(anonymous) 0x21302a…e0ffb2
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Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
600
Trades
3,542
lifetime
Volume
$2.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$164
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-26 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
82% 48% -$2
Politics
15% 39% -$29
Sports
3% 67% -$9
Tech
0% 50% +$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +75 $58 55¢ $41 -$17 10-11 06:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +91 $21 45¢ $41 +$20 10-19 18:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +76 $32 47¢ $36 +$4 10-19 18:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +73 $47 47¢ $34 -$13 10-26 13:58
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +6 $2 97¢ $5 +$3 09-20 16:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 10-02 13:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 10-03 12:51
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-31 22:37
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026 Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 08-08 03:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +15 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-20 02:44
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 07-16 06:17