Perfect-Dad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$550

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,856

lifetime

Volume

$303.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

$1.32K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

73% 67% +$12,475

Other

18% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5,499	$1,870	24¢	$1.3K	$-550	07-01 01:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	53	$74.0K	134,455	176,080	-41,625	open	—	06-15 15:48
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	21	$31.2K	66,085	66,085	+0	open	—	01-14 23:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	68	$18.3K	155,264	155,264	+0	open	—	04-08 01:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	90	$15.9K	83,664	83,664	+0	open	—	02-28 20:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	78	$14.1K	306,566	307,946	-1,380	open	—	01-28 20:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	11	$14.0K	34,980	34,980	+0	open	—	06-21 09:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	48	$12.5K	26,219	20,618	+5,602	open	—	06-24 08:10
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	3	$7.0K	4,424	4,424	+0	open	—	06-30 18:58
ucl atm bog1 2026 01 28 bog1	5	$7.0K	6,664	6,664	+0	open	—	01-28 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	70	$6.8K	44,157	32,495	+11,662	Yes	+$10,330	05-08 19:14
iran closes its airspace by june 8	14	$5.9K	6,522	6,522	+0	open	—	06-07 20:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	22	$5.0K	34,305	34,305	+0	open	—	01-31 23:24
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	20	$4.3K	30,171	30,171	+0	open	—	01-28 20:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	7	$4.1K	4,091	4,091	+0	open	—	06-28 21:05
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	6	$3.3K	3,061	3,061	+0	open	—	02-06 18:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$3.0K	18,641	18,641	+0	open	—	02-28 16:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	6	$3.0K	5,919	5,919	+0	open	—	06-28 21:09
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	10	$3.0K	7,733	2,234	+5,499	open	—	07-01 01:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$2.9K	9,821	7,321	+2,500	open	—	04-21 14:35
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	25	$2.7K	24,770	19,670	+5,100	open	—	02-17 10:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$2.7K	6,436	6,436	+0	open	—	05-26 03:37
btc updown 15m 1770415200	118	$2.5K	8,369	8,344	+25	open	—	02-06 22:14
btc updown 15m 1770411600	8	$2.3K	2,055	2,024	+32	open	—	02-06 21:03
btc updown 5m 1775649600	2	$2.2K	1,482	1,431	+51	open	—	04-08 12:04
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$2.1K	8,596	8,596	+0	open	—	01-31 23:23
btc updown 15m 1770414300	5	$2.1K	6,525	753	+5,772	open	—	02-06 21:51
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	5	$1.9K	4,131	4,131	+0	open	—	01-28 20:02
btc updown 15m 1770408900	3	$1.8K	1,569	1,559	+9	open	—	02-06 20:30
btc updown 15m 1770406200	4	$1.7K	1,616	1,592	+24	open	—	02-06 19:35
btc updown 15m 1770404400	10	$1.6K	1,657	1,586	+71	open	—	02-06 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 01:50:47	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	33¢	$44	0x6f17dd…
07-01 00:13:20	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6174ad…
07-01 00:12:19	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xde8372…
06-30 23:26:13	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,493	33¢	$493	0x70cbef…
06-30 22:40:46	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x428eea…
06-30 22:40:44	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,330	30¢	$402	0xacd776…
06-30 21:50:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x45ffd6…
06-30 21:49:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	3,333	6¢	$200	0x291683…
06-30 21:48:55	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	2,143	7¢	$150	0xa9c6e5…
06-30 21:48:34	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x22d71b…
06-30 18:58:19	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	4,424	100¢	$4,420	0x572efe…
06-30 18:54:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	1,158	12¢	$139	0xce9d64…
06-30 18:39:40	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,785	55¢	$982	0xbd0cc9…
06-30 17:22:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	2,639	61¢	$1,601	0xd6e27c…
06-28 21:09:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5,919	24¢	$1,449	0x89acb4…
06-28 21:05:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,196	50¢	$602	0x3b57d7…
06-28 20:14:44	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	2,026	35¢	$709	0xf5c9bc…
06-28 20:14:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,404	52¢	$723	0x469a8d…
06-28 20:13:41	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	2,132	35¢	$737	0xf0191d…
06-28 20:13:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	54¢	$754	0x9e5f0b…
06-26 21:01:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,057	28¢	$292	0x7b3b8c…
06-26 07:40:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	647	27¢	$173	0xa17318…
06-26 06:50:40	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	SELL	287	12¢	$35	0xd95c64…
06-26 06:49:19	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	557	17¢	$93	0xfb034f…
06-25 21:22:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,778	27¢	$739	0x235eda…
06-25 21:22:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	55¢	$50	0x10eb5a…
06-25 21:21:55	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,234	25¢	$552	0x79f4e6…
06-25 21:21:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,060	3¢	$136	0xec7a13…
06-24 08:10:43	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,262	22¢	$508	0x7c77f6…
06-24 08:10:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,329	22¢	$508	0x06f0bf…
06-23 20:30:59	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,668	22¢	$597	0x00dd76…
06-23 20:25:34	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,251	38¢	$471	0xb8c33e…
