Realized P&L (30d)
+$119
Unrealized P&L
+$222
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (30d)
111
Trades (30d)
947
3,567 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$20.0K
$95.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 17:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
65% 56% -$1,308
Politics
31% 58% -$784
Tech
3% 75% -$13
Sports
2% 64% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -461 -$450 97¢ $-448 +$2 11-03 17:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -238 -$230 98¢ $-234 -$3 09-23 14:03
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? No +263 $135 76¢ $201 +$66 10-10 17:08
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? No +360 $37 35¢ $127 +$89 11-03 00:24
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +131 $90 93¢ $122 +$32 08-16 04:21
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +195 $115 51¢ $99 -$16 08-17 04:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? No +85 $80 100¢ $85 +$5 10-28 16:45
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +96 $70 86¢ $83 +$13 11-10 16:12
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? No +71 $54 90¢ $64 +$10 10-14 03:26
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +60 $50 89¢ $53 +$3 11-11 13:47
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +50 $43 97¢ $48 +$5 10-26 16:29
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +60 $34 70¢ $42 +$8 11-09 08:11
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +50 $33 78¢ $39 +$5 11-11 11:44
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +69 $30 52¢ $36 +$6 11-08 22:29
Will The Weekend release an album in 2026? No +40 $30 89¢ $36 +$6 11-02 23:48
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $30 +$0 10-12 22:22
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 -$6 98¢ $29 +$36 11-06 15:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +63 $42 38¢ $24 -$18 08-13 15:50
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? No +31 $24 72¢ $22 -$2 10-05 04:12
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +20 $17 99¢ $20 +$2 10-27 00:39
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$5 10-27 06:29
will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000 No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 10-14 06:35
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $16 32¢ $16 -$1 11-12 17:27
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +50 $24 28¢ $14 -$10 10-06 16:18
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +143 $8 8¢ $12 +$4 11-12 13:00
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +38 $6 29¢ $11 +$5 11-12 05:12
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$1 11-05 07:02
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No +86 $31 10¢ $9 -$22 10-11 09:37
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? No +51 $12 13¢ $7 -$5 10-09 14:07
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31? Yes +30 $13 20¢ $6 -$7 10-12 16:55