Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$818

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$76

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 10-31 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

91% 76% -$798

Politics

9% 55% -$20

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	+50	$40	71¢	$36	-$5	10-22 02:20
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?	No	+29	$27	94¢	$27	$0	10-11 08:36
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	+30	$8	23¢	$7	-$1	10-26 23:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	No	+10	$8	66¢	$7	-$2	10-15 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	56	$12.0K	8,252	4,210	+4,042	Yes	+$110	08-19 19:01
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	116	$5.7K	4,855	4,855	+0	Yes	-$1,191	09-29 21:32
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	50	$2.6K	2,467	399	+2,067	No	+$220	07-31 15:51
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	41	$2.2K	2,403	2,403	+0	open	—	10-31 14:28
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	10	$2.0K	2,068	0	+2,068	No	+$113	08-14 14:12
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$34	09-17 04:44
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	41	$1.9K	1,226	1,209	+17	Yes	-$297	09-30 16:49
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	20	$1.7K	1,505	374	+1,130	Yes	+$59	09-21 22:22
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?	5	$1.4K	1,417	0	+1,417	Yes	+$18	09-07 21:19
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	42	$1.4K	1,119	564	+555	Yes	+$87	09-22 03:23
Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,415	0	+1,415	Yes	+$29	09-14 01:17
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	29	$1.2K	967	967	+0	Yes	-$328	10-30 01:38
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	557	557	+0	Yes	-$16	09-16 15:44
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	10	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$34	10-26 18:54
will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	5	$772	473	473	+0	Yes	+$18	09-30 08:42
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	11	$764	673	335	+338	No	+$119	09-17 03:27
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	6	$650	445	245	+200	No	+$20	09-03 19:50
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	17	$602	332	332	+0	No	+$6	09-21 03:10
will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	8	$373	203	203	+0	No	-$2	10-20 21:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?	3	$360	184	184	+0	No	+$4	08-30 22:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	9	$325	220	150	+70	No	+$5	09-01 09:52
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?	6	$288	150	150	+0	No	+$2	09-06 14:34
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?	6	$271	321	20	+301	No	+$34	08-29 13:22
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	7	$258	156	156	+0	No	+$25	10-30 01:41
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	4	$257	269	0	+269	Yes	+$11	07-22 20:53
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?	6	$236	248	5	+243	No	+$9	08-30 22:59
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	10	$216	179	109	+70	No	+$20	10-28 22:36
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	11	$211	230	230	+0	Yes	-$45	10-01 13:58
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?	3	$208	216	0	+216	No	+$8	08-27 20:12
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	8	$203	193	43	+150	No	+$11	09-27 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 14:29:09	Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x0ae520…
10-31 14:28:37	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x0f4b77…
10-30 02:32:40	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5232eb…
10-30 02:06:57	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xbbdf2d…
10-30 02:06:33	Will Russia enter Borova by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xcdf11e…
10-30 02:06:12	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x4bb997…
10-30 02:05:36	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xaf1027…
10-30 02:05:21	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xd7d9f0…
10-30 02:04:42	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xebd248…
10-30 02:04:19	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xaf74b4…
10-30 02:03:48	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xba219c…
10-30 02:03:15	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x1534c9…
10-30 02:03:04	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x5164b7…
10-30 02:02:40	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xac10a8…
10-30 02:02:19	Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xef61f5…
10-30 02:01:48	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa61337…
10-30 02:01:21	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x2e3a93…
10-30 02:01:00	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x7cf56e…
10-30 02:00:37	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xc827ab…
10-30 02:00:04	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x586cba…
10-30 01:59:39	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x506c53…
10-30 01:59:19	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xd2c534…
10-30 01:58:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xb91bd1…
10-30 01:58:18	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x521ec7…
10-30 01:58:07	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xf6fed2…
10-30 01:41:10	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	92¢	$128	0xfa7051…
10-30 01:39:04	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x2b8633…
10-30 01:38:12	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	476	10¢	$47	0xfa6d31…
10-29 23:28:12	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa5f57e…
10-29 23:27:33	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x6daad1…
10-29 15:42:40	Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe2a7d0…
10-29 15:40:56	Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x7d14c1…
10-29 15:40:38	Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x92cb3a…
10-28 22:36:02	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x5902f1…
10-28 22:24:44	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x391d3a…
10-27 18:43:02	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x284bd3…
10-27 15:26:09	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xba44bf…
10-26 23:40:29	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x00b6ed…
10-26 23:37:36	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x12eda6…
10-26 23:33:42	Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xada8fc…
10-26 23:32:57	Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0xf4e3c0…
10-26 23:21:09	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0xa46915…
10-26 20:24:03	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x518bb5…
10-26 18:55:15	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe7e448…
10-26 18:54:20	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xc27668…
10-26 18:54:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xaacb1e…
10-26 18:50:02	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x806bda…
10-26 18:44:39	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xfdef55…
10-26 17:59:14	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	114	94¢	$107	0x3816bc…
10-25 17:39:08	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9476b0…
10-25 16:45:56	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xd25f87…
10-25 01:14:30	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	74	88¢	$65	0x3ea426…
10-25 01:12:42	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb91976…
10-24 20:06:06	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc70b7e…
10-24 20:05:23	Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x079573…
10-24 20:04:32	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb8e4b6…
10-24 12:47:08	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6c2cdd…
10-23 21:06:35	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xbdc7b6…
10-23 21:01:53	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	83¢	$21	0x2f765d…
10-23 20:54:41	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	671	98¢	$656	0xb54a18…
10-23 19:50:53	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x48a5ed…
10-23 19:49:21	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x07b283…
10-23 07:23:00	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	47	86¢	$40	0x4a6dff…
10-23 05:41:05	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x3fde81…
10-23 01:05:57	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x09ddae…
10-22 22:13:27	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	53	84¢	$45	0x541356…
10-22 19:26:30	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$44	0x84df2e…
10-22 16:44:35	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0x5a75a2…
10-22 15:21:35	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	250	82¢	$206	0xc80e67…
10-22 02:20:12	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x27efe5…
10-21 23:50:03	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xb3a1e9…
10-21 23:49:08	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x21f0aa…
10-21 23:48:36	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$33	0x7702ae…
10-21 23:48:30	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x9773c9…
10-21 14:24:51	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x32c604…
10-21 14:24:39	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0x77eda8…
10-21 14:23:26	Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xf9d978…
10-21 14:21:23	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	72¢	$49	0xb28f05…
10-21 13:55:17	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xf8f7f3…
10-21 13:54:41	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	127	71¢	$90	0xff40f2…
10-21 13:37:12	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x393c34…
10-20 22:36:53	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x5bacad…
10-20 22:36:03	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x26acbd…
10-20 22:02:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x23ccf5…
10-20 21:57:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	137	92¢	$126	0xb9e30e…
10-20 21:57:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x8272c5…
10-20 21:11:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xe9ac16…
10-20 21:11:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x378124…
10-20 17:47:33	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xefcf7b…
10-20 16:03:51	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1e9ea3…
10-20 15:57:30	Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x77176f…
10-20 14:50:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$111	0xc848b0…
10-20 14:48:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x5cbaca…
10-20 12:48:21	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xb415d0…
10-20 12:47:20	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x418749…
10-20 11:55:27	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x641cb1…
10-20 10:37:03	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0x41ea99…
10-19 12:22:20	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xffbe01…
10-19 00:28:18	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xf44058…
10-17 22:36:57	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xd81417…