06-23 20:17:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	25¢	$62	0x59d885…
06-23 20:03:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,188	25¢	$297	0x792cd3…
06-23 10:53:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x3dc6ce…
06-21 14:14:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe38768…
06-21 09:53:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12,724	4¢	$446	0x1099dd…
06-20 16:57:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	864	23¢	$200	0x7e40c7…
06-20 16:57:28	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,025	48¢	$492	0xfb9624…
06-20 16:57:05	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	1,829	22¢	$400	0xabe185…
06-20 15:53:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	767	18¢	$138	0x959723…
06-20 15:37:11	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,455	34¢	$497	0x6c6e66…
06-20 15:22:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,003	48¢	$481	0x062a6f…
06-19 23:39:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12,724	5¢	$636	0x3af13f…
06-19 23:38:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,905	4¢	$436	0x70680c…
06-19 23:15:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,905	5¢	$545	0x4babb8…
06-19 22:14:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,100	95¢	$1,045	0xa8f18e…
06-19 07:36:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,057	42¢	$444	0xafabea…
06-19 06:55:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9,194	41¢	$3,765	0x475a26…
06-17 23:25:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,016	57¢	$1,139	0x06e480…
06-17 23:25:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4,027	55¢	$2,229	0x180c25…
06-16 20:48:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,082	62¢	$1,291	0x07ddc1…
06-16 20:48:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3,226	62¢	$2,000	0x411afc…
06-15 15:52:30	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	1,751	54¢	$946	0x16e6c8…
06-15 15:48:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7,421	94¢	$6,977	0x85d551…
06-15 13:07:55	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	2,458	24¢	$590	0x5621bd…
06-15 13:07:27	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,028	25¢	$500	0x2a43eb…
06-15 13:07:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,064	48¢	$1,000	0xe4a70c…
06-15 13:06:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,344	89¢	$2,090	0x5dbff2…
06-15 12:57:00	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	7¢	$19	0x14856f…
06-15 12:56:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	585	37¢	$218	0x80abaf…
06-15 03:31:37	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,368	6¢	$88	0xc552cd…
06-14 23:21:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	995	35¢	$347	0x5e0a68…
06-14 23:12:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1d6321…
06-14 22:42:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	11,488	74¢	$8,500	0xf532d4…
06-14 22:27:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	45,082	75¢	$33,786	0xe093c5…
06-14 14:58:57	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,759	6¢	$111	0x6d2e86…
06-14 14:58:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,296	19¢	$429	0xf51a15…
06-14 14:54:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	71	19¢	$14	0xa8cd64…
06-14 14:54:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	629	19¢	$120	0x86922a…
06-14 14:51:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,154	12¢	$503	0xee4fa1…
06-14 14:51:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,260	22¢	$503	0x256c64…
06-14 14:03:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	7,397	10¢	$742	0xa0a757…
06-14 13:58:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	29,589	10¢	$2,954	0x52c0cb…
06-14 12:55:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,267	11¢	$249	0x964fe6…
06-14 09:05:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	586	26¢	$150	0x814fc0…
06-14 09:05:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	631	24¢	$150	0x4138fd…
06-14 09:04:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,116	25¢	$790	0x0c4fde…
06-14 09:04:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,369	33¢	$790	0x73fceb…
06-14 05:37:57	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0x04793c…
06-13 20:21:13	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,725	10¢	$168	0x351707…
06-13 20:18:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$132	0xa731d6…
06-13 19:25:30	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	745	10¢	$73	0x1b959a…
06-13 19:24:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	204	38¢	$77	0x210b22…
06-13 19:20:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	170	38¢	$64	0xd17f6b…
06-13 19:20:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,000	26¢	$514	0x1dacaa…
06-13 19:13:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	926	37¢	$343	0x5d35af…
06-13 19:13:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,343	26¢	$343	0x981548…
06-13 15:33:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x193633…
06-13 13:49:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	3,579	14¢	$487	0x9342fe…
06-13 13:39:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21,052	15¢	$3,120	0x161ba5…
06-13 12:42:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	234	26¢	$60	0xd43ebc…
06-13 12:42:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	686	7¢	$51	0xcf912f…
06-13 12:36:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0x67cc56…
06-13 12:36:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	310	42¢	$129	0x102ded…
06-13 12:20:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,629	28¢	$457	0xbe75c9…
06-13 12:18:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,104	41¢	$457	0x708b40…
06-12 20:53:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,059	38¢	$405	0x823d43…
06-12 20:49:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,667	15¢	$405	0x408ed3…
06-12 15:37:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,416	15¢	$360	0x5519b1…