Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,748
lifetime
Volume
$677
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$21
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-24 18:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
70%
Politics
29%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 29¢ $4 +$0 07-22 21:03
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 20¢ $4 +$1 07-22 21:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 54¢ $3 +$2 07-14 15:10
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 07-24 18:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +9 $1 23¢ $2 +$1 07-17 09:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2 $2 73¢ $2 +$0 07-12 13:45
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 07-20 09:07
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-24 21:26
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-19 20:17
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 07-08 06:47