Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-21 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$0

Politics

42% 33% +$8

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$386	263	263	+0	open	—	05-21 06:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	21	$289	346	336	+10	open	—	04-22 07:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	23	$257	323	318	+5	open	—	04-24 14:09
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	31	$212	119	119	+0	open	—	04-29 18:58
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	26	$203	181	152	+30	open	—	04-24 22:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$165	249	219	+31	open	—	04-21 14:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	10	$114	138	67	+71	open	—	04-25 19:38
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?	3	$102	59	59	+0	open	—	04-24 22:22
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	11	$97	79	56	+24	open	—	04-25 17:27
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	6	$95	108	108	+0	open	—	05-18 19:02
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	12	$68	45	44	+1	open	—	04-22 07:41
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$63	39	39	+0	open	—	04-24 12:41
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	15	$62	146	123	+23	open	—	04-21 22:11
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	7	$58	67	68	-1	open	—	04-26 13:12
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	7	$56	61	61	+0	open	—	05-18 16:05
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	11	$56	39	36	+3	open	—	04-24 04:02
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-27 09:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$45	331	331	+0	open	—	04-23 13:29
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	10	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	05-21 06:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	4	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-18 16:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	3	$34	36	36	+0	open	—	04-21 21:14
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	5	$34	33	13	+20	open	—	04-20 19:57
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 10am et	3	$34	36	17	+19	open	—	04-23 15:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$34	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	05-09 16:51
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	7	$31	40	37	+3	open	—	05-15 17:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$31	26	25	+1	open	—	04-21 19:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	4	$31	43	0	+43	open	—	04-17 17:51
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	13	$30	24	6	+18	open	—	04-27 08:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-21 06:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	04-25 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:14:10	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x4ccd6c…
05-21 06:12:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbf0b7c…
05-21 06:12:32	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4455c4…
05-21 06:12:13	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x4b3187…
05-21 06:10:45	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x2e8293…
05-21 06:10:42	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x01efdd…
05-21 06:09:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9ed31d…
05-20 21:17:11	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe782b2…
05-18 19:02:38	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x8fea3a…
05-18 19:02:24	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	88	35¢	$31	0x3f2a37…
05-18 16:51:16	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xc53cda…
05-18 16:07:20	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x811920…
05-18 16:07:13	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x5015b2…
05-18 16:06:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x28f045…
05-18 16:05:20	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xa86e6e…
05-18 16:05:06	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x8f470d…
05-18 16:05:02	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0x902202…
05-18 16:04:59	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xf73942…
05-18 16:04:10	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x13dd29…
05-17 18:38:44	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x19fdd2…
05-17 12:57:46	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x7d6191…
05-17 09:44:29	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0x8ab972…
05-17 07:51:40	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe498f3…
05-17 01:35:46	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x41a796…
05-16 21:35:38	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x7fc43c…
05-15 17:58:18	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe6b712…
05-15 16:47:31	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x769b09…
05-15 16:18:00	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb496f3…
05-15 16:09:51	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x27b86a…
05-14 09:09:24	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe5f99e…
05-14 06:13:21	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2d1921…
05-14 06:12:37	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x10a89f…
05-09 22:09:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dd261…
05-09 21:04:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40fd87…
05-09 18:22:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xbb49a8…
05-09 16:51:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd7f0ae…
05-09 13:17:46	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x013c5b…
05-08 19:23:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x43abba…
05-06 20:19:44	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xa29aec…
05-06 08:09:50	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7a9a35…
05-06 08:09:32	Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6080a9…
05-06 08:08:10	Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6730e6…
05-06 08:07:42	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x06a54a…
05-06 08:07:20	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x619bda…
05-06 02:27:18	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x9d9f0f…
05-05 09:59:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x2d2d3a…
05-05 07:03:20	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x833900…
05-04 17:20:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x0b95e7…
05-04 17:18:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x8906b5…
05-04 17:07:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xf4119c…
05-04 16:56:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xcf4990…
05-04 16:32:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xa4a59c…
05-04 16:27:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xe43491…
05-04 16:26:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0xbd8c0e…
05-03 13:38:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2dd539…
05-03 12:22:16	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x141101…
05-01 10:58:16	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	98	53¢	$52	0xb3ac90…
05-01 08:49:04	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xab6d4f…
05-01 06:50:42	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x275e52…
05-01 06:23:26	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x3c51d3…
05-01 03:40:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8bfbad…
05-01 03:40:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x518cf0…
05-01 03:40:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2619e1…
05-01 00:31:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcb7ba5…
05-01 00:27:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xef96f7…
04-30 21:08:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x8a5c6f…
04-30 21:06:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x196ac5…
04-30 20:47:16	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5e37ca…
04-30 18:06:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x3451ad…
04-30 18:05:10	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xab6542…
04-30 13:46:52	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4623a9…
04-30 13:41:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x63ef05…
04-30 12:48:16	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xdefd29…
04-30 11:36:36	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xcd87bf…
04-30 08:12:58	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa4d157…
04-30 08:07:14	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0x13158f…
04-29 21:16:46	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x206a79…
04-29 20:48:44	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe4c84c…
04-29 20:39:42	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x7910d0…
04-29 19:54:40	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$2	0x518404…
04-29 18:58:12	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0xe1ae8d…
04-29 18:56:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x18f955…
04-29 18:54:20	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x7bc78d…
04-29 18:51:30	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x281d47…
04-29 18:47:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x77f048…
04-28 05:42:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	BUY	59	86¢	$50	0x36f80a…
04-28 05:25:56	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x9322b6…
04-28 05:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x45e0c0…
04-28 00:15:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xf7a0d9…
04-27 21:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x244431…
04-27 20:06:02	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa53276…
04-27 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe28ef5…
04-27 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xe32507…
04-27 19:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9984a6…
04-27 19:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x39b263…
04-27 19:17:46	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x4e5eb9…
04-27 19:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x96e376…
04-27 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5b5cd2…
04-27 19:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc488a3…
04-27 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0e047c…