Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$61

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$252

Open exposure

$441

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 11-07 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

51% 82% +$356

Other

48% 73% +$676

Crypto

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	+336	$265	95¢	$319	+$54	07-01 08:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$50	90¢	$55	+$5	07-20 21:32
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	+23	$20	92¢	$21	+$1	11-07 01:44
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	+25	$20	84¢	$21	+$1	11-07 01:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+11	$10	93¢	$11	+$1	11-07 01:39
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$10	84¢	$10	+$0	11-07 01:40
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+7	$5	76¢	$5	$0	11-07 01:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	6	$6.2K	3,610	3,610	+0	No	+$232	09-12 14:58
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	4	$4.0K	2,482	2,482	+0	No	+$227	09-12 14:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,168	1,168	+0	open	—	09-12 14:58
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	3	$578	334	334	+0	open	—	09-12 14:58
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	2	$428	245	245	+0	No	+$28	09-12 14:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$338	195	195	+0	Yes	+$50	11-04 03:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	3	$333	219	219	+0	No	+$33	09-12 14:57
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	2	$314	172	172	+0	No	+$14	09-12 14:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$300	498	0	+498	No	+$198	06-13 10:54
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	3	$265	336	0	+336	open	—	07-01 08:50
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	2	$185	189	0	+189	No	+$4	07-18 17:15
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$182	225	0	+225	No	+$43	07-18 18:53
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$169	195	0	+195	No	+$26	08-01 17:27
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$143	0	285	-285	cancelled	+$1	07-05 18:48
ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	1	$120	123	0	+123	No	+$3	03-20 17:48
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	2	$119	124	0	+124	Yes	+$5	11-07 01:45
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$96	0	192	-192	cancelled	+$0	07-05 18:48
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	2	$90	153	0	+153	No	+$63	02-09 16:56
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	2	$75	193	0	+193	No	+$118	03-01 14:07
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	1	$70	79	0	+79	No	+$9	02-04 10:05
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	2	$52	29	29	+0	No	+$3	09-12 14:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	07-20 21:32
will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	1	$45	49	0	+49	No	+$4	07-18 16:44
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	1	$30	42	0	+42	Yes	+$12	07-20 21:30
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	11-07 01:41
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	11-07 01:44
will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	2	$20	42	0	+42	Yes	-$20	07-01 05:15
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$19	31	0	+31	No	+$12	02-07 14:53
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$18	0	18	-18	Yes	$0	07-01 05:15
will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	1	$10	33	0	+33	No	-$10	01-31 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 01:45:12	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7fdd09…
11-07 01:44:42	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x07a7d6…
11-07 01:41:09	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x89ea6e…
11-07 01:40:21	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc1b543…
11-07 01:39:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9ad220…
11-07 01:39:09	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x721261…
11-07 01:35:45	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x09cfd3…
11-07 01:35:22	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x3c5a29…
11-04 03:43:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x3a2eb7…
11-02 19:07:58	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	195	74¢	$144	0x3d40fb…
09-12 14:58:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,610	90¢	$3,235	0xfab863…
09-12 14:58:37	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,168	92¢	$1,074	0xcc0d8d…
09-12 14:58:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,256	98¢	$1,232	0x32bc0d…
09-12 14:58:19	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	SELL	334	90¢	$301	0x4a3755…
09-12 14:58:09	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	No	SELL	245	93¢	$228	0xe01428…
09-12 14:57:58	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	172	95¢	$164	0xde9053…
09-12 14:57:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	219	84¢	$183	0x206366…
09-12 14:57:34	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x5117cf…
08-01 17:27:20	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	195	87¢	$169	0x4095f0…
08-01 17:26:08	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x4f2491…
08-01 17:25:14	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0xb94815…
07-24 00:31:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x9e17e8…
07-21 14:43:55	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	596	84¢	$499	0x9a0690…
07-21 14:43:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	605	83¢	$500	0x4529dc…
07-20 21:36:16	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by september 30	No	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x47653d…
07-20 21:32:07	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xdbcd46…
07-20 21:30:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x31ccc0…
07-20 21:28:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0xa2c09b…
07-18 23:45:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	81¢	$61	0x01d312…
07-18 23:44:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	495	81¢	$400	0x3a54a7…
07-18 23:43:40	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x389da3…
07-18 18:53:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	225	81¢	$182	0x85ebba…
07-18 17:15:30	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0xfacea7…
07-18 16:44:42	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by july 31 20260604220043035	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x118759…
07-18 16:28:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4e0227…
07-17 18:53:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 19	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xd922ae…
07-06 16:36:56	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,130	77¢	$869	0x4aa3b1…
07-06 16:35:31	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf67bb7…
07-06 16:34:35	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,226	73¢	$894	0xef798d…
07-06 14:34:47	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xe783f9…
07-05 18:49:04	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,886	74¢	$1,400	0x38bcc9…
07-05 18:48:17	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	285	50¢	$143	0x2b00ee…
07-05 18:48:17	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	192	50¢	$96	0x05c8c5…
07-01 08:50:34	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	196	79¢	$155	0x4f5127…
07-01 08:46:19	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xeaf912…
07-01 07:24:19	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	BUY	302	83¢	$250	0x573bc8…
07-01 05:15:37	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0e514b…
07-01 05:15:19	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2d015b…
07-01 05:10:34	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xcbc306…
07-01 05:09:46	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x65d2e2…
07-01 05:05:05	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe361bc…
06-13 10:54:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	498	60¢	$300	0x3acb0b…
03-20 17:48:31	ukraine peace referendum scheduled by march 31	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0xd507ef…
03-20 17:38:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x767fd2…
03-01 14:07:19	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x60c8a2…
02-28 14:54:47	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	BUY	157	45¢	$70	0xcac1a2…
02-26 12:14:38	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xff3b89…
02-09 16:56:49	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xccb9de…
02-09 11:35:21	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0x4e3d4a…
02-07 14:53:27	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xeb31b2…
02-04 10:05:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xe12dd8…
02-03 08:27:40	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x740c12…
02-02 15:39:16	cs2 bcg faze 2026 02 02 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x2019c0…
01-31 19:31:46	will russia enter ternuvate by february 28	No	BUY	513	2¢	$10	0x674bec…
01-31 19:31:42	will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xd14487…