Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,112
lifetime
Volume
$477
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$28
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-04 18:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
70%
Politics
30%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-20 06:48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +4 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-29 22:56
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 24¢ $2 $-1 06-27 18:05
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 52¢ $2 +$0 07-04 13:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 06-24 17:43
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +3 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-28 13:10
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $2 15¢ $2 $-0 06-24 16:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2 $1 87¢ $2 +$1 07-04 07:12
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +8 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 07-01 18:17
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 07-03 17:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 06-13 03:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-1 68¢ $1 +$2 07-04 12:08
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-30 15:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +3 $-0 32¢ $1 +$1 07-04 12:04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 06-19 20:17
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 06-26 09:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +3 $-0 $0 +$0 06-14 21:51