,909	55¢	$4,900	0x75d3d9…
10-21 22:28:57	Bucks vs. Wizards	Bucks	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xc8454d…
10-21 21:02:06	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x5150c9…
10-21 20:42:06	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,430	66¢	$944	0x88e6d1…
10-21 20:41:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9,510	52¢	$4,944	0x9f6ff7…
10-21 20:19:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	1,205	7¢	$84	0xcda62a…
10-21 18:05:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,205	35¢	$422	0xd94aed…
10-21 18:05:05	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	1,123	40¢	$449	0xb75044…
10-21 17:33:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,123	44¢	$494	0x382e85…
10-21 17:24:53	Exact Score: Como 1907 1 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xdee8ac…