Realized P&L (7d)
+$187
Unrealized P&L
+$388
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved (7d)
19
Trades (7d)
109
3,506 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.16K
$94.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 16:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
64% 55% -$1,598
Politics
31% 58% -$775
Tech
3% 67% -$25
Sports
2% 64% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -461 -$450 98¢ $-450 $0 11-03 17:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -238 -$230 98¢ $-232 -$2 09-23 14:03
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +228 -$61 99¢ $225 +$285 11-04 17:36
will godzilla minus zero score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109 Yes +206 $198 100¢ $206 +$8 10-13 00:03
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +124 $95 100¢ $124 +$28 11-04 02:53
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +131 $90 92¢ $122 +$32 08-16 04:21
will wild horse nine score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109 Yes +104 $29 98¢ $102 +$73 11-05 18:42
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +120 $90 81¢ $97 +$7 11-03 06:12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? No +85 $80 100¢ $85 +$5 10-28 16:45
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +85 $74 88¢ $75 +$1 11-05 09:55
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +50 $43 96¢ $48 +$5 10-26 16:29
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-12 22:22
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 -$6 92¢ $28 +$34 11-06 15:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +63 $42 40¢ $25 -$17 08-13 15:50
will godzilla minus zero score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109 Yes +50 $45 49¢ $25 -$21 10-28 21:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +40 $29 60¢ $24 -$5 11-04 04:58
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? No +20 $8 84¢ $17 +$8 10-26 11:15
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +40 $23 42¢ $17 -$7 10-27 02:06
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No +86 $31 18¢ $16 -$15 10-11 09:37
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +50 $24 29¢ $14 -$10 10-06 16:18
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? No +51 $12 19¢ $10 -$2 10-09 14:07
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 11-05 07:02
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 10-25 05:36
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November? No +5 $1 64¢ $3 +$2 11-05 07:02
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 11-02 19:42
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +28 $52 4¢ $1 -$51 11-05 09:42
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1 -$30 98¢ $1 +$30 11-04 23:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +20 $4 4¢ $1 -$4 10-15 19:31
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +5 $0 9¢ $0 +$0 10-27 01:18
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-16 22:41