Realized P&L
-$2.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
359
Trades
3,291
lifetime
Volume
$87.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$836
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
63% 53% -$1,748
Politics
33% 57% -$816
Sports
2% 64% -$3
Tech
2% 67% -$25
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -341 -$331 96¢ $-326 +$5 10-15 13:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -238 -$230 96¢ $-229 +$2 09-23 14:03
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +131 $90 88¢ $116 +$26 08-16 04:21
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +92 $71 51¢ $47 -$24 10-09 15:44
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +179 $123 18¢ $33 -$90 10-18 13:18
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $30 +$0 10-12 22:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +63 $42 44¢ $27 -$15 08-13 15:50
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +50 $24 38¢ $19 -$6 10-06 16:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +20 $4 29¢ $6 +$1 10-15 19:31
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 10-25 05:36